Florida State at Duke NCAA Basketball Picks ATS 3/16/2019

Saturday, March 16, 2019

Spectrum Center

Get todays College basketball odds and lines on this game.

The Florida State Seminoles head to Spectrum Center to take on the Duke Blue Devils on Saturday in the ACC Tournament Championship. The opening line for this game has Duke as 1.5 point favorites.

Florida State comes into this game with an overall record of 25-6. They currently have a point differential of 8.3 as they are averaging 75.3 points per game while giving up 66.9 per contest. Duke has an overall record of 26-5. They are averaging 83.8 points per game and surrendering 67.7, good for a point differential of 16.1.

Valuable Florida State Seminoles Betting Trends

The Florida State Seminoles are 16-17-0 against the spread this season

The Florida State Seminoles are 13-15-3 against the over/under this year

Important Duke Blue Devils Betting Trends

The Duke Blue Devils are 17-16-0 against the spread this season

The Duke Blue Devils are 8-22-1 against the over/under this year

Key Florida State Seminoles Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Duke Blue Devils Injuries

03/11/19 C Marques Bolden Knee is out for ACC Tournament

Player Spotlight

Mfiondu Kabengele comes into this game averaging 12.8 points per contest while playing 21.0 minutes per night this year. He grabs 5.8 rebounds per contest and distributes 0.3 assists per game. His FG percentage is 46% while his free throw percentage is 77%. Terance Mann averages 11.2 points per contest in 31.6 minutes per game. He averages 2.5 assists per game and 6.3 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 51% for the season while his free throw percentage is 78%.

Player Spotlight

R.J. Barrett scores 23.1 points per contest while playing 34.8 minutes per game. He hauls in 7.5 rebounds per contest and has 4.2 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage is at 66%. Zion Williamson averages 22.2 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 28.7 minutes per game. He also brings in 9.1 rebounds per game and has 2.1 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 70% and his free throw percentage is 65%.

Useful Team Statistics

Florida State averages 75.3 points per contest, which is 107th in D-1. Their average scoring margin is 8.3 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a unit, which has them ranked 159th. From 3-point territory they shoot 33%, which is good for 229th in the nation. They average 37.5 boards per contest and 13.0 assists per game, which ranks them 69th and 208th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 115th with 13.5 per game. The Seminoles allow 66.9 points per contest, which is 58th in the NCAA. They also surrender a 41% shooting percentage and a 33% average from 3-point range, ranking them 33rd and 89th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 32.5 rebounds a game which ranks 59th, and they allow 10.0 assists per game which puts them in 11th place in the country. They force 14.3 turnovers per game which ranks them 275th in Division 1.

Useful Team Statistics

Duke is 7th in the nation with 83.8 points per contest this season. They are 30th in the country in shooting at 48%, while their average scoring margin is 16.1. They shoot 31% from beyond the arc, which is good for 337th in the NCAA. They are 2nd in D-1 in rebounding with 41.9 boards per contest and 21st in assists per game with 16.1. The Blue Devils are 163rd in turnovers per contest with 13.1. The Blue Devils give up 67.7 points per game, which ranks them 73rd in Division 1. Their defense surrenders a 40% shooting percentage and a 29% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 17th and 7th in those defensive statistics. They rank 118th with 12.4 dimes allowed per game and 232nd with 35.8 boards surrendered per contest. The Blue Devils are 294th in the nation in forcing turnovers with 14.7 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Seminoles are 96th in the nation in offensive rating with 107.2. In terms of pace they are 174th in the country with 69.2 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 51% is 168th. As a team they are 123rd in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shots, ranking 168th in Division 1. Florida State is 140th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.5 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Duke is 271st in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.9 times per 100 possessions. The Blue Devils have an offensive rating of 113.1, which is ranked 18th. They are 24th in D-1 in pace with 73.8 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 54% is 73rd. As a unit they are 85th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shot attempts, ranking 184th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Florida State/Duke college basketball game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Florida State +1.5

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn