Michigan at Purdue Big Ten Championship Picks & Predictions 3/4/2018

Sunday, March 4, 2018

Madison Square Garden

Get todays College basketball odds and lines on this game.

The Michigan Wolverines travel to Madison Square Garden to play the Purdue Boilermakers on Sunday, March 4, 2018. The opening line for this game has Purdue as 2 point favorites.

Michigan heads into this matchup with a mark of 24-7. They currently have a point differential of 11.0 as they are averaging 74.4 points per contest while giving up 63.5 per game. Purdue has an overall record of 26-5. They are averaging 81.7 points per game and surrendering 65.2, good for a point differential of 16.5.

Valuable Michigan Wolverines Betting Trends

The Michigan Wolverines are 20-11 against the spread this season

The Michigan Wolverines are 14-16 against the over/under this year

Important Purdue Boilermakers Betting Trends

The Purdue Boilermakers are 15-15 against the spread this season

The Purdue Boilermakers are 12-16 against the over/under this year

Key Michigan Wolverines Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Purdue Boilermakers Injuries

12/22/17 F Eden Ewing Dismissed is out for season

Player Spotlight

Charles Matthews averages 12.8 points per game in 29.3 minutes per contest this season. He averages 2.6 assists per contest and 5.5 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 50% for the year while his free throw percentage is 55%. Moritz Wagner averages 14.5 points per game while playing 27.5 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 7.2 rebounds per game and dishes out 0.8 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 47% while his free throw percentage is at 70%.

Player Spotlight

Vince Edwards averages 15.1 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 31.5 minutes per contest. He also averages 7.5 rebounds per contest and 3 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 48% and his free throw percentage is 84%. Carsen Edwards averages 18.4 points per game while playing 29.1 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 3.8 rebounds per game and has 3.1 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 47% and his free throw percentage is at 83%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Wolverines allow 63.5 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 8th in the nation. They also allow a 43% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc, ranking them 129th and 156th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 32.4 rebounds a game which ranks 55th, and they give up 10.5 assists per contest, which puts them in 17th place in the country. They force 13.1 turnovers per game which ranks them 165th in college basketball. Michigan averages 74.4 points per contest this season, which ranks them 166th in Division 1. Their average scoring margin is 11.0 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 62nd. Behind the arc they shoot 37% which is good for 88th in D-1. They average 33.5 rebounds per game and 14.8 assists per game, which ranks them 281st and 99th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 350th with 9.3 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Boilermakers surrender 65.2 points per contest, which ranks them 25th in the country. Their defense allows a 41% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 34th and 107th in those defensive statistics. They rank 71st with 11.9 assists allowed per contest, and 71st with 32.7 rebounds surrendered per game. The Boilermakers are 114th in the nation in forcing turnovers with 12.4 per game this season. Purdue is 36th in Division 1 with 81.7 points per game this year. They are 13th in the country in shooting at 50%, while their average scoring margin is 16.5. They shoot 42% from 3-point range, which is good for 3rd in the nation. They are 198th in college basketball in rebounding with 35.0 boards per game and 14th in assists per contest with 17.2. The Boilermakers are 337th in turnovers per game with 10.7.

Advanced Statistics

The Wolverines are 24th in the country in defensive rating with 95.8, and their offensive rating of 112.4 is ranked 37th. They are 332nd in college basketball in pace with 65.5 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 41st. As a unit they are 87th in the nation in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 43% of their shot attempts, ranking 55th in D-1. Michigan is 348th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 17.5 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 48%, which is 63rd in the country.

Advanced Statistics

Purdue is 321st in college basketball in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.8 times per 100 possessions while forcing 15.8 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 47%, which is 22nd in the nation. The Boilermakers are 5th in the country in offensive rating with 119, and their defensive rating of 94.9 is ranked 17th. In terms of pace they are 241st in Division 1 with 68.4 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 58% is 7th. As a team they are 6th in D-1 in true shooting percentage with 61% and they shoot 3-pointers on 41% of their shots, ranking 92nd in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Michigan/Purdue college basketball game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Purdue -2

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