Duke at Michigan State College Basketball Picks & Predictions 11/14/2017

Tuesday, November 14, 2017

United Center

Get todays College basketball odds and lines on this game.

The Duke Blue Devils travel to United Center to play the Michigan State Spartans on Tuesday, November 14, 2017. The opening line has Duke as 1.5 point favorites.

Duke comes into this game after finishing last season with an overall record of 23-8. They had a point differential of 10.8 as they averaged 80.7 points per game while giving up 69.8 per contest. Michigan State had an overall record of 18-13 last season. They averaged 71.7 points per game and surrendered 68.4, good for a point differential of 3.4.

Valuable Duke Blue Devils Betting Trends

The Duke Blue Devils were 15-18 against the spread last season

The Duke Blue Devils were 14-16 against the over/under last year

Important Michigan State Spartans Betting Trends

The Michigan State Spartans were 17-15 against the spread last season

The Michigan State Spartans were 15-14 against the over/under last year

Key Duke Blue Devils Injuries

11/13/17 C Marques Bolden Strep Throat is probable Tuesday vs. Michigan State

Key Michigan State Spartans Injuries

11/08/17 G Kyle Ahrens Foot is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Luke Kennard averaged 19.5 points per game while playing 35.5 minutes per night last season. He pulled down 5.1 rebounds per game and dished out 2.5 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage was 49% while his free throw percentage finished at 86%. Jayson Tatum averaged 16.8 points per game in 33.3 minutes per contest last season. He averaged 2.1 assists per contest and 7.3 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage was 45% for the year while his free throw percentage was 85%.

Player Spotlight

Miles Bridges averaged 16.9 points per game while playing 32 minutes per contest last year. He grabbed 8.3 rebounds per game and had 2.1 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage was 49% and his free throw percentage was at 69%. Nick Ward averaged 13.9 points per game last season and he saw the court an average of 19.8 minutes per contest. He also averaged 6.5 rebounds per contest and 0.4 assists per game. His field goal percentage was 59% and his free throw percentage was 62%.

Useful Team Statistics

Duke averaged 80.7 points per contest last season, which ranked them 28th in the nation. Their average scoring margin was 10.8 and their shooting percentage was 48% as a team, which had them ranked 34th. Behind the arc they shot 38% which was good for 66th in the country. They averaged 36.3 rebounds per game and 13.1 assists per game, which ranked them 145th and 206th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they ranked 316th with 11.3 per game. The Blue Devils allowed 69.8 points per game to their opponents which ranked them 114th in Division 1. They also allowed a 43% shooting percentage and a 30% average from behind the arc, ranking them 156th and 6th in those defensive categories. Opponents averaged 33.5 rebounds a game which ranked 89th and they gave up 12.0 assists per contest, which put them in 87th place in college basketball. They forced 12.0 turnovers per game which ranked them 79th in the nation.

Useful Team Statistics

Michigan State was 214th in the country with 71.7 points per game last year. They were 56th in D-1 in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin was 3.4. They shot 38% from 3-point range, which was good for 64th in college basketball. They were 124th in the nation in rebounding with 36.7 boards per game, and 13th in assists per contest with 17.0. The Spartans were 75th in turnovers per game with 14.2. The Spartans surrendered 68.4 points per contest, which ranked them 81st in the country. Their defense allowed a 41% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 34th and 171st in those defensive statistics. They ranked 151st with 12.9 assists allowed per contest and 67th with 33.1 rebounds surrendered per game. The Spartans were 28th in Division 1 in forcing turnovers with 11.0 per game last season.

Advanced Statistics

The Blue Devils were 11th in the nation last year in offensive rating with 115.7, and their defensive rating of 100.2 was ranked 115th. In terms of pace they were 179th in the country with 69.7 possessions per 40 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% was 32nd. As a team they were 17th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shot 3-pointers on 38% of their shots, ranking 139th in Division 1. Duke was 311th in turnovers, as they turned the ball over an average of 14.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 15 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season was 48%, which was 62nd in the nation.

Advanced Statistics

Michigan State was 38th in the country in turnovers last year, as they turned the ball over an average of 18.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.1 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year was 46%, which was 29th in Division 1. The Spartans were 107th in the nation in defensive rating with 99.9, and their offensive rating of 104.8 was ranked 162nd. They were 252nd in D-1 in pace with 68.2 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 54% was 52nd. As a unit they were 85th in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shot 3-pointers on 38% of their shot attempts, ranking 136th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Duke/Michigan State college basketball game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Michigan State +1.5

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