Mississippi State at Dayton College Basketball Picks & Predictions 11/30/2018

Friday, November 30, 2018

University of Dayton Arena

Get todays College basketball odds and lines on this game.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs head to University of Dayton Arena to take on the Dayton Flyers on Friday, November 30, 2018. The opening line for this game has Mississippi State as 4 point favorites.

Mississippi State comes into this game with an overall record of 5-1. They currently have a point differential of 16.0 as they are averaging 77.8 points per game while giving up 61.8 per contest. Dayton has an overall record of 4-2. They are averaging 71.2 points per game and surrendering 65.2, good for a point differential of 6.0.

Valuable Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Trends

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 2-4-0 against the spread this season

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 2-4-0 against the over/under this year

Important Dayton Flyers Betting Trends

The Dayton Flyers are 3-3-0 against the spread this season

The Dayton Flyers are 2-4-0 against the over/under this year

Key Mississippi State Bulldogs Injuries

11/29/18 F Abdul Ado Foot is questionable Friday vs Dayton

Key Dayton Flyers Injuries

11/15/18 F Frankie Policelli Redshirt is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Quinndary Weatherspoon comes into this game averaging 17.0 points per contest while playing 31.2 minutes per night this year. He grabs 3.5 rebounds per contest and distributes 2.2 assists per game. His FG percentage is 67% while his free throw percentage is 89%. Aric Holman averages 11.5 points per contest in 28.3 minutes per game. He averages 1.3 assists per game and 8.7 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 47% for the season while his free throw percentage is 79%.

Player Spotlight

Josh Cunningham scores 14.5 points per contest while playing 32.8 minutes per game. He hauls in 7.3 rebounds per contest and has 1.8 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 67% and his free throw percentage is at 50%. Jalen Crutcher averages 13.5 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 34.5 minutes per game. He also brings in 3.7 rebounds per game and has 5.7 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is 57%.

Useful Team Statistics

Mississippi State averages 77.8 points per contest, which is 133rd in D-1. Their average scoring margin is 16.0 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a unit, which has them ranked 105th. From 3-point territory they shoot 29%, which is good for 307th in the nation. They average 37.8 boards per contest and 15.7 assists per game, which ranks them 140th and 86th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 287th with 11.8 per game. The Bulldogs allow 61.8 points per contest, which is 28th in the NCAA. They also surrender a 39% shooting percentage and a 32% average from 3-point range, ranking them 57th and 137th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 33.2 rebounds a game which ranks 104th, and they allow 10.0 assists per game which puts them in 36th place in the country. They force 14.7 turnovers per game which ranks them 210th in Division 1.

Useful Team Statistics

Dayton is 262nd in the nation with 71.2 points per contest this season. They are 66th in the country in shooting at 48%, while their average scoring margin is 6.0. They shoot 30% from beyond the arc, which is good for 286th in the NCAA. They are 239th in D-1 in rebounding with 35.2 boards per contest and 148th in assists per game with 14.3. The Flyers are 301st in turnovers per contest with 11.5. The Flyers give up 65.2 points per game, which ranks them 69th in Division 1. Their defense surrenders a 42% shooting percentage and a 33% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 126th and 161st in those defensive statistics. They rank 83rd with 11.2 dimes allowed per game and 71st with 32.2 boards surrendered per contest. The Flyers are 19th in the nation in forcing turnovers with 11.2 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Bulldogs are 65th in the nation in offensive rating with 112.8. In terms of pace they are 273rd in the country with 69 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 142nd. As a team they are 141st in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shots, ranking 157th in Division 1. Mississippi State is 279th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.5 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Dayton is 235th in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15.2 times per 100 possessions. The Flyers have an offensive rating of 106.5, which is ranked 148th. They are 326th in D-1 in pace with 66.9 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 131st. As a unit they are 144th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 32% of their shot attempts, ranking 306th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Mississippi State/Dayton college basketball game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Mississippi State -4

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