Duke vs Michigan State Expert NCAA Basketball Picks 12/3/2019

Game: Duke Blue Devils vs Michigan State Spartans

Date: Tuesday, December 3, 2019

Location: Breslin Center in East Lansing, MI

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Michigan State -5

Total/Over-Under: 149.5

The Duke Blue Devils head to Breslin Center to take on the Michigan State Spartans on Tuesday, December 3, 2019. The opening line for this game has Michigan State as 5 point favorites.

Duke comes into this game with an overall record of 7-1. They currently have a point differential of 19.0 as they are averaging 83.8 points per game while giving up 64.8 per contest. Michigan State has an overall record of 5-2. They are averaging 80.9 points per game and surrendering 64.7, good for a point differential of 16.1.

Valuable Duke Blue Devils Betting Trends

The Duke Blue Devils are 4-4-0 against the spread this season

The Duke Blue Devils are 6-2-0 against the over/under this year

Important Michigan State Spartans Betting Trends

The Michigan State Spartans are 2-5-0 against the spread this season

The Michigan State Spartans are 3-4-0 against the over/under this year

Key Duke Blue Devils Injuries

11/30/19 G Cassius Stanley Leg is out indefinitely

Key Michigan State Spartans Injuries

11/13/19 F Joey Hauser Eligibility is out for season
11/05/19 G Joshua Langford Foot is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Vernon Carey Jr. comes into this game averaging 18.4 points per contest while playing 24.8 minutes per night this year. He grabs 9.5 rebounds per contest and distributes 0.4 assists per game. His FG percentage is 43% while his free throw percentage is 57%. Tre Jones averages 15.1 points per contest in 33.6 minutes per game. He averages 6.9 assists per game and 3.8 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 41% for the season while his free throw percentage is 80%.

Player Spotlight

Cassius Winston scores 17.9 points per contest while playing 29.6 minutes per game. He hauls in 2.1 rebounds per contest and has 5.9 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is at 87%. Xavier Tillman averages 12.3 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 29.6 minutes per game. He also brings in 10.0 rebounds per game and has 2.4 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 48% and his free throw percentage is 66%.

Useful Team Statistics

Duke averages 83.8 points per contest, which is 15th in D-1. Their average scoring margin is 19.0 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a unit, which has them ranked 107th. From 3-point territory they shoot 35%, which is good for 105th in the nation. They average 43.4 boards per contest and 15.5 assists per game, which ranks them 10th and 69th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 74th with 15.3 per game. The Blue Devils allow 64.8 points per contest, which is 110th in the NCAA. They also surrender a 42% shooting percentage and a 31% average from 3-point range, ranking them 186th and 124th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 32.0 rebounds a game which ranks 66th, and they allow 11.8 assists per game which puts them in 135th place in the country. They force 18.8 turnovers per game which ranks them 333rd in Division 1.

Useful Team Statistics

Michigan State is 42nd in the nation with 80.9 points per contest this season. They are 67th in the country in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 16.1. They shoot 34% from beyond the arc, which is good for 148th in the NCAA. They are 24th in D-1 in rebounding with 41.9 boards per contest and 3rd in assists per game with 18.4. The Spartans are 310th in turnovers per contest with 11.6. The Spartans give up 64.7 points per game, which ranks them 109th in Division 1. Their defense surrenders a 38% shooting percentage and a 31% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 34th and 135th in those defensive statistics. They rank 78th with 10.9 dimes allowed per game and 72nd with 32.1 boards surrendered per contest. The Spartans are 124th in the nation in forcing turnovers with 13.4 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Blue Devils are 62nd in the nation in offensive rating with 108.8. In terms of pace they are 28th in the country with 75.9 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 51% is 145th. As a team they are 141st in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 31% of their shots, ranking 300th in Division 1. Duke is 190th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.5 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Michigan State is 321st in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.9 times per 100 possessions. The Spartans have an offensive rating of 114.3, which is ranked 18th. They are 173rd in D-1 in pace with 70.7 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 86th. As a unit they are 67th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shot attempts, ranking 216th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Duke/Michigan State college basketball game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Duke +5

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here