Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, 3/5/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets

Date: Wednesday, March 5, 2025

Location: Ball Arena in Denver, CO

TV: Altitude

The Sacramento Kings (32-28) are on their way to Ball Arena on Wednesday where they will attempt to defeat the Denver Nuggets (39-22).

The Kings played the Mavericks and notched a win by a score of 122-98 in their last contest. When talking about fouls, the Kings left the arena with 16 and the Mavericks recorded 13 fouls. They also made 7 of their 26 shots from three-point range. Dallas finished the contest at 87.5% when shooting free throws by making 21 of their 24 attempts. Furthermore, Dallas collected 37 rebounds (7 offensive, 30 defensive) and added 4 blocked shots. Dallas recorded 28 assists and had 5 steals in the game. In regard to defense, Sacramento allowed their opponent to shoot 45.5% from the field on 35 of 77 shooting. They also doled out 34 assists in this game as well as forcing the opposition into 14 turnovers and earning 4 steals. Pertaining to getting rebounds, they collected a total of 37 with 9 of them being on the offensive end. From the free throw line, the Kings knocked down 12 of 12 shots for a rate of 100.0%. Sacramento wrapped up the contest with a 52.2% FG percentage (47 of 90) and buried 16 of their 34 three-point shots.

Zach LaVine is one player who was a factor in this matchup. LaVine finished the contest at 66.7% from the field and also totaled 2 assists. He played 29 mins and also collected 3 rebounds. He racked up 22 points on 8 out of 12 shooting.

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Sacramento steps onto the hardwood with a mark of 32-28 for the season. They cough up possession 13.5 times per contest and as a basketball team are committing 19.0 personal fouls per game. As a unit, Sacramento is snagging 44.9 boards per game and has racked up 1,617 dimes this year, which is 14th in the NBA in terms of passing. The Kings are hitting 35.1% on three-point shots (752 of 2,143) and 81.0% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 116.9 pts per contest (6th in basketball) while going 47.8% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Kings are able to force 14.3 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 18.7 fouls. They are giving up 37.5% from beyond the arc while they are 19th in the league in points per game allowed (115.1). The Kings are giving up an opponent FG percentage of 46.6% (2,484 of 5,325) and they surrender 42.8 boards per contest as a squad. They rank 17th in the NBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 1,611 conceded so far this year.

For their last game, the Nuggets went home defeated by a final of 110-103 against the Celtics. In regard to how they attacked the glass, Denver allowed Boston to pull down 45 in total (10 offensive). They finished 41.2% from three-point range by shooting 14 of 34 and ended up shooting 22 out of 27 at the charity stripe (81.5%). The Nuggets allowed the Celtics to convert 37 of 78 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 47.4% in this game. When the final whistle blew, the Nuggets ended up going 41 for 86 from the floor which had them shooting 47.7%. In regard to shooting from downtown, Denver converted 12 out of their 35 tries (34.3%). They were able to convert 9 of the free throws for a rate of 69.2%. The Celtics committed 18 personal fouls for this contest which got the Nuggets to the free throw line for a total of 13 tries. They coughed up the ball 12 times, while recording 11 steals in the matchup. The Nuggets snagged 30 defensive boards and 8 offensive boards totaling 38 in this matchup.

Jamal Murray ended up being a major contributor for the Nuggets for this contest. Murray tallied 26 points in his 40 mins of playing time and totaled 7 assists in this game. He converted 11 out of 20 for the game for a field goal percentage of 55.0%, and accounted for 6 rebounds.

Denver has a mark of 39-22 this season. As an offensive team, the Nuggets are connecting on 50.8% from the floor, which is ranked 1st in the league. Denver has 7,387 points for the year (121.1 per contest) and they grab 46.0 rebounds per game. They are dishing out assists 31.1 times per contest (1st in the NBA) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 14.4 times per contest. The Nuggets commit 17.6 fouls per game and they go 77.5% from the free throw line.

The Denver defense allows 36.1% on shots from behind the 3-point line (848 of 2,348) and opponents are connecting on 78.1% of their free throw attempts. They have surrendered 29.2 assists and 42.2 total boards per game, which is 30th and 4th in basketball. The Nuggets are ranked 23rd in the league in points given up per game with 116.0. They have forced 13.3 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 46.3% from the field (14th in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Denver

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