Miami vs Illinois Expert NCAA Basketball Picks 12/2/2019

Game: Miami Hurricanes vs Illinois Fighting Illini

Date: Monday, December 2, 2019

Location: State Farm Center in Champaign, IL

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Illinois -7.5

Total/Over-Under: 145.5

The Miami Hurricanes head to State Farm Center to take on the Illinois Fighting Illini on Monday, December 2, 2019. The opening line for this game has Illinois as 7.5 point favorites.

Miami heads into this matchup with a mark of 4-3. They currently have a point differential of -0.4 as they are averaging 70.6 points per contest while giving up 71.0 per game. Illinois has an overall mark of 6-1. They are averaging 88.3 points per contest and giving up 68.1, which is a point differential of 20.1.

Valuable Miami Hurricanes Betting Trends

The Miami Hurricanes are 3-4-0 against the spread this season

The Miami Hurricanes are 4-3-0 against the over/under this year

Important Illinois Fighting Illini Betting Trends

The Illinois Fighting Illini are 3-3-0 against the spread this season

The Illinois Fighting Illini are 3-3-0 against the over/under this year

Key Miami Hurricanes Injuries

11/08/19 F Keith Stone Knee is out indefinitely

Key Illinois Fighting Illini Injuries

11/25/19 G Tevian Jones Suspension is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Dejan Vasiljevic comes into this game averaging 13.9 points per contest while playing 31.7 minutes per night this year. He grabs 3.9 rebounds per contest and distributes 1.7 assists per game. His FG percentage is 51% while his free throw percentage is 100%. Kameron McGusty averages 13.3 points per contest in 30.0 minutes per game. He averages 2.3 assists per game and 4.4 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 38% for the season while his free throw percentage is 88%.

Player Spotlight

Ayo Dosunmu scores 16.3 points per contest while playing 30.3 minutes per game. He hauls in 2.7 rebounds per contest and has 3.4 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 51% and his free throw percentage is at 71%. Kofi Cockburn averages 15.3 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 25.9 minutes per game. He also brings in 12.0 rebounds per game and has 0.9 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 58% and his free throw percentage is 60%.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami averages 70.6 points per contest, which is 219th in D-1. Their average scoring margin is -0.4 and their shooting percentage is 44% as a unit, which has them ranked 173rd. From 3-point territory they shoot 37%, which is good for 59th in the nation. They average 32.9 boards per contest and 11.9 assists per game, which ranks them 298th and 261st in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 345th with 9.9 per game. The Hurricanes allow 71.0 points per contest, which is 227th in the NCAA. They also surrender a 45% shooting percentage and a 33% average from 3-point range, ranking them 278th and 183rd in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 40.1 rebounds a game which ranks 325th, and they allow 13.7 assists per game which puts them in 255th place in the country. They force 13.0 turnovers per game which ranks them 96th in Division 1.

Useful Team Statistics

Illinois is 3rd in the nation with 88.3 points per contest this season. They are 9th in the country in shooting at 51%, while their average scoring margin is 20.1. They shoot 34% from beyond the arc, which is good for 149th in the NCAA. They are 3rd in D-1 in rebounding with 45.4 boards per contest and 22nd in assists per game with 17.1. The Fighting Illini are 43rd in turnovers per contest with 16.3. The Fighting Illini give up 68.1 points per game, which ranks them 171st in Division 1. Their defense surrenders a 41% shooting percentage and a 33% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 150th and 193rd in those defensive statistics. They rank 178th with 12.3 dimes allowed per game and 4th with 26.9 boards surrendered per contest. The Fighting Illini are 197th in the nation in forcing turnovers with 14.7 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Hurricanes are 133rd in the nation in offensive rating with 103.8. In terms of pace they are 279th in the country with 68 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 50% is 181st. As a team they are 223rd in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 52% and they shoot 3-pointers on 32% of their shots, ranking 278th in Division 1. Miami is 342nd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.7 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Illinois is 107th in college basketball in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 17.9 times per 100 possessions. The Fighting Illini are 12th in the country in offensive rating with 116.2. In terms of pace they are 45th in Division 1 with 74.7 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 56% is 34th. As a team they are 23rd in D-1 in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 28% of their shots, ranking 331st in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Miami/Illinois college basketball game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Miami +7.5

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