Mississippi State at Kentucky Expert NCAA Basketball Picks 1/22/2019

Tuesday, January 22, 2019

Rupp Arena

Get todays College basketball odds and lines on this game.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs head to Rupp Arena to take on the Kentucky Wildcats on Tuesday, January 22, 2019. The opening line for this game has Kentucky as 8 point favorites.

Mississippi State comes into this game with an overall record of 14-3. They currently have a point differential of 10.9 as they are averaging 79.0 points per game while giving up 68.1 per contest. Kentucky has an overall record of 14-3. They are averaging 80.2 points per game and surrendering 68.2, good for a point differential of 12.0.

Valuable Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Trends

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 8-9-0 against the spread this season

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 9-8-0 against the over/under this year

Important Kentucky Wildcats Betting Trends

The Kentucky Wildcats are 8-9-0 against the spread this season

The Kentucky Wildcats are 8-9-0 against the over/under this year

Key Mississippi State Bulldogs Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Kentucky Wildcats Injuries

12/14/18 G Quade Green Transferred is out for season

Player Spotlight

Quinndary Weatherspoon comes into this game averaging 16.6 points per contest while playing 32.8 minutes per night this year. He grabs 5.8 rebounds per contest and distributes 2.9 assists per game. His FG percentage is 52% while his free throw percentage is 83%. Lamar Peters averages 13.3 points per contest in 29.1 minutes per game. He averages 5.8 assists per game and 1.9 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 44% for the season while his free throw percentage is 66%.

Player Spotlight

Keldon Johnson scores 15.1 points per contest while playing 30.2 minutes per game. He hauls in 5.1 rebounds per contest and has 1.6 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 52% and his free throw percentage is at 73%. Tyler Herro averages 13.5 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 30.1 minutes per game. He also brings in 4.2 rebounds per game and has 2.3 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is 90%.

Useful Team Statistics

Mississippi State averages 79.0 points per contest, which is 60th in D-1. Their average scoring margin is 10.9 and their shooting percentage is 48% as a unit, which has them ranked 44th. From 3-point territory they shoot 38%, which is good for 33rd in the nation. They average 36.8 boards per contest and 15.6 assists per game, which ranks them 120th and 56th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 193rd with 13.1 per game. The Bulldogs allow 68.1 points per contest, which is 101st in the NCAA. They also surrender a 43% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 119th and 185th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 30.9 rebounds a game which ranks 21st, and they allow 11.9 assists per game which puts them in 83rd place in the country. They force 13.5 turnovers per game which ranks them 174th in Division 1.

Useful Team Statistics

Kentucky is 43rd in the nation with 80.2 points per contest this season. They are 19th in the country in shooting at 49%, while their average scoring margin is 12.0. They shoot 35% from beyond the arc, which is good for 151st in the NCAA. They are 79th in D-1 in rebounding with 38.1 boards per contest and 126th in assists per game with 14.3. The Wildcats are 153rd in turnovers per contest with 13.6. The Wildcats give up 68.2 points per game, which ranks them 104th in Division 1. Their defense surrenders a 42% shooting percentage and a 37% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 100th and 304th in those defensive statistics. They rank 93rd with 12.0 dimes allowed per game and 2nd with 28.5 boards surrendered per contest. The Wildcats are 258th in the nation in forcing turnovers with 14.8 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Bulldogs are 21st in the nation in offensive rating with 114. In terms of pace they are 246th in the country with 68.8 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 56% is 32nd. As a team they are 30th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shots, ranking 130th in Division 1. Mississippi State is 187th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.2 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Kentucky is 166th in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.5 times per 100 possessions. The Wildcats have an offensive rating of 113.2, which is ranked 27th. They are 171st in D-1 in pace with 70.4 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 54% is 66th. As a unit they are 27th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 30% of their shot attempts, ranking 336th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Mississippi State/Kentucky college basketball game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Mississippi State +8

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