New Mexico at Utah State Expert NCAA Basketball Picks Against the Spread 3/14/2019

Thursday, March 14, 2019

Thomas & Mack Center

Get todays College basketball odds and lines on this game.

The New Mexico Lobos travel to Thomas & Mack Center to play the Utah State Aggies on Thursday, March 14, 2019. The opening line for this matchup has Utah State as 11 point favorites.

New Mexico comes into this game with an overall record of 13-17. They currently have a point differential of -0.4 as they are averaging 76.1 points per game while giving up 76.5 per contest. Utah State has an overall record of 25-6. They are averaging 79.1 points per game and surrendering 66.8, good for a point differential of 12.3.

Valuable New Mexico Lobos Betting Trends

The New Mexico Lobos are 10-19-0 against the spread

The New Mexico Lobos are 15-14-0 against the over/under

Important Utah State Aggies Betting Trends

The Utah State Aggies are 16-14-0 against the spread

The Utah State Aggies are 17-13-0 against the over/under

Key New Mexico Lobos Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Utah State Aggies Injuries

11/09/18 C Klay Stall ACL is out for season
11/09/18 F Roche Grootfaam ACL is out for season

Player Spotlight

Anthony Mathis comes into this contest averaging 14.7 points per game while playing 30.3 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 2.1 rebounds per game and dishes out 2.0 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 46% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 89%. Vance Jackson averages 12.5 points per game in 27.3 minutes per contest this season. He averages 2.5 assists per contest and 7.1 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 40% for the year while his free throw percentage is 65%.

Player Spotlight

Sam Merrill averages 21.0 points per game while playing 35.2 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 3.9 rebounds per game and has 4.1 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage is at 90%. Neemias Queta averages 11.6 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 26.4 minutes per contest. He also averages 8.8 rebounds per contest and 1.6 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 64% and his free throw percentage is 54%.

Useful Team Statistics

New Mexico averages 76.1 points per contest this season, which ranks them 89th in the NCAA. Their average scoring margin is -0.4 and their shooting percentage is 43% as a team, which has them ranked 273rd. Behind the arc they shoot 35% which is good for 153rd in the nation. They average 37.6 rebounds per game and 13.8 assists per game, which ranks them 67th and 146th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 50th with 14.5 per game. The Lobos allow 76.5 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 294th in the country. They also allow a 45% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the arc, ranking them 253rd and 228th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 37.0 rebounds a game which ranks 285th and they give up 15.1 assists per contest, which puts them in 307th place in Division 1. They force 13.3 turnovers per game which ranks them 187th in D-1.

Useful Team Statistics

Utah State is 42nd in the country with 79.1 points per game this year. They are 41st in Division 1 in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 12.3. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 130th in the nation. They are 13th in the NCAA in rebounding with 40.0 boards per game, and 11th in assists per contest with 17.2. The Aggies are 230th in turnovers per game with 12.4. The Aggies surrender 66.8 points per contest, which ranks them 58th in D-1. Their defense allows a 39% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 11th and 258th in those defensive statistics. They rank 43rd with 11.2 assists allowed per contest and 25th with 31.3 rebounds surrendered per game. The Aggies are 129th in country in forcing turnovers with 12.5 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Lobos are 194th in the nation in offensive rating with 102.8. In terms of pace they are 23rd in the country with 74 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 50% is 223rd. As a team they are 198th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 44% of their shots, ranking 51st in Division 1. New Mexico is 104th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 17 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Utah State is 247th in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15.3 times per 100 possessions. The Aggies have an offensive rating of 112.2, which is ranked 31st. They are 137th in D-1 in pace with 70 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 54% is 51st. As a unit they are 37th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shot attempts, ranking 192nd in the country.

Who will win tonight's New Mexico/Utah State college basketball game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Utah State -11

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