Sacramento Kings vs Houston Rockets Prediction, 3/1/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Sacramento Kings vs Houston Rockets

Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025

Location: Toyota Center in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

The Sacramento Kings (30-28) are en route to Toyota Center on Saturday where they will attempt to defeat the Houston Rockets (37-22).

The Kings played the Jazz and took home the win by a score of 118-101 in their last game. Sacramento ended having earned a 52.9% field goal percentage (46 of 87) and buried 15 of 36 three-point attempts. At the charity stripe, the Kings made 11 of 12 attempts for a percentage of 91.7%. Regarding grabbing rebounds, they collected 47 with 7 of them being offensive. They also recorded 28 assists for this contest while forcing 10 turnovers and earning 6 steals. In reference to defending, Sacramento allowed the other team to go 45.2% from the floor on 38 of 84 shooting. Utah distributed 32 assists and had 9 steals in this matchup. In addition, Utah pulled down 34 rebounds (7 offensive, 27 defensive) and had 7 blocks. Utah went 52.9% at the free throw line by knocking down 9 of their 17 shots. They made 16 of their 44 attempts from distance. When talking about personal fouls, the Kings ended up with 13 while the Jazz finished the game with 13 personal fouls.

Keegan Murray is someone who had an impact for the matchup. He ended up walking away with 26 points on 9 of 16 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 33 minutes played and also grabbed 6 rebounds. Murray shot 56.3% from the floor and earned 2 dimes.

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Sacramento comes into this one with a win-loss record of 30-28 this year. They are losing possession via turnover 13.6 times per contest and as a group they commit 19.1 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Sacramento is pulling in 45.0 rebounds per game and has tallied 1,562 dimes on the year, which is 12th in the league in terms of passing the rock. The Kings are connecting on 34.9% from downtown (727 of 2,081) and 80.9% from the free throw line. They average 116.9 points per outing (7th in the league) on 47.6% from the field.

Defensively, the Kings have forced 14.3 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 18.9 personal fouls. They give up 37.6% on shots from downtown and they are 21st in basketball in PPG from their opponents (115.6). The Kings defensively are allowing a shooting percentage of 46.7% (2,412 of 5,162) and they concede 42.9 boards per contest as a team. They are currently ranked 22nd in the NBA in allowing assists with 1,565 relinquished so far this season.

When they last played, the Rockets went home victorious with a score of 118-106 against the Spurs. Concerning cleaning up the glass, Houston permitted San Antonio to pull down 41 overall (12 offensive). They went 17.9% from 3-point land by going 7 out of 39 and finished the contest at 15 of 21 at the charity stripe (71.4%). The Rockets allowed the Spurs to make 42 out of 100 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 42.0% in this contest. When this game wrapped up, the Rockets went 48 out of 102 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 47.1%. When talking about shots from beyond the arc, Houston made 11 of their 38 attempts (28.9%). They were able to bury 11 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 78.6%. The Spurs committed 14 personal fouls for this contest which took the Rockets to the charity stripe for a total of 14 shots. They coughed it up 16 times, while getting 4 steals in this game. The Rockets were able to collect 40 defensive boards and 20 offensive boards totaling 60 for the matchup.

Amen Thompson was important for the Rockets in this game. He made 12 of 15 for this game for a rate of 80.0%, and had 9 rebounds. Thompson racked up 25 points in his 30 mins of playing time and tallied 5 dimes for this contest.

Houston has a mark of 37-22 on the year. The Rockets commit 19.6 personal fouls per game and they connect on 74.8% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 22.7 times per contest (30th in the league) and they turn the ball over 13.9 times per contest. Houston has scored 6,654 points for the season (112.8 per game) and they average 48.2 boards per game. On the offensive side of the ball, the Rockets are connecting on 44.7% from the floor, which ranks 26th in the league.

The Houston defense concedes 34.9% on shots from beyond the arc (714 of 2,045) and their opposition makes 74.8% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have allowed 22.8 assists and 42.9 boards on a nightly basis, which ranks 1st and 7th in basketball. The Rockets on defense are ranked 5th in basketball in points allowed per game with 108.8. They are forcing their opponents into 14.6 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 45.3% from the floor (5th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Sacramento

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