Saturday, January 28, 2017

Tad Smith Coliseum

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The Baylor Bears head to Tad Smith Coliseum to take on the Ole Miss Rebels on Saturday, January 28, 2017. The opening line for this game has Baylor as 11 point favorites.

The Bears come into this game with an overall record of 19-1 and a road record of 3-1. They are 9-6 against the spread and their over/under record is 5-9. The Rebels have an overall record of 12-8 and a home record of 8-4. They have an over/under record of 10-9 and they are 10-9 against the spread.

Johnathan Motley comes into this contest averaging 16.2 points per game while playing 29.1 minutes per night so far this season for the Bears. He pulls down 9.6 rebounds per game and dishes out 2.1 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 51% while his free throw percentage is currently at 71%. Manu Lecomte averages 12.1 points per game in 29.2 minutes per contest this season. He averages 4.4 assists per contest and 1.9 rebounds per game for Baylor. His field goal percentage is 43% for the year while his free throw percentage is 82%.

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Deandre Burnett averages 17.7 points per game while playing 30.3 minutes per contest this year for the Rebels. He grabs 2.2 rebounds per game and has 3.3 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 36% and his free throw percentage currently is at 88%. Sebastian Saiz averages 15.6 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 34 minutes per contest. He also averages 11.3 rebounds per contest and 0.8 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 51% and his free throw percentage is 73%.

Baylor averages 73.5 points per contest this season which ranks them 161st in the nation. Their average scoring margin is 12.6 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team which has them ranked 40th. Behind the arc they shoot 34% which is good for 199th in the country. They average 37.8 rebounds per game and 15.9 assists per game which ranks them 79th and 42nd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 167th with 13.3 per game. The Bears allow 60.8 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 7th in the nation. They also allow a 38% shooting percentage and a 30% average from behind the arc ranking them 8th and 11th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 30.9 rebounds a game which ranks 17th and they give up 13.1 assists per contest which puts them in 153rd place in the country. They force 12.2 turnovers per game which ranks them 267th in Division 1.

Ole Miss averages 76.7 points per game this year which ranks them 77th in Division 1 college basketball. Their average scoring margin is 0.8 and their shooting percentage is 43% as a team which has them sitting in the 234th spot in the country. Behind the arc they shoot 35% which is good for 190th in the nation. They average 39.3 rebounds per game and 13 assists per contest which ranks them 28th and 194th respectively. In the turnover department the Rebels rank 323rd with 15.5 per game. The Rebels allow 75.9 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 250th in the country. They also allow a 42% shooting percentage and a 37% average from behind the arc ranking them 82nd and 279th in those defensive statistics. Opponents average 37 rebounds a game which ranks 233rd and they give up 15.4 assists per contest which puts them in 305th place in the nation. The Rebels force 13.5 turnovers per game which ranks them 161st in college basketball.

The Bears average 71.9 points per game on the road this season and they have scored 67 ppg in their past 3 contests. They have an average scoring differential of 9.2 on the road and in their past 3 games their difference is 7.7 per contest. The Bears have an offensive rating of 113.4 and they assist on 60.6% of their shots. In terms of pace they average 66.2 possessions per 40 minutes and their effective field goal percentage is 54%. As a team they have a true shooting percentage of 57% and they shoot 3 pointers on 32% of their shots. Baylor turns the ball over an average of 17 times per 100 possessions and they get a steal on 8.6% of their opponents possessions. Their total rebound percentage is 56% while their offensive rebound percentage is 39.3%. The Bears give up 62.6 points per game on the road this season and they have surrendered 59.3 points per contest in their last 3 games.

The Rebels score 77 ppg at home and they have averaged 77 points per contest in their last 3 games.They have an average scoring differential of 3.7 in their past 3 contests and at home this season they have a difference of 1.8 points per game. The Rebels have a rating on offense of 103.6 and 52.1% of their shots are assisted. They possess the ball 73.6 times per 40 minutes and their effective field goal percentage for the year is 49%. As an offensive unit they have a true shooting percentage of 54% and they attempt 3 pointers on 38% of their shots. Ole Miss turns it over an average of 18.2 times per 100 possessions and they steal the ball on 8.6% of their opponents possessions. Their total rebound percentage is 51.5% while their offensive rebound percentage for the season is 33.2%. The Rebels give up 75.2 points per contest at home this year and they have given up 73.3 points per game in their past 3 contests.

Baylor Bears Betting Trends

The Baylor Bears are 9-6 against the spread

The Baylor Bears are 5-9 against the over/under

Ole Miss Rebels Betting Trends

The Ole Miss Rebels are 10-9 against the spread

The Ole Miss Rebels are 10-9 against the over/under

Baylor Bears Injuries

No key injuries to report

Ole Miss Rebels Injuries

01/25/17 G Rasheed Brooks Illness "?"
01/16/17 F Karlis Silins ACL out for season
01/16/17 F Nate Morris Dismissed has been dismissed

Tony's Pick: Take Baylor -11

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