Auburn at Virginia Final Four Point Spread Picks 4/6/2019

Saturday, April 6, 2019

US. Bank Stadium

Get todays College basketball odds and lines on this game.

The Auburn Tigers travel to US. Bank Stadium to play the Virginia Cavaliers on Saturday in the Final 4. Auburn is coming off a 77-71 Elite 8 win over Kentucky while Virginia held off Purdue 80-75 in overtime to advance to their first Final 4 since 1984. The opening line for this matchup has Virginia as 5.5 point favorites.

Auburn comes into this game with an overall record of 30-9. They currently have a point differential of 11.3 as they are averaging 80.2 points per game while giving up 68.9 per contest. Virginia has an overall record of 33-3. They are averaging 71.3 points per game and surrendering 55.4, good for a point differential of 15.9.

Valuable Auburn Tigers Betting Trends

The Auburn Tigers are 21-16-1 against the spread

The Auburn Tigers are 15-14-1 against the over/under

Important Virginia Cavaliers Betting Trends

The Virginia Cavaliers are 25-11-0 against the spread

The Virginia Cavaliers are 14-16-0 against the over/under

Key Auburn Tigers Injuries

03/29/19 F Chuma Okeke Knee is out for season

Key Virginia Cavaliers Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Jared Harper averages 15.4 points per game in 32.9 minutes per contest. He averages 5.8 assists per contest and 2.5 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 40% for the year while his free throw percentage is 83%. Bryce Brown comes into this contest averaging 16.0 points per game while playing 32.0 minutes per night. He pulls down 2.1 rebounds per game and dishes out 1.9 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 45% while his free throw percentage is at 81%.

Player Spotlight

De'Andre Hunter averages 14.9 points per game and he sees the court an average of 32.0 minutes per contest. He also averages 5.0 rebounds per contest and 2.0 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 52% and his free throw percentage is 80%. Kyle Guy averages 15.2 points per game while playing 35.0 minutes per contest. He grabs 4.6 rebounds per game and has 2.1 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is at 82%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Tigers allow 68.9 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 107th in Division 1. They also allow a 44% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the arc, ranking them 168th and 201st in those defensive categories. Opponents average 35.4 rebounds a game which ranks 206th, and they give up 12.2 assists per contest which puts them in 104th place in the NCAA. They force 17.3 turnovers per game which ranks them 345th in the nation. Auburn averages 80.2 points per contest this season, which ranks them 28th in the country. Their average scoring margin is 11.3 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a team, which has them ranked 138th. Behind the arc they shoot 38% which is good for 32nd in D-1. They average 34.3 rebounds per game and 14.4 assists per contest, which ranks them 232nd and 94th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 276th with 11.8 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Cavaliers surrender 55.4 points per contest, which ranks them 1st in the NCAA. Their defense allows a 38% shooting percentage and a 29% average from 3-point range, ranking them 5th and 4th in those defensive statistics. They rank 2nd with 8.8 assists allowed per contest, and 7th with 29.6 rebounds surrendered per game. The Cavaliers are 27th in Division 1 in forcing turnovers with 10.9 per game. Virginia is 211th in the country with 71.3 points per game this year. They are 37th in the D-1 in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 15.9. They shoot 39% from 3-point range, which is good for 7th in the nation. They are 204th in the country in rebounding with 34.9 boards per game and 104th in assists per contest with 14.3. The Cavaliers are 351st in turnovers per game with 9.0.

Advanced Statistics

The Tigers are 10th in the nation in offensive rating with 114.3. In terms of pace they are 169th in the country with 69.4 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 39th. As a team they are 45th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 49% of their shots, ranking 8th in Division 1. Auburn is 305th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.4 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Virginia is 344th in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.7 times per 100 possessions. The Cavaliers have an offensive rating of 116.5, which is ranked 4th. They are 351st in D-1 in pace with 60.8 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 26th. As a unit they are 27th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shot attempts, ranking 150th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Auburn/Virginia college basketball game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Virginia -5.5

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn