UMBC at Arizona College Basketball Picks & Predictions 11/12/2017

Sunday, November 12, 2017

McKale Center

Get todays College basketball odds and lines on this game.

The UMBC Retrievers head to McKale Center to take on the Arizona Wildcats on Sunday, November 12, 2017.

UMBC comes into this game after finishing last season with an overall record of 18-11. They had a point differential of 4.3 as they averaged 81.4 points per game while giving up 77.2 per contest. Arizona had an overall record of 27-4 last season. They averaged 76.3 points per game and surrendered 65.4, good for a point differential of 10.8.

Valuable UMBC Retrievers Betting Trends

The UMBC Retrievers were 0-1 against the spread last season

The UMBC Retrievers were 0-0 against the over/under last year

Important Arizona Wildcats Betting Trends

The Arizona Wildcats were 18-14 against the spread last season

The Arizona Wildcats were 13-17 against the over/under last year

Key UMBC Retrievers Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Arizona Wildcats Injuries

11/11/17 G Brandon Randolph Concussion is "?" Sunday vs. MD Baltimore Co
11/11/17 G Dylan Smith Suspension is "?" Sunday vs. MD Baltimore Co
11/11/17 F Keanu Pinder Suspension is "?" Sunday vs. MD Baltimore Co
11/05/17 G Rawle Alkins Foot is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Jairus Lyles averaged 18.9 points per contest while playing 34.6 minutes per night last year. He grabbed 6.6 rebounds per contest and distributed 2.6 assists per game. His FG percentage was 46% while his free throw percentage was 73%. Will Darley averaged 16.2 points per contest in 30.6 minutes per game last year. He averaged 1.9 assists per game and 3.9 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage was 49% for the season while his free throw percentage was 89%.

Player Spotlight

Allonzo Trier scored 17.2 points per contest while playing 31.9 minutes per game last season. He hauled in 5.3 rebounds per contest and had 2.7 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage was 46% and his free throw percentage finished at 81%. Lauri Markkanen averaged 15.6 points per game last year and he saw the court an average of 30.8 minutes per game. He also brought in 7.2 rebounds per game and had 0.9 assists per contest. His field goal percentage was 49% and his free throw percentage was 84%.

Useful Team Statistics

UMBC averaged 81.4 points per contest last year, which was 25th in the nation. Their average scoring margin was 4.3 and their shooting percentage was 47% as a unit, which had them ranked 60th. From 3-point territory they shot 40%, which was good for 21st in Division 1. They averaged 35.3 boards per contest and 14.7 assists per game, which ranked them 206th and 93rd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they were 292nd with 11.7 per game. The Retrievers allowed 77.2 points per contest, which was 290th in the country. They also surrendered a 45% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 240th and 181st in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents averaged 36.2 rebounds a game which ranked 226th, and they allowed 13.7 assists per game which put them in 219th place in college basketball. They forced 13.1 turnovers per game which ranked them 169th in D-1.

Useful Team Statistics

Arizona was 108th in the country with 76.3 points per contest last season. They were 36th in the nation in shooting at 48%, while their average scoring margin was 10.8. They shot 40% from beyond the arc, which was good for 19th in Division 1. They were 118th in the country in rebounding with 36.8 boards per contest and 147th in assists per game with 13.8. The Wildcats were 307th in turnovers per contest with 11.5. The Wildcats gave up 65.4 points per game, which ranked them 37th in the nation. Their defense surrendered a 42% shooting percentage and a 31% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 56th and 12th in those defensive statistics. They ranked 131st with 12.7 dimes allowed per game and 8th with 30.0 boards surrendered per contest. The Wildcats were 76th in college basketball in forcing turnovers with 11.9 per contest last year.

Advanced Statistics

The Retrievers were 41st in the nation last year in offensive rating with 111.9, and their defensive rating of 106 was ranked 256th. In terms of pace they were 107th in the country with 71 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% was 36th. As a team they were 42nd in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shot 3-pointers on 40% of their shots, ranking 94th in Division 1. UMBC was 307th in turnovers, as they turned the ball over an average of 14.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 15.9 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season was 52%, which was 238th in the nation.

Advanced Statistics

Arizona was 279th in the country in turnovers last year, as they turned the ball over an average of 15 times per 100 possessions while forcing 15.6 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year was 47%, which was 44th in Division 1. The Wildcats were 53rd in the nation in defensive rating with 97.2, and their offensive rating of 113.3 was ranked 23rd. They were 279th in D-1 in pace with 67.3 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 54% was 54th. As a unit they were 39th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shot 3-pointers on 31% of their shot attempts, ranking 298th in the country.

Who will win tonight's UMBC/Arizona college basketball game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take UMBC

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