Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, 3/2/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs

Date: Sunday, March 2, 2025

Location: Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, TX

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

Frost Bank Center is the site where the San Antonio Spurs (24-33) will compete against the Oklahoma City Thunder (47-11) on Sunday.

The Thunder stepped onto the hardwood against the Nets and earned the victory with a final of 129-121 in their last game. In regard to fouls, the Thunder finished with 21 and the Nets recorded 25 fouls. They converted 23 of 61 shots from beyond the arc. Brooklyn finished shooting 88.0% from the free throw line by burying 22 of their 25 shots. Furthermore, Brooklyn collected 46 boards (18 offensive, 28 defensive) and had 4 blocks. Brooklyn earned 31 assists and had 7 steals in the game. With respect to the defense, Oklahoma City allowed 40.9% from the floor on 38 of 93 shooting. They also recorded 27 assists in this matchup as well as forcing the opposition into 15 turnovers and earning 10 steals. In terms of grabbing boards, they earned 45 with 11 of them being of the offensive variety. At the free throw line, the Thunder knocked down 24 of 29 tries for a percentage of 82.8%. Oklahoma City finished the contest with a 53.3% FG percentage (48 of 90) and made 9 out of their 30 shots from distance.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is someone who was a major factor in the matchup. He racked up 27 points on 7 of 11 shooting. He saw the court for 34 mins and also collected 6 boards. Gilgeous-Alexander went 63.6% from the floor and earned 5 assists.

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Oklahoma City enters this one with a mark of 47-11 so far this year. They lose possession via turnover 11.9 times per contest and as a group they commit 20.6 fouls per game. As a unit, Oklahoma City is collecting 44.7 rebounds per game and has accounted for 1,536 dimes for the year, which ranks 14th in the NBA in terms of passing the ball. The Thunder are shooting 36.1% on shots from downtown (812 of 2,249) and 82.2% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 118.6 points per outing (4th in basketball) while connecting on 47.6% from the field.

Defensively, the Thunder are able to force 17.9 turnovers every game while drawing 18.3 personal fouls. They give up 33.2% on 3-pointers and they are 2nd in the league in points per game from their opponents (106.0). The Thunder are giving up a field goal percentage of 43.1% (2,148 of 4,978) and they relinquish 45.6 rebounds per game as a team. They currently rank 3rd in basketball in allowing assists to their opponents with 1,415 conceded on the year.

When they last played, the Spurs took a defeat with a final score of 118-106 when they faced the Rockets. When it comes to team rebounding, San Antonio permitted Houston to snag 60 overall (20 offensive). They finished 28.9% from 3-point land via 11 of 38 and ended up going 11 of 14 from the charity stripe (78.6%). The Spurs allowed the Rockets to knock down 48 out of their 102 attempts from the field which left them with a shooting percentage of 47.1% in the game. When the game finished, the Spurs walked away from this one shooting 42 out of 100 from the floor which had them at 42.0%. In the matter of 3-point shots, San Antonio converted 7 of 39 attempts (17.9%). They were able to make 15 of the free throws for a clip of 71.4%. The Rockets were called for 14 personal fouls in this contest which got the Spurs to the free throw line for 21 shots. They also gave up possession of the ball 8 times, while earning 10 steals in the matchup. The Spurs were able to corral 29 defensive boards and 12 offensive boards totaling 41 in this game.

Stephon Castle ended up having an impact for the Spurs in the game. Castle earned 22 points in his 30 minutes on the hardwood and had 5 assists in the matchup. He buried 9 of 22 in this contest giving him a field goal percentage of 40.9%, and accounted for 7 rebounds.

San Antonio has a record of 24-33 for the campaign. The Spurs have committed 16.5 personal fouls every game and they shoot 78.2% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 28.9 times per game (8th in the league) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 14.1 times per game. San Antonio has earned 6,409 points for the campaign (112.4 per contest) and they average 44.7 rebounds per contest. When it comes to offensive execution, the Spurs are shooting 45.8% from the field, which ranks 20th in basketball.

The Spurs defensively are ranked 19th in the league in PPG allowed with 114.5. They are forcing their opponents into 13.7 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 46.4% from the floor (16th in basketball). The San Antonio defense surrenders 35.5% on shots from beyond the perimeter (774 of 2,181) and opponents are converting on 78.6% of their shots from the free throw line. They have surrendered 26.6 assists and 46.9 rebounds per contest, which ranks them 15th and 28th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Antonio

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