Duke at Louisville Expert NCAA Basketball Picks 2/12/2019

Tuesday, February 12, 2019

KFC Yum! Center

Get todays College basketball odds and lines on this game.

The Duke Blue Devils head to KFC Yum! Center to take on the Louisville Cardinals on Tuesday, February 12, 2019. The opening line for this game has Duke as 7 point favorites.

Duke heads into this matchup with a mark of 21-2. They currently have a point differential of 21.3 as they are averaging 86.8 points per contest while giving up 65.5 per game. Louisville has an overall mark of 17-7. They are averaging 78.6 points per contest and giving up 68.5, which is a point differential of 10.2.

Valuable Duke Blue Devils Betting Trends

The Duke Blue Devils are 15-8-0 against the spread this season

The Duke Blue Devils are 6-16-1 against the over/under this year

Important Louisville Cardinals Betting Trends

The Louisville Cardinals are 12-10-2 against the spread this season

The Louisville Cardinals are 12-12-0 against the over/under this year

Key Duke Blue Devils Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Louisville Cardinals Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

R.J. Barrett comes into this game averaging 23.1 points per contest while playing 33.6 minutes per night this year. He grabs 7.2 rebounds per contest and distributes 3.7 assists per game. His FG percentage is 46% while his free throw percentage is 68%. Zion Williamson averages 21.8 points per contest in 29.1 minutes per game. He averages 2.4 assists per game and 9.2 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 68% for the season while his free throw percentage is 66%.

Player Spotlight

Jordan Nwora scores 17.6 points per contest while playing 31.8 minutes per game. He hauls in 7.6 rebounds per contest and has 1.5 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage is at 75%. Dwayne Sutton averages 11.0 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 32.3 minutes per game. He also brings in 7.0 rebounds per game and has 2.0 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 49% and his free throw percentage is 75%.

Useful Team Statistics

Duke averages 86.8 points per contest, which is 4th in D-1. Their average scoring margin is 21.3 and their shooting percentage is 49% as a unit, which has them ranked 17th. From 3-point territory they shoot 32%, which is good for 292nd in the nation. They average 42.3 boards per contest and 16.9 assists per game, which ranks them 3rd and 17th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 226th with 12.7 per game. The Blue Devils allow 65.5 points per contest, which is 42nd in the NCAA. They also surrender a 39% shooting percentage and a 30% average from 3-point range, ranking them 10th and 13th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 35.2 rebounds a game which ranks 200th, and they allow 12.1 assists per game which puts them in 99th place in the country. They force 16.0 turnovers per game which ranks them 319th in Division 1.

Useful Team Statistics

Louisville is 56th in the nation with 78.6 points per contest this season. They are 116th in the country in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is 10.2. They shoot 37% from beyond the arc, which is good for 78th in the NCAA. They are 79th in D-1 in rebounding with 37.5 boards per contest and 133rd in assists per game with 14.0. The Cardinals are 208th in turnovers per contest with 12.9. The Cardinals give up 68.5 points per game, which ranks them 99th in Division 1. Their defense surrenders a 41% shooting percentage and a 32% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 59th and 90th in those defensive statistics. They rank 71st with 11.7 dimes allowed per game and 106th with 33.4 boards surrendered per contest. The Cardinals are 111th in the nation in forcing turnovers with 12.6 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Blue Devils are 6th in the nation in offensive rating with 116.9. In terms of pace they are 30th in the country with 73.9 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 40th. As a team they are 60th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 37% of their shots, ranking 209th in Division 1. Duke is 314th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.3 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Louisville is 197th in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16 times per 100 possessions. The Cardinals have an offensive rating of 111.5, which is ranked 42nd. They are 213th in D-1 in pace with 69.1 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 54% is 80th. As a unit they are 30th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 43% of their shot attempts, ranking 66th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Duke/Louisville college basketball game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Duke -7

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