Saturday, May 11, 2017

XL Center

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The SMU Mustangs head to XL Center to take on the UCF Knights on Saturday, May 11, 2017. The opening line for this game has SMU as 9 point favorites.

The Mustangs come into this game with an overall record of 28-4 and a road record of 8-3. They are 19-5 against the spread and their over/under record is 14-12. The Knights have an overall record of 21-10 and a home record of 13-3. They have an over/under record of 12-13 and they are 12-11 against the spread.

Semi Ojeleye comes into this contest averaging 18.5 points per game while playing 33.6 minutes per night so far this season for the Mustangs. He pulls down 6.5 rebounds per game and dishes out 1.5 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 49% while his free throw percentage is currently at 77%. Shake Milton averages 13.3 points per game in 35 minutes per contest this season. He averages 4.4 assists per contest and 4.1 rebounds per game for SMU. His field goal percentage is 44% for the year while his free throw percentage is 78%.

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B.J. Taylor averages 17.2 points per game while playing 36.2 minutes per contest this year for the Knights. He grabs 4.3 rebounds per game and has 3.6 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 42% and his free throw percentage currently is at 72%. Matt Williams averages 15.2 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 36.2 minutes per contest. He also averages 4.5 rebounds per contest and 1.9 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 38% and his free throw percentage is 80%.

SMU averages 74.6 points per contest this season which ranks them 150th in the nation. Their average scoring margin is 15.2 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team which has them ranked 55th. Behind the arc they shoot 40% which is good for 11th in the country. They average 39.0 rebounds per game and 16.5 assists per game which ranks them 30th and 23rd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 333rd with 10.8 per game. The Mustangs allow 59.4 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 3rd in the nation. They also allow a 39% shooting percentage and a 32% average from behind the arc ranking them 9th and 45th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 29.2 rebounds a game which ranks 4th and they give up 12.1 assists per contest which puts them in 89th place in the country. They force 11.9 turnovers per game which ranks them 73rd in Division 1.

UCF averages 66.9 points per game this year which ranks them 309th in Division 1 college basketball. Their average scoring margin is 6.4 and their shooting percentage is 43% as a team which has them sitting in the 246th spot in the country. Behind the arc they shoot 34% which is good for 245th in the nation. They average 41.9 rebounds per game and 11.3 assists per contest which ranks them 2nd and 309th respectively. In the turnover department the Knights rank 34th with 14.8 per game. The Knights allow 60.5 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 5th in the country. They also allow a 36% shooting percentage and a 31% average from behind the arc ranking them 1st and 15th in those defensive statistics. Opponents average 32.5 rebounds a game which ranks 48th and they give up 13.2 assists per contest which puts them in 174th place in the nation. The Knights force 9.8 turnovers per game which ranks them 5th in college basketball.

The Mustangs are 9th in the nation in offensive rating at 116.6. They assist on 62.8% of their shots, which ranks 10th in the country. In terms of pace they average 63.9 possessions per 40 minutes, which places them 344th among D-1 teams. They are 45th in effective field goal percentage with 54%. As a team they are 54th in the country in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3 pointers on 36% of their shots. SMU turns the ball over an average of 14.3 times per 100 possessions and they get a steal on 9.3% of their opponents possessions. Their total rebound percentage of 57.2% places them 3rd in Division 1 while their offensive rebound percentage is 38.2%.

The Knights are 256th in the nation in offensive rating at 100.2. They assist on 49.3% of their shots, which ranks 249th in the country. In terms of pace they average 66.5 possessions per 40 minutes, which places them 304th among D-1 teams. They are 228th in effective field goal percentage with 50%. As a team they are 238th in the country in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3 pointers on 39% of their shots. UCF turns the ball over an average of 19.2 times per 100 possessions and they get a steal on 5.6% of their opponents possessions. Their total rebound percentage of 56.3% places them 5th in Division 1 while their offensive rebound percentage is 33.2%.

SMU Mustangs Betting Trends

The SMU Mustangs are 19-5 against the spread

The SMU Mustangs are 14-12 against the over/under

UCF Knights Betting Trends

The UCF Knights are 12-11 against the spread

The UCF Knights are 12-13 against the over/under

SMU Mustangs Injuries

03/10/17 G Ben Emelogu Ankle probable Friday vs. East Carolina

UCF Knights Injuries

12/12/16 G Chance McSpadden Knee out indefinitely
03/09/17 G Tanksley Efianayi Knee is upgraded to probable Friday vs. Memphis U

Guy's Pick: Take SMU -9

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