Connecticut at South Florida Expert NCAA Basketball Picks Against the Spread 3/14/2019

Thursday, March 14, 2019

FedEx Forum

Get todays College basketball odds and lines on this game.

The Connecticut Huskies travel to FedEx Forum to play the South Florida Bulls on Thursday, March 14, 2019. The opening line for this matchup has UConn as 1 point favorites.

Connecticut comes into this game with an overall record of 15-16. They currently have a point differential of 3.7 as they are averaging 74.5 points per game while giving up 70.9 per contest. South Florida has an overall mark of 19-12. They are averaging 72.2 points per contest and giving up 66.6, which is a point differential of 5.6.

Valuable Connecticut Huskies Betting Trends

The Connecticut Huskies are 18-13-0 against the spread

The Connecticut Huskies are 14-15-2 against the over/under

Important South Florida Bulls Betting Trends

The South Florida Bulls are 18-11-1 against the spread

The South Florida Bulls are 14-16-0 against the over/under

Key Connecticut Huskies Injuries

03/09/19 G Alterique Gilbert Concussion is out indefinitely
01/05/19 F Kwintin Williams Suspension is out indefinitely
01/04/19 F Kassoum Yakwe Foot is out for season

Key South Florida Bulls Injuries

11/09/18 F Madut Akec Stress Fracture is out indefinitely
03/11/19 G Laquincy Rideau Foot is doubtful

Player Spotlight

Jalen Adams comes into this contest averaging 16.9 points per game while playing 29.8 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 3.7 rebounds per game and dishes out 3.3 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 39% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 86%. Christian Vital averages 14.1 points per game in 29.9 minutes per contest this season. He averages 2.4 assists per contest and 5.7 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 45% for the year while his free throw percentage is 80%.

Player Spotlight

David Collins averages 15.3 points per game while playing 33.2 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 3.8 rebounds per game and has 2.8 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 39% and his free throw percentage is at 73%. Alexis Yetna averages 12.1 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 29.6 minutes per contest. He also averages 9.6 rebounds per contest and 1.1 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 52% and his free throw percentage is 60%.

Useful Team Statistics

Connecticut averages 74.5 points per contest this season, which ranks them 124th in the NCAA. Their average scoring margin is 3.7 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a team, which has them ranked 157th. Behind the arc they shoot 35% which is good for 168th in the nation. They average 35.5 rebounds per game and 12.9 assists per game, which ranks them 171st and 223rd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 174th with 13.0 per game. The Huskies allow 70.9 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 169th in the country. They also allow a 44% shooting percentage and a 33% average from behind the arc, ranking them 187th and 125th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 34.2 rebounds a game which ranks 137th and they give up 12.7 assists per contest, which puts them in 154th place in Division 1. They force 14.4 turnovers per game which ranks them 275th in D-1.

Useful Team Statistics

South Florida is 188th in the country with 72.2 points per game this year. They are 262nd in Division 1 in shooting at 43%, while their average scoring margin is 5.6. They shoot 33% from 3-point range, which is good for 260th in the nation. They are 26th in the NCAA in rebounding with 39.1 boards per game, and 153rd in assists per contest with 13.7. The Bulls are 9th in turnovers per game with 16.1. The Bulls surrender 66.6 points per contest, which ranks them 54th in D-1. Their defense allows a 42% shooting percentage and a 31% average from 3-point range, ranking them 82nd and 37th in those defensive statistics. They rank 176th with 13.0 assists allowed per contest and 33rd with 31.7 rebounds surrendered per game. The Bulls are 320th in country in forcing turnovers with 15.5 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Huskies are 125th in the nation in offensive rating with 106.3. In terms of pace they are 145th in the country with 69.9 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 51% is 166th. As a team they are 193rd in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 37% of their shots, ranking 227th in Division 1. Connecticut is 198th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15.9 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

South Florida is 27th in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 19 times per 100 possessions. The Bulls have an offensive rating of 102.3, which is ranked 211th. They are 183rd in D-1 in pace with 69.2 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 49% is 270th. As a unit they are 264th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shot attempts, ranking 188th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Connecticut/South Florida college basketball game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take South Florida +1

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