North Carolina State at Virginia Expert NCAA Basketball Picks Against the Spread 3/14/2019

Thursday, March 14, 2019

Spectrum Center

Get todays College basketball odds and lines on this game.

The North Carolina State Wolfpack travel to Spectrum Center to play the Virginia Cavaliers on Thursday, March 14, 2019. The opening line for this matchup has Virginia as 11 point favorites.

North Carolina State comes into this game with an overall record of 21-10. They currently have a point differential of 10.5 as they are averaging 81.0 points per game while giving up 70.5 per contest. Virginia has an overall record of 28-2. They are averaging 72.1 points per game and surrendering 54.6, good for a point differential of 17.6.

Valuable North Carolina State Wolfpack Betting Trends

The North Carolina State Wolfpack are 19-12-0 against the spread

The North Carolina State Wolfpack are 14-17-0 against the over/under

Important Virginia Cavaliers Betting Trends

The Virginia Cavaliers are 22-8-0 against the spread

The Virginia Cavaliers are 14-16-0 against the over/under

Key North Carolina State Wolfpack Injuries

11/14/18 F Ian Steere Transferred is out for season
02/14/19 G Eric Lockett Suspension is out indefinitely
02/14/19 F Sacha Killeya-Jones Eligibility is out for season

Key Virginia Cavaliers Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Torin Dorn comes into this contest averaging 13.7 points per game while playing 28.1 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 6.9 rebounds per game and dishes out 1.3 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 46% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 59%. C.J. Bryce averages 11.7 points per game in 27.0 minutes per contest this season. He averages 1.8 assists per contest and 4.5 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 47% for the year while his free throw percentage is 76%.

Player Spotlight

Kyle Guy averages 15.3 points per game while playing 34.2 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 4.5 rebounds per game and has 2.1 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage is at 84%. De'Andre Hunter averages 15.2 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 31.2 minutes per contest. He also averages 5.2 rebounds per contest and 2.2 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 53% and his free throw percentage is 79%.

Useful Team Statistics

North Carolina State averages 81.0 points per contest this season, which ranks them 26th in the NCAA. Their average scoring margin is 10.5 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a team, which has them ranked 79th. Behind the arc they shoot 36% which is good for 97th in the nation. They average 38.8 rebounds per game and 15.6 assists per game, which ranks them 29th and 32nd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 176th with 13.0 per game. The Wolfpack allow 70.5 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 159th in the country. They also allow a 44% shooting percentage and a 29% average from behind the arc, ranking them 180th and 9th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 34.1 rebounds a game which ranks 128th and they give up 12.5 assists per contest, which puts them in 128th place in Division 1. They force 16.2 turnovers per game which ranks them 335th in D-1.

Useful Team Statistics

Virginia is 190th in the country with 72.1 points per game this year. They are 28th in Division 1 in shooting at 48%, while their average scoring margin is 17.6. They shoot 42% from 3-point range, which is good for 3rd in the nation. They are 184th in the NCAA in rebounding with 35.3 boards per game, and 85th in assists per contest with 14.6. The Cavaliers are 350th in turnovers per game with 9.1. The Cavaliers surrender 54.6 points per contest, which ranks them 1st in D-1. Their defense allows a 37% shooting percentage and a 27% average from 3-point range, ranking them 2nd and 1st in those defensive statistics. They rank 2nd with 8.8 assists allowed per contest and 9th with 29.7 rebounds surrendered per game. The Cavaliers are 24th in country in forcing turnovers with 11.0 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Wolfpack have an offensive rating of 111.2, which is ranked 43rd. They are 53rd in college basketball in pace with 72.2 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 113th. As a unit they are 121st in the nation in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shot attempts, ranking 243rd in D-1. North Carolina State is 268th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Virginia is 340th in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.9 times per 100 possessions. The Cavaliers have an offensive rating of 117.5, which is ranked 4th. They are 351st in D-1 in pace with 61.1 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 56% is 20th. As a unit they are 18th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shot attempts, ranking 175th in the country.

Who will win tonight's North Carolina State/Virginia college basketball game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Virginia -11

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