Monday, April 4, 2016

NRG Stadium

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

The Villanova Wildcats head to NRG Stadium to play the North Carolina Tar Heels on Monday, April 4, 2016 in the NCAA men's National Championship game. The opening line for this game has North Carolina as 3 point favorites and the over/under has been set at 156.

The Wildcats come into this game with an overall record of 28-4 and a road record of 10-2. They are 15-17 against the spread and their over/under record is 16-14. The Tar Heels have an overall record of 26-6 and a home record of 15-1. They have an over/under record of 16-15 and they are 15-17 against the spread.

Josh Hart comes into this contest averaging 15.5 points per game while playing 31.5 minutes per night so far this season for the Wildcats. He pulls down 6.9 rebounds per game and dishes out 1.9 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 51% while his free throw percentage is currently at 74%. Kris Jenkins averages 13.3 points per game in 28.5 minutes per contest this season. He averages 2.1 assists per contest and 3.8 rebounds per game for Villanova. His field goal percentage is 44% for the year while his free throw percentage is 84%.

Brice Johnson averages 16.6 points per game while playing 27.3 minutes per contest this year for the Tar Heels. He grabs 10.6 rebounds per game and has 1.5 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 61% and his free throw percentage currently is at 77%. Joel Berry averages 12.6 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 30.3 minutes per contest. He also averages 3.2 rebounds per contest and 3.5 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is 86%.

Villanova averages 77 points per contest this season which ranks them 64th in the nation. Their average scoring margin is 13.3 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team which has them ranked 40th. Behind the arc they shoot 34% which is good for 184th in the country. They average 35.6 rebounds per game and 16.1 assists per game which ranks them 185th and 27th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 43rd with 11.1 per game. The Wildcats allow 63.7 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 18th in the nation. They also allow a 40% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc ranking them 25th and 111th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 33.7 rebounds a game which ranks 77th and they give up 12.9 assists per contest which puts them in 155th place in the country. They force 13.8 turnovers per game which ranks them 76th in the Division 1.

North Carolina averages 82.3 points per game this year which ranks them 11th in Division 1 college basketball. Their average scoring margin is 12.7 and their shooting percentage is 48% as a team which has them sitting in the 21st spot in the country. Behind the arc they shoot 31% which is good for 305th in the nation. They average 41 rebounds per game and 18 assists per contest which ranks them 10th and 4th respectively. In the turnover department the Tar Heels rank 34th with 10.9 per game. The Tar Heels allow 69.6 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 107th in the country. They also allow a 41% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the arc ranking them 46th and 251st in those defensive statistics. Opponents average 32.8 rebounds a game which ranks 46th and they give up 11.3 assists per contest which puts them in 48th place in the nation. The Tar Heels force 13.1 turnovers per game which ranks them 128th in college basketball.

The Wildcats average 73.4 points per game on the road this season and they have scored 74.7 ppg in their past 3 contests. They have an average scoring differential of 7.2 on the road and in their past 3 games their difference is 6.7 per contest. The Wildcats have an offensive rating of 113.3 and they assist on 60.7% of their shots. In terms of pace they average 67.7 possessions per 40 minutes and their effective field goal percentage is 54%. As a team they have a true shooting percentage of 58% and they shoot 3 pointers on 44% of their shots. Villanova turns the ball over an average of 14.5 times per 100 possessions and they get a steal on 9.9% of their opponents possessions. Their total rebound percentage is 51.4% while their offensive rebound percentage is 28.6%. The Wildcats give up 66.2 points per game on the road this season and they have surrendered 68 points per contest in their last 3 games.

The Tar Heels score 86.1 ppg at home and they have averaged 75.7 points per contest in their last 3 games.They have an average scoring differential of 17.3 in their past 3 contests and at home this season they have a difference of 18.2 points per game. The Tar Heels have a rating on offense of 116.4 and 58.5% of their shots are assisted. They possess the ball 70.7 times per 40 minutes and their effective field goal percentage for the year is 52%. As an offensive unit they have a true shooting percentage of 56% and they attempt 3 pointers on 27% of their shots. North Carolina turns it over an average of 12.9 times per 100 possessions and they steal the ball on 9.7% of their opponents possessions. Their total rebound percentage is 55.6% while their offensive rebound percentage for the season is 39.7%. The Tar Heels give up 67.8 points per contest at home this year and they have given up 58.3 points per game in their past 3 contests.

Villanova Wildcats Betting Trends

The Villanova Wildcats are 15-17 against the spread

The Villanova Wildcats are 16-14 against the over/under

North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Trends

The North Carolina Tar Heels are 15-17 against the spread

The North Carolina Tar Heels are 16-15 against the over/under

Villanova Wildcats Injuries

11/10/15 F Tim Delaney Hip out indefinitely
03/13/16 G Donte DiVincenzo Foot out indefinitely

North Carolina Tar Heels Injuries

No key injuries to report

Guy 's Pick: Take Villanova

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