Wednesday, March 1, 2017

Viejas Arena

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The Air Force Falcons travel to Viejas Arena to play the San Diego State Aztecs on Wednesday, March 1, 2017. The opening line for this game has San Diego State as 13 point favorites.

The Falcons come into this game with an overall record of 11-18 and a road record of 0-10. They are 11-11 against the spread and their over/under record is 10-11. The Aztecs have an overall record of 16-12 and a home record of 9-4. They have an over/under record of 11-13 and they are 9-13 against the spread.

For expert handicapping advice on this matchup and other NCAA basketball games check out our handicapping tips.

Hayden Graham comes into this contest averaging 12.8 points per game while playing 29.3 minutes per night so far this season for the Falcons. He pulls down 5.8 rebounds per game and dishes out 2 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 48% while his free throw percentage is currently at 66%. Frank Toohey averages 11 points per game in 25 minutes per contest this season. He averages 1.6 assists per contest and 4.5 rebounds per game for Air Force. His field goal percentage is 52% for the year while his free throw percentage is 79%.

Jeremy Hemsley averages 13.9 points per game while playing 29.4 minutes per contest this year for the Aztecs. He grabs 2.4 rebounds per game and has 2.2 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage currently is at 67%. Trey Kell averages 13.8 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 31.4 minutes per contest. He also averages 4.4 rebounds per contest and 2.9 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 40% and his free throw percentage is 77%.

Air Force averages 73 points per contest this season which ranks them 166th in the nation. Their average scoring margin is -2.7 and their shooting percentage is 44% as a team which has them ranked 207th. Behind the arc they shoot 38% which is good for 54th in the country. They average 35.3 rebounds per game and 14.9 assists per game which ranks them 183rd and 78th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 112th with 12.5 per game. The Falcons allow 75.8 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 245th in the nation. They also allow a 46% shooting percentage and a 37% average from behind the arc ranking them 272nd and 263rd in those defensive categories. Opponents average 34 rebounds a game which ranks 109th and they give up 15.9 assists per contest which puts them in 325th place in the country. They force 12.1 turnovers per game which ranks them 267th in Division 1.

San Diego State averages 68.8 points per game this year which ranks them 269th in Division 1 college basketball. Their average scoring margin is 5.3 and their shooting percentage is 42% as a team which has them sitting in the 284th spot in the country. Behind the arc they shoot 32% which is good for 298th in the nation. They average 35.6 rebounds per game and 10.7 assists per contest which ranks them 171st and 321st respectively. In the turnover department the Aztecs rank 53rd with 11.7 per game. The Aztecs allow 63.4 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 20th in the country. They also allow a 39% shooting percentage and a 33% average from behind the arc ranking them 13th and 61st in those defensive statistics. Opponents average 35.5 rebounds a game which ranks 185th and they give up 11.4 assists per contest which puts them in 43rd place in the nation. The Aztecs force 12.8 turnovers per game which ranks them 205th in college basketball.

The Falcons average 69.7 points per game on the road this season and they have scored 72.3 ppg in their past 3 contests. They have an average scoring differential of -11.2 on the road and in their past 3 games their difference is -4.3 per contest. The Falcons have an offensive rating of 106.7 and they assist on 60.2% of their shots. In terms of pace they average 69.1 possessions per 40 minutes and their effective field goal percentage is 52%. As a team they have a true shooting percentage of 55% and they shoot 3 pointers on 38% of their shots. Air Force turns the ball over an average of 15.1 times per 100 possessions and they get a steal on 8.4% of their opponents possessions. Their total rebound percentage is 51% while their offensive rebound percentage is 27.2%. The Falcons give up 80.9 points per game on the road this season and they have surrendered 76.7 points per contest in their last 3 games.

The Aztecs score 72.8 ppg at home and they have averaged 62.3 points per contest in their last 3 games.They have an average scoring differential of 1.3 in their past 3 contests and at home this season they have a difference of 9.9 points per game. The Aztecs have a rating on offense of 102.8 and 45.5% of their shots are assisted. They possess the ball 67.3 times per 40 minutes and their effective field goal percentage for the year is 49%. As an offensive unit they have a true shooting percentage of 52% and they attempt 3 pointers on 40% of their shots. San Diego State turns it over an average of 15.2 times per 100 possessions and they steal the ball on 10.3% of their opponents possessions. Their total rebound percentage is 50.1% while their offensive rebound percentage for the season is 29.2%. The Aztecs give up 62.8 points per contest at home this year and they have given up 61 points per game in their past 3 contests.

Air Force Falcons Betting Trends

The Air Force Falcons are 11-11 against the spread

The Air Force Falcons are 10-11 against the over/under

San Diego State Aztecs Betting Trends

The San Diego State Aztecs are 9-13 against the spread

The San Diego State Aztecs are 11-13 against the over/under

Air Force Falcons Injuries

No key injuries to report

San Diego State Aztecs Injuries

11/08/16 G Ben Perez Back out indefinitely
02/28/17 G Montaque Gill-Caesar Knee "?" Wednesday vs. Air Force

Guy's Pick: Take San Diego State -13

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