Buffalo at Western Michigan Expert NCAA Basketball Picks 1/15/2019

Tuesday, January 15, 2019

University Arena

Get todays College basketball odds and lines on this game.

The Buffalo Bulls travel to University Arena to play the Western Michigan Broncos on Tuesday, January 15, 2019. The opening line for this matchup has Buffalo as 14.5 point favorites.

Buffalo heads into this matchup with a mark of 15-1. They currently have a point differential of 16.1 as they are averaging 85.4 points per contest while giving up 69.4 per game. Western Michigan has an overall record of 6-10. They are averaging 72.5 points per game and surrendering 73.0, good for a point differential of -0.5.

Valuable Buffalo Bulls Betting Trends

The Buffalo Bulls are 11-3-1 against the spread

The Buffalo Bulls are 7-8-0 against the over/under

Important Western Michigan Broncos Betting Trends

The Western Michigan Broncos are 6-7-2 against the spread

The Western Michigan Broncos are 9-6-0 against the over/under

Key Buffalo Bulls Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Western Michigan Broncos Injuries

11/20/18 G Bryce Moore Knee is out for season
11/09/18 G Jason Whitens Knee is out for season

Player Spotlight

Jeremy Harris averages 15.2 points per game in 30.5 minutes per contest. He averages 2.9 assists per contest and 5.8 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 44% for the year while his free throw percentage is 68%. C.J. Massinburg comes into this contest averaging 17.2 points per game while playing 32.2 minutes per night. He pulls down 6.7 rebounds per game and dishes out 3.1 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 45% while his free throw percentage is at 76%.

Player Spotlight

Seth Dugan averages 14.8 points per game and he sees the court an average of 31.5 minutes per contest. He also averages 8.3 rebounds per contest and 1.6 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 53% and his free throw percentage is 62%. Michael Flowers averages 16.6 points per game while playing 30.9 minutes per contest. He grabs 5.1 rebounds per game and has 3.9 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is at 78%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Bulls allow 69.4 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 125th in Division 1. They also allow a 41% shooting percentage and a 32% average from behind the arc, ranking them 69th and 110th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 37.8 rebounds a game which ranks 299th, and they give up 10.3 assists per contest which puts them in 22nd place in the NCAA. They force 16.3 turnovers per game which ranks them 313th in the nation. Buffalo averages 85.4 points per contest this season, which ranks them 13th in the country. Their average scoring margin is 16.1 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 102nd. Behind the arc they shoot 35% which is good for 155th in D-1. They average 40.4 rebounds per game and 17.8 assists per contest, which ranks them 25th and 13th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 329th with 10.9 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Broncos surrender 73.0 points per contest, which ranks them 219th in the NCAA. Their defense allows a 43% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 162nd and 258th in those defensive statistics. They rank 229th with 13.7 assists allowed per contest, and 117th with 33.8 rebounds surrendered per game. The Broncos are 13th in Division 1 in forcing turnovers with 10.7 per game. Western Michigan is 217th in the country with 72.5 points per game this year. They are 237th in the D-1 in shooting at 43%, while their average scoring margin is -0.5. They shoot 33% from 3-point range, which is good for 225th in the nation. They are 91st in the country in rebounding with 37.9 boards per game and 261st in assists per contest with 12.4. The Broncos are 94th in turnovers per game with 14.5.

Advanced Statistics

The Bulls are 15th in the nation in offensive rating with 115.6. In terms of pace they are 61st in the country with 73.4 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 77th. As a team they are 101st in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 42% of their shots, ranking 91st in Division 1. Buffalo is 345th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.6 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Western Michigan is 87th in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 17.7 times per 100 possessions. The Broncos have an offensive rating of 103.1, which is ranked 206th. They are 241st in D-1 in pace with 69.2 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 50% is 221st. As a unit they are 206th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 42% of their shot attempts, ranking 97th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Buffalo/Western Michigan college basketball game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Western Michigan +14.5

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