Dayton at UMass Expert NCAA Basketball Picks 2/26/2019

Tuesday, February 26, 2019

William D. Mullins Memorial Center

Get todays College basketball odds and lines on this game.

The Dayton Flyers head to William D. Mullins Memorial Center to take on the UMass Minutemen on Tuesday, February 26, 2019. The opening line for this game has Dayton as 5.5 point favorites.

Dayton heads into this matchup with a mark of 18-9. They currently have a point differential of 6.4 as they are averaging 73.6 points per contest while giving up 67.2 per game. UMass has an overall record of 10-17. They are averaging 71.0 points per game and surrendering 72.6, good for a point differential of -1.7.

Valuable Dayton Flyers Betting Trends

The Dayton Flyers are 10-14-2 against the spread this season

The Dayton Flyers are 14-12-0 against the over/under this year

Important UMass Minutemen Betting Trends

The UMass Minutemen are 11-15-0 against the spread this season

The UMass Minutemen are 14-12-0 against the over/under this year

Key Dayton Flyers Injuries

12/03/18 G Jhery Matos Foot is out for season

Key UMass Minutemen Injuries

11/06/18 G Jaylen Franklin Personal is out indefinitely
02/25/19 G Curtis Cobb Foot is questionable Tuesday vs Dayton

Player Spotlight

Josh Cunningham comes into this game averaging 14.2 points per contest while playing 29.3 minutes per night this year. He grabs 6.6 rebounds per contest and distributes 1.7 assists per game. His FG percentage is 35% while his free throw percentage is 61%. Obadiah Toppin averages 13.7 points per contest in 25.5 minutes per game. He averages 1.7 assists per game and 5.4 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 66% for the season while his free throw percentage is 73%.

Player Spotlight

Luwane Pipkins scores 16.6 points per contest while playing 32.3 minutes per game. He hauls in 5.0 rebounds per contest and has 5.3 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 35% and his free throw percentage is at 81%. Carl Pierre averages 11.8 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 29.7 minutes per game. He also brings in 1.8 rebounds per game and has 1.3 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is 74%.

Useful Team Statistics

Dayton averages 73.6 points per contest, which is 156th in D-1. Their average scoring margin is 6.4 and their shooting percentage is 50% as a unit, which has them ranked 4th. From 3-point territory they shoot 34%, which is good for 216th in the nation. They average 34.9 boards per contest and 16.4 assists per game, which ranks them 208th and 20th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 255th with 12.2 per game. The Flyers allow 67.2 points per contest, which is 67th in the NCAA. They also surrender a 42% shooting percentage and a 33% average from 3-point range, ranking them 68th and 100th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 32.5 rebounds a game which ranks 58th, and they allow 12.9 assists per game which puts them in 162nd place in the country. They force 11.1 turnovers per game which ranks them 29th in Division 1.

Useful Team Statistics

UMass is 233rd in the nation with 71.0 points per contest this season. They are 190th in the country in shooting at 44%, while their average scoring margin is -1.7. They shoot 35% from beyond the arc, which is good for 134th in the NCAA. They are 244th in D-1 in rebounding with 34.3 boards per contest and 73rd in assists per game with 14.9. The Minutemen are 150th in turnovers per contest with 13.3. The Minutemen give up 72.6 points per game, which ranks them 217th in Division 1. Their defense surrenders a 45% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 235th and 251st in those defensive statistics. They rank 291st with 14.8 dimes allowed per game and 60th with 32.6 boards surrendered per contest. The Minutemen are 68th in the nation in forcing turnovers with 12.0 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Flyers are 58th in the nation in offensive rating with 109.7. In terms of pace they are 311th in the country with 66.5 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 56% is 16th. As a team they are 27th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shots, ranking 271st in Division 1. Dayton is 174th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.2 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

UMass is 112th in college basketball in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.9 times per 100 possessions. The Minutemen are 183rd in the country in offensive rating with 103.3. In terms of pace they are 237th in Division 1 with 68.4 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 51% is 160th. As a team they are 181st in D-1 in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 41% of their shots, ranking 113th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Dayton/UMass college basketball game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Dayton -5.5

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