Florida at Auburn Expert NCAA Basketball Picks 3/16/2019

Saturday, March 16, 2019

Bridgestone Arena

Get todays College basketball odds and lines on this game.

The Florida Gators head to Bridgestone Arena to take on the Auburn Tigers on Saturday in the SEC Tournament. The opening line for this game has Auburn as 2.5 point favorites.

Florida comes into this game with an overall record of 17-14. They currently have a point differential of 4.9 as they are averaging 68.2 points per game while giving up 63.3 per contest. Auburn has an overall mark of 22-9. They are averaging 80.1 points per contest and giving up 68.6, which is a point differential of 11.5.

Valuable Florida Gators Betting Trends

The Florida Gators are 14-18-0 against the spread this season

The Florida Gators are 10-21-0 against the over/under this year

Important Auburn Tigers Betting Trends

The Auburn Tigers are 16-14-1 against the spread this season

The Auburn Tigers are 15-14-1 against the over/under this year

Key Florida Gators Injuries

11/06/18 C Gorjok Gak Knee is out for season
01/21/19 F Keith Stone ACL is out for season
01/04/19 F Chase Johnson Transferred has left team

Key Auburn Tigers Injuries

03/13/19 C Austin Wiley Leg is doubtful Thursday vs Missouri

Player Spotlight

KeVaughn Allen comes into this game averaging 12.1 points per contest while playing 30.5 minutes per night this year. He grabs 2.8 rebounds per contest and distributes 2.2 assists per game. His FG percentage is 43% while his free throw percentage is 88%. Noah Locke averages 9.9 points per contest in 26.3 minutes per game. He averages 0.7 assists per game and 2.5 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 38% for the season while his free throw percentage is 76%.

Player Spotlight

Bryce Brown scores 15.7 points per contest while playing 31.6 minutes per game. He hauls in 2.1 rebounds per contest and has 1.9 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is at 82%. Jared Harper averages 14.9 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 33.3 minutes per game. He also brings in 2.6 rebounds per game and has 5.8 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 39% and his free throw percentage is 82%.

Useful Team Statistics

Florida averages 68.2 points per contest, which is 283rd in D-1. Their average scoring margin is 4.9 and their shooting percentage is 42% as a unit, which has them ranked 287th. From 3-point territory they shoot 34%, which is good for 228th in the nation. They average 33.7 boards per contest and 12.2 assists per game, which ranks them 267th and 266th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 291st with 11.6 per game. The Gators allow 63.3 points per contest, which is 20th in the NCAA. They also surrender a 42% shooting percentage and a 31% average from 3-point range, ranking them 78th and 39th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 34.4 rebounds a game which ranks 159th, and they allow 10.9 assists per game which puts them in 35th place in the country. They force 15.2 turnovers per game which ranks them 310th in Division 1.

Useful Team Statistics

Auburn is 30th in the nation with 80.1 points per contest this season. They are 155th in the country in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is 11.5. They shoot 37% from beyond the arc, which is good for 43rd in the NCAA. They are 182nd in D-1 in rebounding with 35.3 boards per contest and 83rd in assists per game with 14.6. The Tigers are 221st in turnovers per contest with 12.5. The Tigers give up 68.6 points per game, which ranks them 95th in Division 1. Their defense surrenders a 43% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 124th and 214th in those defensive statistics. They rank 88th with 12.0 dimes allowed per game and 203rd with 35.2 boards surrendered per contest. The Tigers are 345th in the nation in forcing turnovers with 17.5 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Gators have an offensive rating of 103.9, which is ranked 168th. They are 338th in college basketball in pace with 64.9 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 49% is 257th. As a unit they are 260th in the nation in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 43% of their shot attempts, ranking 66th in D-1. Florida is 253rd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15.2 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Auburn is 263rd in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15.1 times per 100 possessions. The Tigers have an offensive rating of 113.8, which is ranked 13th. They are 140th in D-1 in pace with 69.9 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 54% is 60th. As a unit they are 71st in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 48% of their shot attempts, ranking 9th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Florida/Auburn college basketball game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Florida +2.5

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn