VCU vs St. Mary's 3/16/2017 Free NCAA Tournament Picks & Predictions
by Guy Bruhn - 3/13/2017
Thursday, March 16, 2017
Vivint Smart Home Arena
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
The 10 seed VCU Rams travel to Vivint Smart Home Arena to play the 7 seed St. Mary's Gaels on Thursday, March 16, 2017 in the NCAA Tournament. The opening line for this game has St. Mary's as 5 point favorites.
The Rams come into this game with an overall record of 24-7. They are 12-16 against the spread and their over/under record is 15-12. The Gaels have an overall record of 26-3. They have an over/under record of 11-15 and they are 15-12 against the spread.
JeQuan Lewis comes into this contest averaging 14.7 points per game while playing 31.1 minutes per night so far this season for the Rams. He pulls down 2.9 rebounds per game and dishes out 4.6 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 43% while his free throw percentage is currently at 84%. Justin Tillman averages 12.4 points per game in 25.4 minutes per contest this season. He averages 0.4 assists per contest and 8.8 rebounds per game for VCU. His field goal percentage is 59% for the year while his free throw percentage is 62%.
Jock Landale averages 16.8 points per game while playing 27.7 minutes per contest this year for the Gaels. He grabs 9.3 rebounds per game and has 1.6 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 61% and his free throw percentage currently is at 73%. Calvin Hermanson averages 13 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 28.5 minutes per contest. He also averages 2.9 rebounds per contest and 0.9 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 50% and his free throw percentage is 82%.
VCU averages 74.7 points per contest this season which ranks them 142nd in the nation. Their average scoring margin is 8.3 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a team which has them ranked 88th. Behind the arc they shoot 33% which is good for 258th in the country. They average 36.6 rebounds per game and 15.3 assists per game which ranks them 126th and 65th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 229th with 12.5 per game. The Rams allow 66.4 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 47th in the nation. They also allow a 42% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc ranking them 79th and 118th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 33.8 rebounds a game which ranks 104th and they give up 10.5 assists per contest which puts them in 17th place in the country. They force 14.7 turnovers per game which ranks them 296th in Division 1.
St. Mary's averages 72.0 points per game this year which ranks them 203rd in Division 1 college basketball. Their average scoring margin is 15.5 and their shooting percentage is 50% as a team which has them sitting in the 8th spot in the country. Behind the arc they shoot 40% which is good for 18th in the nation. They average 35.6 rebounds per game and 16.8 assists per contest which ranks them 193rd and 15th respectively. In the turnover department the Gaels rank 336th with 10.5 per game. The Gaels allow 56.5 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 2nd in the country. They also allow a 41% shooting percentage and a 30% average from behind the arc ranking them 39th and 9th in those defensive statistics. Opponents average 26.3 rebounds a game which ranks 1st and they give up 9.0 assists per contest which puts them in 1st place in the nation. The Gaels force 9.4 turnovers per game which ranks them 2nd in college basketball.
The Rams are 116th in the nation in offensive rating at 106.9. They assist on 56.7% of their shots, which ranks 80th in the country. In terms of pace they average 68.8 possessions per 40 minutes, which places them 232nd among D-1 teams. They are 168th in effective field goal percentage with 51%. As a team they are 162nd in the country in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3 pointers on 30% of their shots. VCU turns the ball over an average of 15.6 times per 100 possessions and they get a steal on 10.8% of their opponents possessions. Their total rebound percentage of 52% places them 94th in Division 1 while their offensive rebound percentage is 31.4%.
The Gaels are 3rd in the nation in offensive rating at 118.3. They assist on 63.7% of their shots, which ranks 7th in the country. In terms of pace they average 60.8 possessions per 40 minutes, which places them 350th among D-1 teams. They are 5th in effective field goal percentage with 58%. As a team they are 7th in the country in true shooting percentage with 60% and they shoot 3 pointers on 42% of their shots. St. Mary's turns the ball over an average of 15.1 times per 100 possessions and they get a steal on 6.8% of their opponents possessions. Their total rebound percentage of 57.5% places them 2nd in Division 1 while their offensive rebound percentage is 33.4%.
VCU Rams Betting Trends
The VCU Rams are 12-16 against the spread
The VCU Rams are 15-12 against the over/under
St. Mary's Gaels Betting Trends
The St. Mary's Gaels are 15-12 against the spread
The St. Mary's Gaels are 11-15 against the over/under
VCU Rams Injuries
No key injuries to report
St. Mary's Gaels Injuries
No key injuries to report
Guy's Pick: Take St. Mary's -5
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