North Carolina at Virginia College Basketball Picks & Predictions 3/10/2018

Saturday, March 10, 2018

Barclays Center

Get todays College basketball odds and lines on this game.

The North Carolina Tar Heels head to Barclays Center to take on the Virginia Cavaliers on Saturday, March 10, 2018. The opening line for this matchup has Virginia as 4.5 point favorites.

North Carolina heads into this matchup with a mark of 22-9. They currently have a point differential of 9.5 as they are averaging 82.8 points per contest while giving up 73.3 per game. Virginia has an overall record of 28-2. They are averaging 67.5 points per game and surrendering 52.9, good for a point differential of 14.6.

Valuable North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Trends

The North Carolina Tar Heels are 18-13 against the spread this season

The North Carolina Tar Heels are 18-12 against the over/under this year

Important Virginia Cavaliers Betting Trends

The Virginia Cavaliers are 19-8 against the spread this season

The Virginia Cavaliers are 7-20 against the over/under this year

Key North Carolina Tar Heels Injuries

01/30/18 G Jalek Felton Suspension is out indefinitely

Key Virginia Cavaliers Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Joel Berry averages 17.3 points per contest while playing 32.8 minutes per night this year. He grabs 3.5 rebounds per contest and distributes 3.2 assists per game. His FG percentage is 40% while his free throw percentage is 88%. Luke Maye averages 17.1 points per contest in 32.5 minutes per game this year. He averages 2.3 assists per game and 10.2 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 50% for the season while his free throw percentage is 63%.

Player Spotlight

Kyle Guy scores 14 points per contest while playing 31.9 minutes per game this season. He hauls in 2.5 rebounds per contest and has 1.4 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 40% and his free throw percentage is at 85%. Devon Hall averages 11.9 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 31.9 minutes per game. He also brings in 4.3 rebounds per game and has 3.3 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage is 89%.

Useful Team Statistics

North Carolina averages 82.8 points per contest this year, which is 22nd in the nation. Their average scoring margin is 9.5 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a unit, which has them ranked 97th. From 3-point territory they shoot 37%, which is good for 104th in Division 1. They average 42.9 boards per contest and 18.1 assists per game, which ranks them 1st and 5th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 251st with 12.1 per game. The Tar Heels allow 73.3 points per contest, which is 201st in the country. They also surrender a 42% shooting percentage and a 38% average from 3-point range, ranking them 79th and 333rd in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 32.4 rebounds a game which ranks 53rd, and they allow 14.6 assists per game which puts them in 277th place in college basketball. They force 11.6 turnovers per game which ranks them 62nd in D-1.

Useful Team Statistics

Virginia is 309th in the country with 67.5 points per contest this season. They are 105th in the nation in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is 14.6. They shoot 39% from beyond the arc, which is good for 31st in Division 1. They are 315th in the country in rebounding with 32.6 boards per contest and 175th in assists per game with 13.6. The Cavaliers are 351st in turnovers per contest with 8.7. The Cavaliers give up 52.9 points per game, which ranks them 1st in the nation. Their defense surrenders a 38% shooting percentage and a 30% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 3rd and 6th in those defensive statistics. They rank 1st with 8.7 dimes allowed per game and 15th with 30.7 boards surrendered per contest. The Cavaliers are 159th in college basketball in forcing turnovers with 12.8 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Tar Heels are 156th in the country in defensive rating with 101.8, and their offensive rating of 114.9 is ranked 17th. They are 73rd in college basketball in pace with 71.8 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 115th. As a unit they are 117th in the nation in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shot attempts, ranking 252nd in D-1. North Carolina is 314th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.2 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 50%, which is 155th in the country.

Advanced Statistics

Virginia is 346th in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 18.6 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 44%, which is 3rd in Division 1. The Cavaliers are 2nd in the nation in defensive rating with 87.1, and their offensive rating of 111.2 is ranked 50th. They are 351st in D-1 in pace with 60.5 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 95th. As a unit they are 112th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shot attempts, ranking 245th in the country.

Who will win tonight's North Carolina/Virginia college basketball game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take North Carolina +4.5

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