Illinois at Purdue Expert NCAA Basketball Picks 2/27/2019

Wednesday, February 27, 2019

Mackey Arena

Get todays College basketball odds and lines on this game.

The Illinois Fighting Illini travel to Mackey Arena to play the Purdue Boilermakers on Wednesday, February 27, 2019. The opening line for this matchup has Purdue as 13.5 point favorites.

Illinois heads into this matchup with a mark of 10-17. They currently have a point differential of -0.9 as they are averaging 73.9 points per contest while giving up 74.7 per game. Purdue has an overall mark of 20-7. They are averaging 76.6 points per contest and giving up 67.6, which is a point differential of 8.9.

Valuable Illinois Fighting Illini Betting Trends

The Illinois Fighting Illini are 12-14-0 against the spread

The Illinois Fighting Illini are 13-12-1 against the over/under

Important Purdue Boilermakers Betting Trends

The Purdue Boilermakers are 14-12-0 against the spread

The Purdue Boilermakers are 13-13-0 against the over/under

Key Illinois Fighting Illini Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Purdue Boilermakers Injuries

01/11/19 C Emmanuel Dowuona Redshirt is out for season

Player Spotlight

Trent Frazier averages 14.3 points per game in 30.2 minutes per contest. He averages 2.6 assists per contest and 2.5 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 41% for the year while his free throw percentage is 72%. Ayo Dosunmu comes into this contest averaging 14.3 points per game while playing 31.1 minutes per night. He pulls down 4.0 rebounds per game and dishes out 3.2 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 39% while his free throw percentage is at 71%.

Player Spotlight

Ryan Cline averages 12.2 points per game and he sees the court an average of 33.6 minutes per contest. He also averages 2.6 rebounds per contest and 3.1 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is 72%. Carsen Edwards averages 23.4 points per game while playing 34.5 minutes per contest. He grabs 3.6 rebounds per game and has 3.2 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 39% and his free throw percentage is at 86%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Fighting Illini allow 74.7 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 261st in Division 1. They also allow a 46% shooting percentage and a 33% average from behind the arc, ranking them 308th and 120th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 36.9 rebounds a game which ranks 280th, and they give up 12.9 assists per contest which puts them in 160th place in the NCAA. They force 16.9 turnovers per game which ranks them 338th in the nation. Illinois averages 73.9 points per contest this season, which ranks them 146th in the country. Their average scoring margin is -0.9 and their shooting percentage is 43% as a team, which has them ranked 243rd. Behind the arc they shoot 34% which is good for 190th in D-1. They average 33.1 rebounds per game and 13.3 assists per contest, which ranks them 297th and 189th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 149th with 13.3 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Boilermakers surrender 67.6 points per contest, which ranks them 78th in the NCAA. Their defense allows a 43% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 105th and 220th in those defensive statistics. They rank 151st with 12.7 assists allowed per contest, and 36th with 31.9 rebounds surrendered per game. The Boilermakers are 185th in Division 1 in forcing turnovers with 13.4 per game. Purdue is 83rd in the country with 76.6 points per game this year. They are 178th in the D-1 in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is 8.9. They shoot 37% from 3-point range, which is good for 81st in the nation. They are 115th in the country in rebounding with 36.7 boards per game and 119th in assists per contest with 14.1. The Boilermakers are 330th in turnovers per game with 10.8.

Advanced Statistics

The Fighting Illini have an offensive rating of 101.6, which is ranked 229th. They are 64th in college basketball in pace with 72 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 50% is 248th. As a unit they are 271st in the nation in true shooting percentage with 52% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shot attempts, ranking 187th in D-1. Illinois is 202nd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15.9 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Purdue is 335th in college basketball in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.6 times per 100 possessions. The Boilermakers are 12th in the country in offensive rating with 113.9. In terms of pace they are 307th in Division 1 with 66.6 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 102nd. As a team they are 100th in D-1 in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 46% of their shots, ranking 27th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Illinois/Purdue college basketball game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Purdue -13.5

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