Thursday, February 9, 2017

Pauley Pavilion

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The Oregon Ducks travel to Pauley Pavilion to play the UCLA Bruins on Thursday, February 9, 2017. The opening line for this game has UCLA as 4 point favorites.

The Ducks come into this game with an overall record of 21-3 and a road record of 3-2. They are 13-10 against the spread and their over/under record is 9-14. The Bruins have an overall record of 21-3 and a home record of 11-1. They have an over/under record of 13-9 and they are 13-11 against the spread.

Dillon Brooks comes into this contest averaging 14.4 points per game while playing 22.5 minutes per night so far this season for the Ducks. He pulls down 3 rebounds per game and dishes out 3.2 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 51% while his free throw percentage is currently at 73%. Tyler Dorsey averages 12.6 points per game in 29 minutes per contest this season. He averages 2 assists per contest and 3.5 rebounds per game for Oregon. His field goal percentage is 44% for the year while his free throw percentage is 74%.

TJ Leaf averages 17.1 points per game while playing 30.7 minutes per contest this year for the Bruins. He grabs 8.9 rebounds per game and has 2.7 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 64% and his free throw percentage currently is at 64%. Bryce Alford averages 16.4 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 33.1 minutes per contest. He also averages 2.5 rebounds per contest and 2.3 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 49% and his free throw percentage is 80%.

Oregon averages 78.3 points per contest this season which ranks them 54th in the nation. Their average scoring margin is 14.4 and their shooting percentage is 48% as a team which has them ranked 25th. Behind the arc they shoot 38% which is good for 62nd in the country. They average 36.8 rebounds per game and 17.2 assists per game which ranks them 108th and 8th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 135th with 12.9 per game. The Ducks allow 63.9 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 22nd in the nation. They also allow a 39% shooting percentage and a 31% average from behind the arc ranking them 17th and 21st in those defensive categories. Opponents average 32.3 rebounds a game which ranks 40th and they give up 11.2 assists per contest which puts them in 30th place in the country. They force 14.7 turnovers per game which ranks them 63rd in Division 1.

UCLA averages 92.9 points per game this year which ranks them 1st in Division 1 college basketball. Their average scoring margin is 16.4 and their shooting percentage is 54% as a team which has them sitting in the 1st spot in the country. Behind the arc they shoot 42% which is good for 2nd in the nation. They average 38.8 rebounds per game and 22 assists per contest which ranks them 37th and 1st respectively. In the turnover department the Bruins rank 65th with 12 per game. The Bruins allow 76.5 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 259th in the country. They also allow a 42% shooting percentage and a 37% average from behind the arc ranking them 75th and 255th in those defensive statistics. Opponents average 35.5 rebounds a game which ranks 174th and they give up 13 assists per contest which puts them in 149th place in the nation. The Bruins force 12.5 turnovers per game which ranks them 243rd in college basketball.

The Ducks average 71.9 points per game on the road this season and they have scored 73.7 ppg in their past 3 contests. They have an average scoring differential of 5.7 on the road and in their past 3 games their difference is 6.3 per contest. The Ducks have an offensive rating of 113.2 and they assist on 62% of their shots. In terms of pace they average 69.3 possessions per 40 minutes and their effective field goal percentage is 56%. As a team they have a true shooting percentage of 58% and they shoot 3 pointers on 39% of their shots. Oregon turns the ball over an average of 15.9 times per 100 possessions and they get a steal on 9.2% of their opponents possessions. Their total rebound percentage is 53.8% while their offensive rebound percentage is 33.7%. The Ducks give up 66.2 points per game on the road this season and they have surrendered 67.3 points per contest in their last 3 games.

The Bruins score 97 ppg at home and they have averaged 92.7 points per contest in their last 3 games.They have an average scoring differential of 16.3 in their past 3 contests and at home this season they have a difference of 21.7 points per game. The Bruins have a rating on offense of 122.4 and 63.8% of their shots are assisted. They possess the ball 75.9 times per 40 minutes and their effective field goal percentage for the year is 62%. As an offensive unit they have a true shooting percentage of 64% and they attempt 3 pointers on 38% of their shots. UCLA turns it over an average of 14.2 times per 100 possessions and they steal the ball on 8.5% of their opponents possessions. Their total rebound percentage is 52.2% while their offensive rebound percentage for the season is 28.2%. The Bruins give up 75.3 points per contest at home this year and they have given up 76.3 points per game in their past 3 contests.

Oregon Ducks Betting Trends

The Oregon Ducks are 13-10 against the spread

The Oregon Ducks are 9-14 against the over/under

UCLA Bruins Betting Trends

The UCLA Bruins are 13-11 against the spread

The UCLA Bruins are 13-9 against the over/under

Oregon Ducks Injuries

11/15/16 F M.J. Cage Knee expected to redshirt
02/08/17 F Keith Smith Undisclosed "?" Thursday vs. UCLA

UCLA Bruins Injuries

11/11/16 G Armani Dodson Shoulder out indefinitely
02/08/17 F Ike Anigbogu Knee "?" Thursday vs. Oregon
01/05/17 F Alex Olesinski Foot out for season
01/05/17 G Prince Ali Knee out for season

Guy's Pick: Take UCLA -4

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