Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 3/3/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Monday, March 3, 2025

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: KFAA

The Dallas Mavericks (31-28) will try to beat the Sacramento Kings (30-28) at American Airlines Center on Monday.

The Kings faced the Jazz and notched a win by a score of 118-101 in their last game. Sacramento ended the game having earned a 52.9% FG percentage (46 out of 87) and made 15 of their 36 three-point attempts. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Kings buried 11 of their 12 attempts for a rate of 91.7%. In reference to rebounding, they compiled 47 with 7 of them being on the offensive end. They also distributed 28 dimes in this contest in addition to forcing 10 turnovers and having 6 steals. In terms of the defense, Sacramento allowed their opponent to shoot 45.2% from the field on 38 out of 84 shooting. Utah dished out 32 dimes and had 9 steals for the matchup. Furthermore, Utah snagged 34 boards (7 offensive, 27 defensive) and got 7 blocked shots. Utah went 52.9% at the free throw line by knocking down 9 of 17 shots. They buried 16 out of their 44 shots from beyond the perimeter. Concerning personal fouls, the Kings ended up with 13 and the Jazz racked up 13 personal fouls.

Keegan Murray is one player who was a major factor in this contest. He ended up walking away with 26 points on 9 of 16 shooting. He played for 33 minutes and grabbed 6 rebounds. Murray finished shooting 56.3% from the field and totaled 2 dimes.

Get all of our NBA Picks Tonight

Sacramento comes into this matchup with a mark of 30-28 for the season. They cough up possession 13.6 times per contest and as a basketball team they commit 19.1 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Sacramento is collecting 45.0 rebounds per contest and has 1,562 dimes on the season, which has them ranked 12th in the NBA in terms of passing. The Kings are hitting 34.9% on shots beyond the perimeter (727 of 2,081) and 80.9% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 116.9 pts per game (7th in basketball) while shooting 47.6% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Kings are forcing 14.3 turnovers per contest while drawing 18.9 fouls. They are giving up 37.6% on shots from downtown and they are 21st in the league in PPG allowed (115.6). The Kings defensively are giving up an opponent FG percentage of 46.7% (2,412 of 5,162) and they surrender 42.9 rebounds per game as a squad. They are currently ranked 22nd in the league in giving up assists with 1,565 surrendered so far this season.

The last time they took the court, the Mavericks got the victory with a final of 103-96 against the Hornets. When discussing rebounding, Dallas allowed Charlotte to collect 56 in all (14 on the offensive glass). They finished 25.9% from behind the 3-point line by going 7 of 27 and finished the game at 9 out of 13 at the free throw line (69.2%). The Mavericks allowed the Hornets to make 40 of their 98 attempts from the field which gave them a percentage of 40.8% for the matchup. Overall, the Mavericks went 40 out of 97 from the field which had them sitting at 41.2%. In the matter of shooting from distance, Dallas made 11 of their 36 attempts (30.6%). They were able to convert 12 of the free throws for a percentage of 75.0%. The Hornets were called for 16 personal fouls in this game which took the Mavericks to the charity stripe for a total of 16 attempts. They also gave up possession of the ball 9 times, while recording 12 steals in this contest. The Mavericks were able to pull down 38 defensive boards and 10 offensive rebounds for a total of 48 for the game.

Kyrie Irving ended up being a factor for the Mavericks in the matchup. Irving had 25 points in his 38 minutes on the court and had 5 assists in this contest. He converted 11 of 24 in the matchup for a field goal percentage of 45.8%, and had 9 rebounds.

Dallas has a mark of 31-28 for the year. As an offense, the Mavericks are connecting on 47.6% from the floor, which ranks 10th in basketball. Dallas has 6,792 pts on the season (115.1 per contest) and they grab 44.3 rebounds per game. They are getting an assist 25.2 times per game (21st in the NBA) and they turn it over 14.2 times per contest. The Mavericks commit 18.6 personal fouls every game while shooting 77.3% from the charity stripe.

The Mavericks on the defensive end are ranked 16th in basketball in points given up per game with 113.4. They are forcing 13.5 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 45.8% from the floor (8th in the league). The Dallas defense gives up 35.8% on 3-point shots (762 of 2,126) and their opponents are making 77.3% of their free throw shots. They give up 26.6 assists and 45.0 rebounds on a nightly basis, which ranks them 17th and 21st in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Dallas

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here