Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, 3/5/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies

Date: Wednesday, March 5, 2025

Location: FedExForum in Memphis, TN

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

FedExForum is where the Memphis Grizzlies (38-23) will take on the Oklahoma City Thunder (50-11) on Wednesday.

The Thunder took the court against the Rockets and earned the victory with a final of 137-128 in their last contest. When discussing fouls, the Thunder finished with 18 and the Rockets finished the game with 21 fouls. They also converted 16 out of their 35 attempts from 3-point land. Houston walked away from this one shooting 82.4% when shooting free throws by converting 14 of 17 shots. Additionally, Houston pulled down 49 rebounds (15 offensive, 34 defensive) and added 6 blocked shots. Houston recorded 20 dimes and had 8 steals for this contest. With respect to defending, Oklahoma City let their opponent shoot 48.5% from the floor on 49 out of 101 shooting. They also doled out 31 dimes for this contest in addition to forcing 16 turnovers and getting 11 steals. Concerning hauling in rebounds, they collected 49 with 14 of them being on the offensive end. At the free throw line, the Thunder made 24 of 27 shots for a rate of 88.9%. Oklahoma City walked away from the contest having earned a 49.5% FG percentage (48 out of 97) and converted 17 out of their 37 three-point attempts.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is a guy who came through for this contest. Gilgeous-Alexander finished 60.0% from the floor and earned 7 dimes. He saw the court for 36 minutes and snagged 5 rebounds. He recorded 51 points on 18 out of 30 shooting.

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Oklahoma City enters this contest with a win-loss record of 50-11 for the campaign. They are losing possession via turnover 11.9 times per game and as a group are committing 20.4 fouls per game. As a unit, Oklahoma City is grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game and has accumulated 1,638 assists on the campaign, which has them ranked 13th in the NBA in terms of passing the rock. The Thunder are shooting 36.6% on shots beyond the perimeter (871 of 2,380) and 82.4% from the free throw line. They average 119.6 points per game (4th in the NBA) while going 47.8% from the field.

On defense, the Thunder are forcing their opponents into 17.8 turnovers per game while drawing 18.2 personal fouls. They are ranked 4th in basketball in giving up assists to their opponents with 1,498 surrendered so far this year. The Thunder defensively are allowing a FG percentage of 43.6% (2,291 of 5,258) and they surrender 45.5 boards per game as a basketball team. They are giving up 33.7% on shots from downtown while they are 2nd in the NBA in points per game allowed (107.0).

In their last game, the Grizzlies took a defeat with a final score of 132-130 against the Hawks. In relation to rebounds, Memphis permitted Atlanta to collect 32 in total (14 offensive). They finished 46.4% from behind the 3-point line by shooting 13 of 28 and finished the game at 9 of 17 from the charity stripe (52.9%). The Grizzlies permitted the Hawks to convert 55 out of 96 tries from the floor which left them with a shooting percentage of 57.3% for the game. When all was said and done, the Grizzlies went 47 for 93 from the floor which gave them a rate of 50.5%. When discussing shots from downtown, Memphis converted 13 of 33 tries (39.4%). They were able to make 23 of them for a rate of 92.0%. The Hawks earned 24 personal fouls for the contest which took the Grizzlies to the charity stripe for a total of 25 tries. They turned the ball over 20 times, while getting 7 steals for this game. The Grizzlies were able to corral 26 defensive boards and 17 offensive boards for a total of 43 in this matchup.

Desmond Bane pitched in for the Grizzlies in this contest. Bane tallied 35 points in his 36 minutes of playing time and had 10 assists in this contest. He made 9 out of 19 in the game for a field goal rate of 47.4%, and had 10 rebounds.

Memphis has a record of 38-23 this season. The Grizzlies have committed 21.0 fouls per contest while shooting 77.8% from the charity stripe. They are dishing out assists 29.2 times per contest (3rd in basketball) and they cough up possession 16.4 times per game. Memphis has accumulated 7,520 points for the year (123.3 per contest) and they average 47.5 boards per contest. In terms of offensive execution, the Grizzlies are shooting 48.4% from the floor, which is 5th in the league.

The Memphis defense surrenders 35.3% on shots from 3-point land (846 of 2,395) and opponents are knocking down 75.6% of their free throw attempts. They relinquish 27.0 assists and 43.2 rebounds every game, which ranks them 22nd and 12th in basketball. The Grizzlies are ranked 25th in basketball in points given up per game with 117.0. They are forcing 15.5 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 45.6% from the field (6th in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Oklahoma City

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