LSU at Michigan State NCAA Basketball Point Spread Picks 3/29/2019

Friday, March 29, 2019

Capital One Arena

Get todays College basketball odds and lines on this game.

The LSU Tigers travel to Capital One Arena to play the Michigan State Spartans on Friday in the Sweet 16. The opening line for this matchup has Michigan State as 6.5 point favorites.

LSU heads into this matchup with a mark of 28-6. They currently have a point differential of 8.1 as they are averaging 80.9 points per contest while giving up 72.9 per game. Michigan State has an overall record of 30-6. They are averaging 78.5 points per game and surrendering 65.1, good for a point differential of 13.4.

Valuable LSU Tigers Betting Trends

The LSU Tigers are 19-14-1 against the spread

The LSU Tigers are 18-12-1 against the over/under

Important Michigan State Spartans Betting Trends

The Michigan State Spartans are 25-11-0 against the spread

The Michigan State Spartans are 13-18-0 against the over/under

Key LSU Tigers Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Michigan State Spartans Injuries

03/17/19 G Kyle Ahrens Ankle is out indefinitely
01/07/19 G Joshua Langford Ankle is out for season

Player Spotlight

Naz Reid averages 13.7 points per game in 26.9 minutes per contest. He averages 0.9 assists per contest and 7.1 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 47% for the year while his free throw percentage is 74%. Tremont Waters comes into this contest averaging 15.0 points per game while playing 32.5 minutes per night. He pulls down 2.8 rebounds per game and dishes out 5.9 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 47% while his free throw percentage is at 81%.

Player Spotlight

Nick Ward averages 13.7 points per game and he sees the court an average of 21.5 minutes per contest. He also averages 6.2 rebounds per contest and 0.7 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 59% and his free throw percentage is 66%. Cassius Winston averages 18.9 points per game while playing 33.0 minutes per contest. He grabs 3.2 rebounds per game and has 7.6 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 47% and his free throw percentage is at 85%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Tigers allow 72.9 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 216th in Division 1. They also allow a 43% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc, ranking them 128th and 130th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 34.1 rebounds a game which ranks 126th, and they give up 11.1 assists per contest which puts them in 38th place in the NCAA. They force 14.7 turnovers per game which ranks them 298th in the nation. LSU averages 80.9 points per contest this season, which ranks them 24th in the country. Their average scoring margin is 8.1 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a team, which has them ranked 87th. Behind the arc they shoot 32% which is good for 295th in D-1. They average 38.9 rebounds per game and 13.1 assists per contest, which ranks them 27th and 204th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 168th with 13.0 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Spartans surrender 65.1 points per contest, which ranks them 34th in the NCAA. Their defense allows a 38% shooting percentage and a 31% average from 3-point range, ranking them 3rd and 37th in those defensive statistics. They rank 108th with 12.2 assists allowed per contest, and 27th with 31.4 rebounds surrendered per game. The Spartans are 6th in Division 1 in forcing turnovers with 10.1 per game. Michigan State is 46th in the country with 78.5 points per game this year. They are 15th in the D-1 in shooting at 49%, while their average scoring margin is 13.4. They shoot 38% from 3-point range, which is good for 26th in the nation. They are 8th in the country in rebounding with 40.9 boards per game and 3rd in assists per contest with 18.6. The Spartans are 170th in turnovers per game with 13.0.

Advanced Statistics

The Tigers are 36th in the nation in offensive rating with 111.5. In terms of pace they are 102nd in the country with 70.8 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 51% is 151st. As a team they are 99th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shots, ranking 289th in Division 1. LSU is 253rd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15.2 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Michigan State is 153rd in college basketball in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.4 times per 100 possessions. The Spartans are 10th in the country in offensive rating with 114. In terms of pace they are 222nd in Division 1 with 68.4 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 56% is 20th. As a team they are 12th in D-1 in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shots, ranking 195th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's LSU/Michigan State college basketball game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Michigan State -6.5

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