Florida at Michigan Expert NCAA Basketball Picks Against the Spread 3/23/2019

Saturday, March 23, 2019

Wells Fargo Arena

Get todays College basketball odds and lines on this game.

The Florida Gators travel to Wells Fargo Arena to play the Michigan Wolverines on Saturday in the NCAA Tournament Round of 32. Michigan beat Montana 74-55 in Round 1 while Florida defeated Nevada 70-61. The opening line for this matchup has Michigan as 6 point favorites.

Florida comes into this game with an overall record of 17-14. They currently have a point differential of 4.7 as they are averaging 68.3 points per game while giving up 63.6 per contest. Michigan has an overall record of 26-5. They are averaging 70.5 points per game and surrendering 58.5, good for a point differential of 12.0.

Valuable Florida Gators Betting Trends

The Florida Gators are 17-18-0 against the spread

The Florida Gators are 10-21-0 against the over/under

Important Michigan Wolverines Betting Trends

The Michigan Wolverines are 20-15-0 against the spread

The Michigan Wolverines are 13-18-0 against the over/under

Key Florida Gators Injuries

11/06/18 C Gorjok Gak Knee is out for season
01/21/19 F Keith Stone ACL is out for season
01/04/19 F Chase Johnson Transferred has left team

Key Michigan Wolverines Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

KeVaughn Allen comes into this contest averaging 11.9 points per game while playing 30.7 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 2.8 rebounds per game and dishes out 2.1 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 47% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 89%. Noah Locke averages 9.4 points per game in 25.4 minutes per contest this season. He averages 0.6 assists per contest and 2.3 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 38% for the year while his free throw percentage is 78%.

Player Spotlight

Ignas Brazdeikis averages 15.0 points per game while playing 29.7 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 5.3 rebounds per game and has 0.9 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 47% and his free throw percentage is at 77%. Jordan Poole averages 12.7 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 33.1 minutes per contest. He also averages 2.9 rebounds per contest and 2.2 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is 82%.

Useful Team Statistics

Florida averages 68.3 points per contest this season, which ranks them 281st in the NCAA. Their average scoring margin is 4.7 and their shooting percentage is 43% as a team, which has them ranked 269th. Behind the arc they shoot 33% which is good for 235th in the nation. They average 33.5 rebounds per game and 12.2 assists per game, which ranks them 278th and 264th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 286th with 11.7 per game. The Gators allow 63.6 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 21st in the country. They also allow a 42% shooting percentage and a 32% average from behind the arc, ranking them 85th and 41st in those defensive categories. Opponents average 34.3 rebounds a game which ranks 139th and they give up 10.7 assists per contest, which puts them in 30th place in Division 1. They force 14.8 turnovers per game which ranks them 296th in D-1.

Useful Team Statistics

Michigan is 238th in the country with 70.5 points per game this year. They are 137th in Division 1 in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is 12.0. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 152nd in the nation. They are 195th in the NCAA in rebounding with 35.1 boards per game, and 127th in assists per contest with 14.0. The Wolverines are 351st in turnovers per game with 8.9. The Wolverines surrender 58.5 points per contest, which ranks them 2nd in D-1. Their defense allows a 40% shooting percentage and a 29% average from 3-point range, ranking them 16th and 5th in those defensive statistics. They rank 11th with 10.1 assists allowed per contest and 170th with 34.7 rebounds surrendered per game. The Wolverines are 77th in country in forcing turnovers with 11.9 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Gators have an offensive rating of 104.4, which is ranked 156th. They are 339th in college basketball in pace with 64.8 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 50% is 235th. As a unit they are 231st in the nation in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 43% of their shot attempts, ranking 74th in D-1. Florida is 224th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15.5 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Michigan is 348th in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.1 times per 100 possessions. The Wolverines have an offensive rating of 107.6, which is ranked 86th. They are 329th in D-1 in pace with 65.5 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 123rd. As a unit they are 152nd in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shot attempts, ranking 137th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Florida/Michigan college basketball game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Michigan -6

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