Auburn at Alabama Expert NCAA Basketball Picks Against the Spread 3/5/2019

Tuesday, March 5, 2019

Coleman Coliseum

Get todays College basketball odds and lines on this game.

The Auburn Tigers travel to Coleman Coliseum to play the Alabama Crimson Tide on Tuesday, March 5, 2019. The opening line for this matchup has Auburn as 2.5 point favorites.

Auburn heads into this matchup with a mark of 20-9. They currently have a point differential of 12.0 as they are averaging 80.4 points per contest while giving up 68.4 per game. Alabama has an overall record of 17-12. They are averaging 73.2 points per game and surrendering 71.6, good for a point differential of 1.6.

Valuable Auburn Tigers Betting Trends

The Auburn Tigers are 13-14-1 against the spread

The Auburn Tigers are 14-13-1 against the over/under

Important Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Trends

The Alabama Crimson Tide are 12-16-1 against the spread

The Alabama Crimson Tide are 14-14-1 against the over/under

Key Auburn Tigers Injuries

03/04/19 C Austin Wiley Leg is questionable Tuesday vs Alabama

Key Alabama Crimson Tide Injuries

11/29/18 F Javian Davis-Fleming Knee is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Bryce Brown comes into this contest averaging 16.0 points per game while playing 31.5 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 2.1 rebounds per game and dishes out 1.8 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 44% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 82%. Jared Harper averages 15.1 points per game in 33.6 minutes per contest this season. He averages 6.0 assists per contest and 2.7 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 40% for the year while his free throw percentage is 82%.

Player Spotlight

Kira Lewis Jr. averages 14.0 points per game while playing 31.8 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 2.5 rebounds per game and has 2.9 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is at 79%. Donta Hall averages 11.0 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 26.3 minutes per contest. He also averages 8.6 rebounds per contest and 0.6 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 64% and his free throw percentage is 72%.

Useful Team Statistics

Auburn averages 80.4 points per contest this season, which ranks them 32nd in the NCAA. Their average scoring margin is 12.0 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a team, which has them ranked 150th. Behind the arc they shoot 38% which is good for 39th in the nation. They average 35.7 rebounds per game and 14.8 assists per game, which ranks them 167th and 76th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 192nd with 12.9 per game. The Tigers allow 68.4 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 94th in the country. They also allow a 43% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc, ranking them 106th and 195th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 35.2 rebounds a game which ranks 201st and they give up 12.0 assists per contest, which puts them in 90th place in Division 1. They force 17.8 turnovers per game which ranks them 346th in D-1.

Useful Team Statistics

Alabama is 164th in the country with 73.2 points per game this year. They are 166th in Division 1 in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is 1.6. They shoot 34% from 3-point range, which is good for 206th in the nation. They are 68th in the NCAA in rebounding with 37.6 boards per game, and 255th in assists per contest with 12.5. The Crimson Tide are 141st in turnovers per game with 13.4. The Crimson Tide surrender 71.6 points per contest, which ranks them 184th in D-1. Their defense allows a 44% shooting percentage and a 33% average from 3-point range, ranking them 187th and 99th in those defensive statistics. They rank 43rd with 11.2 assists allowed per contest and 146th with 34.2 rebounds surrendered per game. The Crimson Tide are 81st in country in forcing turnovers with 12.1 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Tigers are 16th in the nation in offensive rating with 113.4. In terms of pace they are 134th in the country with 70.3 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 53rd. As a team they are 71st in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 48% of their shots, ranking 10th in Division 1. Auburn is 257th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15.3 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Alabama is 154th in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.5 times per 100 possessions. The Crimson Tide have an offensive rating of 104.2, which is ranked 164th. They are 137th in D-1 in pace with 70.2 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 51% is 185th. As a unit they are 188th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 37% of their shot attempts, ranking 220th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Auburn/Alabama college basketball game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Alabama +2.5

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