Alabama at Baylor Expert NCAA Basketball Picks Against the Spread 1/26/2019

Saturday, January 26, 2019

Ferrell Center

Get todays College basketball odds and lines on this game.

The Alabama Crimson Tide travel to Ferrell Center to play the Baylor Bears on Saturday, January 26, 2019. The opening line for this matchup has Baylor as 4 point favorites.

Alabama comes into this game with an overall record of 12-6. They currently have a point differential of 4.6 as they are averaging 75.9 points per game while giving up 71.3 per contest. Baylor has an overall record of 12-6. They are averaging 72.2 points per game and surrendering 64.3, good for a point differential of 7.9.

Valuable Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Trends

The Alabama Crimson Tide are 8-9-1 against the spread

The Alabama Crimson Tide are 12-5-1 against the over/under

Important Baylor Bears Betting Trends

The Baylor Bears are 11-7-0 against the spread

The Baylor Bears are 7-11-0 against the over/under

Key Alabama Crimson Tide Injuries

11/29/18 F Javian Davis-Fleming Knee is out indefinitely

Key Baylor Bears Injuries

01/12/19 F Tristan Clark Knee is out for season

Player Spotlight

Kira Lewis Jr. comes into this contest averaging 13.8 points per game while playing 30.6 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 2.1 rebounds per game and dishes out 2.6 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 44% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 85%. John Petty averages 12.2 points per game in 30.1 minutes per contest this season. He averages 1.7 assists per contest and 4.4 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 44% for the year while his free throw percentage is 69%.

Player Spotlight

Makai Mason averages 15.7 points per game while playing 32.2 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 2.7 rebounds per game and has 2.9 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is at 83%. King McClure averages 10.7 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 30.8 minutes per contest. He also averages 5.7 rebounds per contest and 2.4 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 41% and his free throw percentage is 73%.

Useful Team Statistics

Alabama averages 75.9 points per contest this season, which ranks them 117th in the NCAA. Their average scoring margin is 4.6 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a team, which has them ranked 184th. Behind the arc they shoot 35% which is good for 162nd in the nation. They average 39.5 rebounds per game and 12.5 assists per game, which ranks them 32nd and 257th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 178th with 13.2 per game. The Crimson Tide allow 71.3 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 174th in the country. They also allow a 44% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc, ranking them 213th and 199th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 32.8 rebounds a game which ranks 75th and they give up 10.8 assists per contest, which puts them in 36th place in Division 1. They force 12.4 turnovers per game which ranks them 84th in D-1.

Useful Team Statistics

Baylor is 215th in the country with 72.2 points per game this year. They are 197th in Division 1 in shooting at 44%, while their average scoring margin is 7.9. They shoot 32% from 3-point range, which is good for 291st in the nation. They are 60th in the NCAA in rebounding with 38.6 boards per game, and 159th in assists per contest with 13.9. The Bears are 115th in turnovers per game with 14.0. The Bears surrender 64.3 points per contest, which ranks them 26th in D-1. Their defense allows a 41% shooting percentage and a 33% average from 3-point range, ranking them 54th and 131st in those defensive statistics. They rank 111th with 12.3 assists allowed per contest and 38th with 31.7 rebounds surrendered per game. The Bears are 225th in country in forcing turnovers with 14.3 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Crimson Tide are 114th in the nation in offensive rating with 107.4. In terms of pace they are 144th in the country with 70.7 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 51% is 198th. As a team they are 186th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 37% of their shots, ranking 223rd in Division 1. Alabama is 211th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Baylor is 106th in college basketball in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 17.2 times per 100 possessions. The Bears are 122nd in the country in offensive rating with 106.6. In terms of pace they are 287th in Division 1 with 67.7 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 51% is 213th. As a team they are 220th in D-1 in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shots, ranking 125th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Alabama/Baylor college basketball game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Baylor -4

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