Mississippi State at Louisville College Basketball Picks & Predictions 3/20/2018

Tuesday, March 20, 2018

KFC Yum! Center

Get todays College basketball odds and lines on this game.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs head to KFC Yum! Center to take on the Louisville Cardinals on Tuesday, March 20, 2018. The opening line for this matchup has Louisville as 4.5 point favorites.

Mississippi State comes into this game with an overall record of 24-11. They currently have a point differential of 5.7 as they are averaging 73.6 points per game while giving up 67.9 per contest. Louisville has an overall record of 22-13. They are averaging 76.1 points per game and surrendering 70.1, good for a point differential of 6.0.

Valuable Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Trends

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 15-14 against the spread this season

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 12-14 against the over/under this year

Important Louisville Cardinals Betting Trends

The Louisville Cardinals are 17-14 against the spread this season

The Louisville Cardinals are 16-11 against the over/under this year

Key Mississippi State Bulldogs Injuries

03/19/18 C Schnider Herard Transferred is out for season

Key Louisville Cardinals Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Quinndary Weatherspoon averages 14.5 points per contest while playing 31.5 minutes per night this year. He grabs 5.7 rebounds per contest and distributes 3.5 assists per game. His FG percentage is 45% while his free throw percentage is 76%. Nick Weatherspoon averages 10.9 points per contest in 28.3 minutes per game this year. He averages 2.1 assists per game and 2.9 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 48% for the season while his free throw percentage is 72%.

Player Spotlight

Deng Adel scores 15 points per contest while playing 33.3 minutes per game this season. He hauls in 5.2 rebounds per contest and has 2.8 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is at 78%. Raymond Spalding averages 12.3 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 27.4 minutes per game. He also brings in 8.6 rebounds per game and has 1.3 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 54% and his free throw percentage is 64%.

Useful Team Statistics

Mississippi State averages 73.6 points per contest this year, which is 176th in the nation. Their average scoring margin is 5.7 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a unit, which has them ranked 74th. From 3-point territory they shoot 32%, which is good for 321st in Division 1. They average 36.0 boards per contest and 13.4 assists per game, which ranks them 134th and 184th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 155th with 13.2 per game. The Bulldogs allow 67.9 points per contest, which is 60th in the country. They also surrender a 42% shooting percentage and a 33% average from 3-point range, ranking them 52nd and 61st in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 34.3 rebounds a game which ranks 147th, and they allow 11.9 assists per game which puts them in 71st place in college basketball. They force 13.5 turnovers per game which ranks them 218th in D-1.

Useful Team Statistics

Louisville is 103rd in the country with 76.1 points per contest this season. They are 124th in the nation in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is 6.0. They shoot 37% from beyond the arc, which is good for 65th in Division 1. They are 106th in the country in rebounding with 36.6 boards per contest and 165th in assists per game with 13.7. The Cardinals are 283rd in turnovers per contest with 11.7. The Cardinals give up 70.1 points per game, which ranks them 111th in the nation. Their defense surrenders a 41% shooting percentage and a 33% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 35th and 53rd in those defensive statistics. They rank 31st with 11.1 dimes allowed per game and 267th with 36.6 boards surrendered per contest. The Cardinals are 213th in college basketball in forcing turnovers with 13.5 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Bulldogs are 130th in the nation in offensive rating with 106.5, and their defensive rating of 98.2 is ranked 53rd. In terms of pace they are 225th in the country with 68.7 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 106th. As a team they are 129th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shots, ranking 158th in Division 1. Mississippi State is 128th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 16.9 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 48%, which is 52nd in the nation.

Advanced Statistics

Louisville is 291st in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 16.2 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 47%, which is 24th in Division 1. The Cardinals are 74th in the nation in defensive rating with 99.2, and their offensive rating of 107.7 is ranked 110th. They are 174th in D-1 in pace with 69.7 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 129th. As a unit they are 118th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shot attempts, ranking 243rd in the country.

Who will win tonight's Mississippi State/Louisville college basketball game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Mississippi State +4.5

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