Oklahoma City Thunder vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction, 2/28/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Atlanta Hawks

Date: Friday, February 28, 2025

Location: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, GA

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

The Atlanta Hawks (27-32) are welcoming the Oklahoma City Thunder (47-11) at State Farm Arena on Friday.

The Thunder stepped onto the hardwood against the Nets and earned the victory with a final of 129-121 in their last contest. Concerning fouls, the Thunder walked away with 21 while the Nets accumulated 25 fouls. They made 23 out of their 61 attempts from beyond the arc. Brooklyn ended up shooting 88.0% from the free throw line by knocking down 22 of their 25 shots. Additionally, Brooklyn totaled 46 rebounds (18 offensive, 28 defensive) and added 4 blocked shots. Brooklyn recorded 31 dimes and had 7 steals in this contest. With regard to defense, Oklahoma City allowed the other team to shoot 40.9% from the floor on 38 of 93 shooting. They also dished out 27 dimes in the game in addition to forcing the other team into 15 turnovers and getting 10 steals. In reference to rebounding, they earned a total of 45 with 11 of them being on the offensive end. From the free throw line, the Thunder knocked down 24 of 29 tries for a rate of 82.8%. Oklahoma City wrapped up the game having earned a 53.3% field goal percentage (48 out of 90) and knocked down 9 out of their 30 shots from downtown.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is a guy who played a role for the contest. Gilgeous-Alexander finished shooting 63.6% from the field and also recorded 5 assists. He was on the court for 34 minutes and also grabbed 6 boards. He had 27 points on 7 of 11 shooting.

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Oklahoma City will enter this matchup with a mark of 47-11 so far this year. They are losing possession via turnover 11.9 times per game and as a squad they commit 20.6 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Oklahoma City is grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game and has earned 1,536 assists so far this season, which ranks 14th in the league in terms of passing. The Thunder are hitting 36.1% on shots beyond the perimeter (812 of 2,249) and 82.2% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 118.6 points per game (4th in the NBA) while hitting 47.6% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Thunder have forced 17.9 turnovers every game while drawing 18.3 fouls. They are relinquishing 33.2% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they rank 2nd in the league in points per game allowed (106.0). The Thunder defense is allowing a FG percentage of 43.1% (2,148 of 4,978) and they relinquish 45.6 rebounds per game as a unit. They currently rank 3rd in the league in giving up assists to their opponents with 1,415 surrendered for the year.

The last time they took the court, the Hawks took a defeat with a final score of 131-109 when they played the Heat. The Hawks earned 24 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive boards for a total of 33 for the game. They also gave up possession of the ball 17 times, while recording 6 steals in this game. The Heat were called for 13 personal fouls in this game which took the Hawks to the free throw line for 19 tries. They were able to convert 15 of those for a rate of 78.9%. With respect to three-point attempts, Atlanta made 12 out of 32 attempts (37.5%). Overall, the Hawks ended up going 41 out of 81 from the field which gave them a percentage of 50.6%. The Hawks permitted the Heat to bury 45 of their 76 tries from the floor which had them at 59.2% in the matchup. They shot 54.8% from distance by hitting 23 out of 42 and finished the contest at 18 of 22 from the free throw line (81.8%). Regarding how they cleaned up the glass, Atlanta allowed Miami to snag 35 overall (8 on the offensive side).

Dyson Daniels was important for the Hawks in this game. He knocked down 8 out of 10 for the game giving him a rate of 80.0%, and totaled 5 rebounds. Daniels accumulated 18 points in his 33 minutes on the hardwood and accounted for 5 assists for the contest.

Atlanta has a record of 27-32 so far this season. As an offense, the Hawks are hitting on 46.3% from the field, which is 16th in the NBA. Atlanta has totaled 6,878 points for the season (116.6 per contest) and they pull down 44.9 rebounds per contest. They are getting an assist 29.3 times per game (2nd in basketball) and they lose possession via turnover 15.9 times per game. The Hawks are responsible for committing 18.9 personal fouls per game and they go 76.9% from the free throw line.

The Hawks on the defensive end are ranked 27th in the league in points allowed per game with 119.2. They are able to force 16.5 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 48.2% from the floor (29th in the league). The Atlanta defense concedes 37.1% on shots from behind the 3-point line (835 of 2,252) and opponents are converting on 80.3% of their shots from the free throw line. They relinquish 28.4 dimes and 44.5 total boards per game, which is ranked 25th and 17th in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta

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