Bowling Green at Buffalo NCAA Basketball Picks & Predictions 3/16/2019

Saturday, March 16, 2019

Quicken Loans Arena

Get todays College basketball odds and lines on this game.

The Bowling Green Falcons travel to Quicken Loans Arena to play the Buffalo Bulls on Saturday in the MAC Tournament Championship. The opening line for this matchup has Buffalo as 3 point favorites.

Bowling Green comes into this game with an overall record of 20-11. They currently have a point differential of 5.6 as they are averaging 78.6 points per game while giving up 73.0 per contest. Buffalo has an overall record of 28-3. They are averaging 84.9 points per game and surrendering 70.5, good for a point differential of 14.4.

Valuable Bowling Green Falcons Betting Trends

The Bowling Green Falcons are 18-12-1 against the spread

The Bowling Green Falcons are 17-12-0 against the over/under

Important Buffalo Bulls Betting Trends

The Buffalo Bulls are 17-14-1 against the spread

The Buffalo Bulls are 14-16-0 against the over/under

Key Bowling Green Falcons Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Buffalo Bulls Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Justin Turner comes into this contest averaging 18.3 points per game while playing 32.1 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 3.7 rebounds per game and dishes out 3.1 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 47% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 71%. Dylan Frye averages 13.1 points per game in 29.6 minutes per contest this season. He averages 2.5 assists per contest and 2.3 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 42% for the year while his free throw percentage is 68%.

Player Spotlight

C.J. Massinburg averages 18.3 points per game while playing 31.9 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 6.5 rebounds per game and has 3.0 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 47% and his free throw percentage is at 79%. Nick Perkins averages 14.6 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 26.1 minutes per contest. He also averages 7.4 rebounds per contest and 0.7 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage is 68%.

Useful Team Statistics

Bowling Green averages 78.6 points per contest this season, which ranks them 47th in the NCAA. Their average scoring margin is 5.6 and their shooting percentage is 44% as a team, which has them ranked 178th. Behind the arc they shoot 36% which is good for 99th in the nation. They average 40.8 rebounds per game and 12.8 assists per game, which ranks them 9th and 231st in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 260th with 12.1 per game. The Falcons allow 73.0 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 221st in the country. They also allow a 43% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc, ranking them 99th and 163rd in those defensive categories. Opponents average 35.8 rebounds a game which ranks 238th and they give up 12.1 assists per contest, which puts them in 90th place in Division 1. They force 13.2 turnovers per game which ranks them 179th in D-1.

Useful Team Statistics

Buffalo is 5th in the country with 84.9 points per game this year. They are 68th in Division 1 in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is 14.4. They shoot 33% from 3-point range, which is good for 230th in the nation. They are 3rd in the NCAA in rebounding with 41.2 boards per game, and 13th in assists per contest with 16.9. The Bulls are 269th in turnovers per game with 11.9. The Bulls surrender 70.5 points per contest, which ranks them 160th in D-1. Their defense allows a 42% shooting percentage and a 30% average from 3-point range, ranking them 71st and 21st in those defensive statistics. They rank 16th with 10.4 assists allowed per contest and 275th with 36.8 rebounds surrendered per game. The Bulls are 323rd in country in forcing turnovers with 15.6 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Falcons are 99th in the nation in offensive rating with 107.2. In terms of pace they are 41st in the country with 72.8 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 51% is 184th. As a team they are 202nd in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shots, ranking 252nd in Division 1. Bowling Green is 315th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.2 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Buffalo is 333rd in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.6 times per 100 possessions. The Bulls have an offensive rating of 113.1, which is ranked 19th. They are 15th in D-1 in pace with 74.8 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 54% is 75th. As a unit they are 88th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 43% of their shot attempts, ranking 72nd in the country.

Who will win tonight's Bowling Green/Buffalo college basketball game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Buffalo -3

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