Saturday, February 18, 2017

Pauley Pavilion

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The USC Trojans head to Pauley Pavilion to take on the UCLA Bruins on Saturday, February 18, 2017. The opening line for this game has UCLA as 12 point favorites.

The Trojans come into this game with an overall record of 21-5 and a road record of 6-2. They are 13-12 against the spread and their over/under record is 13-12. The Bruins have an overall record of 23-3 and a home record of 13-1. They have an over/under record of 13-11 and they are 13-13 against the spread.

Chimezie Metu comes into this contest averaging 14.2 points per game while playing 31.2 minutes per night so far this season for the Trojans. He pulls down 7.4 rebounds per game and dishes out 1.4 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 54% while his free throw percentage is currently at 73%. Elijah Stewart averages 13.8 points per game in 30 minutes per contest this season. He averages 1.3 assists per contest and 4.8 rebounds per game for USC. His field goal percentage is 43% for the year while his free throw percentage is 75%.

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TJ Leaf averages 16.7 points per game while playing 30.8 minutes per contest this year for the Bruins. He grabs 8.8 rebounds per game and has 2.7 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 63% and his free throw percentage currently is at 65%. Bryce Alford averages 15.8 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 33 minutes per contest. He also averages 2.3 rebounds per contest and 2.4 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 48% and his free throw percentage is 81%.

USC averages 79 points per contest this season which ranks them 46th in the nation. Their average scoring margin is 7.2 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a team which has them ranked 131st. Behind the arc they shoot 37% which is good for 111th in the country. They average 37.7 rebounds per game and 15 assists per game which ranks them 67th and 74th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 30th with 11.3 per game. The Trojans allow 71.9 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 162nd in the nation. They also allow a 42% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the arc ranking them 70th and 190th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 36.1 rebounds a game which ranks 209th and they give up 13.8 assists per contest which puts them in 212th place in the country. They force 13 turnovers per game which ranks them 194th in Division 1.

UCLA averages 91.9 points per game this year which ranks them 1st in Division 1 college basketball. Their average scoring margin is 16 and their shooting percentage is 53% as a team which has them sitting in the 1st spot in the country. Behind the arc they shoot 42% which is good for 3rd in the nation. They average 38.9 rebounds per game and 21.7 assists per contest which ranks them 32nd and 1st respectively. In the turnover department the Bruins rank 53rd with 11.8 per game. The Bruins allow 76 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 251st in the country. They also allow a 42% shooting percentage and a 37% average from behind the arc ranking them 74th and 252nd in those defensive statistics. Opponents average 35.2 rebounds a game which ranks 161st and they give up 12.7 assists per contest which puts them in 126th place in the nation. The Bruins force 12.1 turnovers per game which ranks them 268th in college basketball.

The Trojans average 76.6 points per game on the road this season and they have scored 82.7 ppg in their past 3 contests. They have an average scoring differential of 2 on the road and in their past 3 games their difference is 8 per contest. The Trojans have an offensive rating of 110.6 and they assist on 55.2% of their shots. In terms of pace they average 71.1 possessions per 40 minutes and their effective field goal percentage is 52%. As a team they have a true shooting percentage of 55% and they shoot 3 pointers on 36% of their shots. USC turns the ball over an average of 13.8 times per 100 possessions and they get a steal on 9.8% of their opponents possessions. Their total rebound percentage is 51.1% while their offensive rebound percentage is 31.9%. The Trojans give up 74.6 points per game on the road this season and they have surrendered 74.7 points per contest in their last 3 games.

The Bruins score 94.6 ppg at home and they have averaged 89 points per contest in their last 3 games.They have an average scoring differential of 20.7 in their past 3 contests and at home this season they have a difference of 20.1 points per game. The Bruins have a rating on offense of 122.2 and 63.1% of their shots are assisted. They possess the ball 75.2 times per 40 minutes and their effective field goal percentage for the year is 61%. As an offensive unit they have a true shooting percentage of 63% and they attempt 3 pointers on 38% of their shots. UCLA turns it over an average of 14.1 times per 100 possessions and they steal the ball on 8.3% of their opponents possessions. Their total rebound percentage is 52.5% while their offensive rebound percentage for the season is 28.5%. The Bruins give up 74.5 points per contest at home this year and they have given up 68.3 points per game in their past 3 contests.

USC Trojans Betting Trends

The USC Trojans are 13-12 against the spread

The USC Trojans are 13-12 against the over/under

UCLA Bruins Betting Trends

The UCLA Bruins are 13-13 against the spread

The UCLA Bruins are 13-11 against the over/under

USC Trojans Injuries

No key injuries to report

UCLA Bruins Injuries

11/11/16 G Armani Dodson Shoulder out indefinitely
01/05/17 F Alex Olesinski Foot out for season
01/05/17 G Prince Ali Knee out for season

Tony's Pick: Take USC -12

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