Wednesday, July 1, 2015

Citi Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Jon Lester (4-6) vs. Bartolo Colon (9-6)

The Chicago Cubs take on the New York Mets on Wednesday at Citi Field. The probable starters are Jon Lester for the Cubs and Bartolo Colon for the Mets. The opening line for this matchup has Chicago at -120 and New York at +110. The over/under was set at 7. The Cubs, with a 32-42 run line record, cover the spread 43% of the time. They also have a 29-39 over/under record. The Mets have a 36-36 over/under record and a 34-42 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 45% of the time.

The Cubs come into this game with a 39-35 record, and they are 19-20 away from home. Jon Lester has a 4-6 record on the season, an earned run average of 4.03 and a 1.37 WHIP. The Cubs are 8-7 over his 89.1 innings pitched and he's also given up 95 hits over that time period. The Cubs are also 5-9 against the over/under in his starts. His teammates are averaging 2.9 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has given up 198 hits on the season and have a earned run average of 3.06. Teams are hitting .226 against the bullpen while being struck out 218 times and walking 93 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 8.16 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.61 batters per nine. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.53.

Chicago ranks 21st in the league in team batting average at .245 while hitting .252 on the road. The Cubs on-base percentage sits at .319, which puts them at 15th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .387. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.38 hits per game and Anthony Rizzo leads the team with 83.

With a 40-37 overall record, New York will come into this game 29-11 at home. Bartolo Colon has a record of 9-6 while sporting an earned run average of 4.89 on the year with a 1.25 WHIP. The Mets have a record of 9-6 over the 92 innings he's pitched during which he's given up 105 hits. The Mets are also 7-7 against the over/under in his starts. His teammates score an average of 3.2 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has given up 160 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 2.84. Teams are hitting .214 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 188 times and walking 81 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.44 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.97 batters per nine. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.45.

They rank 29th in the league in team batting average with a .235 average while hitting .243 at home. The Mets on-base percentage sits at .300, which puts them at 25th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .363. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.75 hits per game and Juan Lagares leads the team with 72.

In terms of team defense, the Cubs have a fielding percentage of .981 with 54 total errors, 755 assists and 2,006 put outs. For the home team, they hold a .984 team fielding percentage while committing 47 errors, accumulating 767 assists and compiling 2,044 put outs.

Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Chicago Cubs are 29-39 against the over/under so far this season

The Chicago Cubs are 32-42 against the run line so far this season

New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 36-36 against the over/under so far this season

The New York Mets are 34-42 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Chicago Cubs

06/29/15 P Tsuyoshi Wada Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/23)
06/03/15 RF Jorge Soler Ankle Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/2)
04/17/15 3B Mike Olt Wrist Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/15)
04/15/15 2B Tommy La Stella Ribs Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/9)
04/06/15 P Jacob Turner Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)

New York Mets

06/28/15 2B Daniel Murphy Quad Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/4); expected to be activated Tuesday vs Chicago Cubs
06/23/15 C Travis d'Arnaud Arm Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/21)
06/04/15 RF Cesar Puello Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
05/14/15 P Buddy Carlyle Back Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/12)
04/16/15 3B David Wright Hamstring Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/15)
04/08/15 P Jenrry Mejia Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/06/15 P Joshua Edgin Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season
04/06/15 P Zack Wheeler Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season

Guy's Pick: Take the Mets

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