Cal Poly at Arizona College Basketball Picks & Predictions 11/11/2018

Sunday, November 11, 2018

McKale Center

Get todays College basketball odds and lines on this game.

The Cal Poly Mustangs travel to McKale Center to play the Arizona Wildcats on Sunday, November 11, 2018. The opening line for this matchup has Arizona as 22.5 point favorites.

Cal Poly comes into this game after finishing last season with an overall record of 9-20. They had a point differential of -7.1 as they averaged 67.2 points per game while giving up 74.3 per contest. Arizona had an overall mark of 24-7 last year. They averaged 80.5 points per contest and gave up 71.7, which was a point differential of 8.8.

Valuable Cal Poly Mustangs Betting Trends

The Cal Poly Mustangs were 7-19-2 against the spread last season

The Cal Poly Mustangs were 17-8-2 against the over/under last year

Important Arizona Wildcats Betting Trends

The Arizona Wildcats were 13-20-1 against the spread last season

The Arizona Wildcats were 15-14-1 against the over/under last year

Key Cal Poly Mustangs Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Arizona Wildcats Injuries

11/10/18 F Ira Lee Suspension Served is probable Sunday vs Cal Poly SLO

Player Spotlight

Donovan Fields averaged 13.0 points per game in 32.2 minutes per contest last season. He averaged 4.1 assists per contest and 3.3 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage was 41% for the year while his free throw percentage was 93%. Jakub Niziol comes into this contest after averaging 7.2 points per game while playing 18.3 minutes per night last season. He pulled down 2.3 rebounds per game and dished out 0.8 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage was 36% while his free throw percentage was at 81%.

Player Spotlight

Brandon Randolph averaged 3.7 points per game last season and he saw the court an average of 11.6 minutes per contest. He also averaged 0.8 rebounds per contest and 0.8 assists per game. His field goal percentage was 38% and his free throw percentage was 73%. Dylan Smith averaged 4.3 points per game while playing 14.6 minutes per contest last year. He grabbed 1.6 rebounds per game and had 1.1 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage was 36% and his free throw percentage finished at 81%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Mustangs allowed 74.3 points per game to their opponents which ranked them 227th in Division 1. They also allowed a 46% shooting percentage and a 38% average from behind the arc, ranking them 268th and 334th in those defensive categories. Opponents averaged 36.9 rebounds a game which ranked 277th, and they gave up 14.4 assists per contest which put them in 262nd place in the nation. They forced 11.2 turnovers per game which ranked them 39th in the country. Cal Poly averaged 67.2 points per contest last season, which ranked them 313th in the NCAA. Their average scoring margin was -7.1 and their shooting percentage was 40% as a team, which had them ranked 346th. Behind the arc they shot 36% which was good for 130th in D-1. They averaged 33.4 rebounds per game and 12.0 assists per game, which ranked them 281st and 291st in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they ranked 276th with 11.8 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Wildcats surrendered 71.7 points per contest, which ranked them 153rd in the nation. Their defense allowed a 44% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 154th and 244th in those defensive statistics. They ranked 115th with 12.7 assists allowed per contest, and 3rd with 29.1 rebounds surrendered per game. The Wildcats were 64th in the NCAA in forcing turnovers with 11.6 per game last season. Arizona was 41st in the country with 80.5 points per game last year. They were 4th in Division 1 in shooting at 50%, while their average scoring margin was 8.8. They shot 37% from 3-point range, which was good for 84th in D-1. They were 109th in the nation in rebounding with 36.5 boards per game and 74th in assists per contest with 15.2. The Wildcats were 243rd in turnovers per game with 12.2.

Advanced Statistics

The Mustangs had an offensive rating of 98.4, which was ranked 305th. They were 308th in college basketball in pace with 66.6 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 47% was 329th. As a unit they were 321st in the nation in true shooting percentage with 51% and they shot 3-pointers on 41% of their shot attempts, ranking 85th in D-1. Cal Poly was 248th in turnovers, as they turned the ball over an average of 15.2 times per 100 possessions.

Advanced Statistics

Arizona was 240th in the country in turnovers last year, as they turned the ball over an average of 15.3 times per 100 possessions. The Wildcats had an offensive rating of 115.6, which was ranked 10th. They were 224th in D-1 in pace with 68.7 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 56% was 18th. As a unit they were 15th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 60% and they shot 3-pointers on 32% of their shot attempts, ranking 301st in the country.

Who will win tonight's Cal Poly/Arizona college basketball game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Arizona -22.5

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