Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, 4/24/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies

Date: Thursday, April 24, 2025

Location: FedExForum in Memphis, TN

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Oklahoma City (-9.0)

FedExForum is the location where the Memphis Grizzlies (48-34) will attempt to defeat the Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14) on Thursday in Game 3 of the Western Conference First Round after going down 0 - 2. Oklahoma City opens as 9-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total comes in at 227.

In Game 2 of the series, the Thunder stepped onto the hardwood against the Grizzlies and took home the win by a score of 118-99 in their last game. When talking about personal fouls, the Thunder walked away with 16 while the Grizzlies accounted for 13 personal fouls. They made 10 of 31 attempts from beyond the arc. Memphis ended up shooting 78.6% at the free throw line by burying 11 of 14 tries. On top of that, Memphis snagged 42 rebounds (9 offensive, 33 defensive) and earned 8 blocked shots. Memphis doled out 17 dimes and had 3 steals for this contest. Concerning defense, Oklahoma City allowed 42.9% from the field on 39 out of 91 shooting. They also recorded 21 assists in this matchup as well as forcing the other team into 15 turnovers and having 8 steals. When discussing rebounding, they compiled 55 with 16 of them being of the offensive sort. When they shot from the free throw line, the Thunder converted 13 of their 16 shots for a percentage of 81.3%. Oklahoma City finished with a 43.3% field goal percentage (45 out of 104) and converted 15 out of their 45 3-point shots.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is one player who was a factor in this contest. He recorded 27 points on 10 out of 29 shooting. He was on the court for 38 mins and also totaled 8 rebounds. Gilgeous-Alexander ended up shooting 34.5% from the floor and dished out 5 assists.

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Oklahoma City comes into this game with a mark of 68-14 on the season. They average 0.0 points per game (29th in the NBA) while hitting 48.2% from the floor. The Thunder are connecting on 37.4% on three-point attempts (1,192 of 3,184) and 81.9% from the free throw line. As a unit, Oklahoma City is grabbing 44.8 rebounds per game and is sitting with 2,202 dimes this season, which has them ranked 12th in the NBA in terms of passing. They turn it over 11.7 times per contest and as a group are committing 18.8 fouls every game.

When they are on defense, the Thunder have forced 17.0 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 18.1 fouls. They are surrendering 34.2% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are 3rd in basketball in PPG allowed (107.6). The Thunder defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 43.6% (3,109 of 7,130) and they surrender 44.9 boards per contest as a group. They are 4th in the NBA in allowing assists to their opponents with 2,018 relinquished this year.

In Game 2, Memphis permitted Oklahoma City to get 55 overall (16 on the offensive side). They finished 33.3% from beyond the arc via 15 out of 45 and finished the contest at 13 out of 16 at the free throw line (81.3%). The Grizzlies permitted the Thunder to make 45 out of 104 attempts from the field which left them with a shooting percentage of 43.3% in this game. When the final whistle blew, the Grizzlies ended up shooting 39 out of 91 from the field which gave them a percentage of 42.9%. In terms of shooting from downtown, Memphis converted 10 of their 31 tries (32.3%). They were able to knock down 11 of the free throws for a rate of 78.6%. The Thunder committed 16 fouls in this matchup which got the Grizzlies to the charity stripe for a total of 14 attempts. They gave up possession 15 times, while earning 3 steals in this matchup. The Grizzlies earned 33 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive boards for a total of 42 in the game.

Jaren Jackson Jr. ended up being a major contributor for the Grizzlies in the game. He made 10 of 17 in this game for a field goal rate of 58.8%, and had 6 rebounds. Jackson tallied 26 points in his 35 mins of playing time, but finished this game without an assist.

Memphis has a mark of 48-34 this season. When it comes to offensive execution, the Grizzlies are connecting on 47.9% from the floor, which ranks them 8th in basketball. Memphis has 9,980 points for the season (121.7 per contest) and they grab 47.3 boards per game. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 28.4 times per game (8th in the league) and they turn the ball over 15.7 times per contest. The Grizzlies commit 20.9 personal fouls every game and they hit 78.6% from the free throw line.

The Grizzlies are ranked 24th in the league in points given up per game with 116.9. They are forcing 15.1 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 45.6% from the floor (4th in the league). The Memphis defense allows 36.0% on 3-point shots (1,162 of 3,230) and their opponents are making 77.0% of their free throw attempts. They have relinquished 27.0 assists and 43.5 rebounds per contest, which ranks them 18th and 10th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Memphis (+9.0)

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