Liberty at Mississippi State NCAA Basketball Picks 3/22/2019

Friday, March 22, 2019

SAP Center

Get todays College basketball odds and lines on this game.

The Liberty Flames travel to SAP Center to play the Mississippi State Bulldogs on Friday, March 22, 2019. The opening line for this matchup has Mississippi State as 11.5 point favorites.

Liberty comes into this game with an overall record of 25-6. They currently have a point differential of 13.2 as they are averaging 74.0 points per game while giving up 60.8 per contest. Mississippi State has an overall mark of 22-9. They are averaging 77.3 points per contest and giving up 70.1, which is a point differential of 7.2.

Valuable Liberty Flames Betting Trends

The Liberty Flames are 17-14-0 against the spread

The Liberty Flames are 11-16-1 against the over/under

Important Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Trends

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 16-15-2 against the spread

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 15-16-0 against the over/under

Key Liberty Flames Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Mississippi State Bulldogs Injuries

02/16/19 G Nick Weatherspoon Suspension is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Caleb Homesley averages 12.0 points per game in 27.5 minutes per contest. He averages 2.8 assists per contest and 5.5 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 46% for the year while his free throw percentage is 69%. Scottie James comes into this contest averaging 13.1 points per game while playing 24.9 minutes per night. He pulls down 8.7 rebounds per game and dishes out 1.1 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 51% while his free throw percentage is at 71%.

Player Spotlight

Lamar Peters averages 11.7 points per game and he sees the court an average of 29.9 minutes per contest. He also averages 2.0 rebounds per contest and 5.2 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 39% and his free throw percentage is 64%. Quinndary Weatherspoon averages 18.2 points per game while playing 34.0 minutes per contest. He grabs 4.7 rebounds per game and has 2.8 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 51% and his free throw percentage is at 81%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Flames allow 60.8 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 6th in Division 1. They also allow a 42% shooting percentage and a 32% average from behind the arc, ranking them 61st and 60th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 30.5 rebounds a game which ranks 10th, and they give up 10.0 assists per contest which puts them in 9th place in the NCAA. They force 13.6 turnovers per game which ranks them 228th in the nation. Liberty averages 74.0 points per contest this season, which ranks them 130th in the country. Their average scoring margin is 13.2 and their shooting percentage is 49% as a team, which has them ranked 12th. Behind the arc they shoot 37% which is good for 62nd in D-1. They average 32.7 rebounds per game and 14.9 assists per contest, which ranks them 303rd and 63rd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 316th with 11.0 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Bulldogs surrender 70.1 points per contest, which ranks them 149th in the NCAA. Their defense allows a 44% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 178th and 235th in those defensive statistics. They rank 131st with 12.5 assists allowed per contest, and 49th with 32.1 rebounds surrendered per game. The Bulldogs are 223rd in Division 1 in forcing turnovers with 13.6 per game. Mississippi State is 63rd in the country with 77.3 points per game this year. They are 47th in the D-1 in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 7.2. They shoot 38% from 3-point range, which is good for 35th in the nation. They are 147th in the country in rebounding with 35.8 boards per game and 112th in assists per contest with 14.2. The Bulldogs are 135th in turnovers per game with 13.3.

Advanced Statistics

The Flames have an offensive rating of 113.3, which is ranked 16th. They are 331st in college basketball in pace with 65.3 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 57% is 7th. As a unit they are 8th in the nation in true shooting percentage with 60% and they shoot 3-pointers on 44% of their shot attempts, ranking 62nd in D-1. Liberty is 264th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Mississippi State is 149th in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.5 times per 100 possessions. The Bulldogs have an offensive rating of 112, which is ranked 32nd. They are 219th in D-1 in pace with 68.5 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 38th. As a unit they are 45th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shot attempts, ranking 161st in the country.

Who will win tonight's Liberty/Mississippi State college basketball game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Mississippi State -11.5

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