Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Prediction, 4/5/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Date: Saturday, April 5, 2025

Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

The Milwaukee Bucks (41-34) are traveling to Kaseya Center on Saturday where they will take on the Miami Heat (35-41).

The Bucks faced off with the Suns and went home with a win by a final score of 133-123 in their last contest. With respect to fouls, the Bucks walked away with 22 and the Suns finished the game with 19 fouls. They knocked down 18 of 45 attempts from beyond the arc. Phoenix shot 81.0% at the free throw line by converting 17 of their 21 shots. Furthermore, Phoenix grabbed 33 rebounds (15 offensive, 18 defensive) and added 5 blocks. Phoenix recorded 26 dimes and had 6 steals for the contest. In reference to defense, Milwaukee allowed the other team to go 47.8% from the field on 44 out of 92 shooting. They also distributed 32 dimes for the contest in addition to forcing 14 turnovers and earning 6 steals. Pertaining to rebounding, they collected 29 with 3 of them being of the offensive variety. From the charity stripe, the Bucks converted 14 of 15 tries for a rate of 93.3%. Milwaukee wrapped up the contest having earned a 68.9% FG percentage (51 of 74) and converted 17 of their 29 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Giannis Antetokounmpo is a player who was a factor for the matchup. He recorded 37 points on 12 out of 18 shooting. He played for 36 minutes played and also snagged 5 rebounds. Antetokounmpo finished 66.7% from the field and dished out 11 assists.

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Milwaukee enters this one with a win-loss record of 41-34 for the year. They are averaging 114.7 points per game (13th in basketball) while connecting on 48.4% from the field. The Bucks are hitting 38.4% on three-point attempts (1,056 of 2,752) and 75.2% from the free throw line. As a team, Milwaukee is snagging 43.3 boards per contest and has 1,886 assists so far this season, which is 25th in the league in terms of passing the rock. They turn the ball over 13.6 times per game and as a unit they are committing 18.1 personal fouls every game.

When they are on defense, the Bucks have forced 12.9 turnovers per game and they draw 18.9 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 11th in the league in giving up assists to the opposition with 1,963 conceded so far this year. The Bucks defense is allowing a shooting percentage of 45.7% (3,106 of 6,802) and they surrender 45.2 boards per contest as a basketball team. They concede 35.3% on shots from downtown while they are 13th in basketball in opponents PPG (112.9).

When they last stepped on the court, the Heat took home the win by a final score of 124-103 when they played the Celtics. The Heat collected 23 defensive boards and 11 offensive boards for a total of 34 for the contest. They also turned it over 5 times, while recording 9 steals for the contest. The Celtics were called for 17 fouls in the matchup which got the Heat to the free throw line for 27 attempts. They were able to convert 24 of them for a percentage of 88.9%. With respect to shooting from beyond the arc, Miami converted 14 out of 30 attempts (46.7%). When this game wrapped up, the Heat went 43 out of 83 from the field which gave them a percentage of 51.8%. The Heat allowed the Celtics to bury 39 out of 87 attempts from the field which had them shooting 44.8% in this game. They shot 27.9% from distance by shooting 12 of 43 and finished the game at 13 of 16 from the charity stripe (81.3%). When talking about team rebounding, Miami allowed Boston to collect 43 overall (19 offensive).

Tyler Herro ended up being a factor for the Heat for this game. He knocked down 7 of 18 in this game for a field goal rate of 38.9%, and tallied 6 rebounds. Herro racked up 25 points in his 38 minutes on the hardwood and earned 9 assists in this matchup.

Miami has a mark of 35-41 on the year. As an offensive team, the Heat are shooting 46.4% from the floor, which is 18th in basketball. Miami has accounted for 8,347 points for the campaign (109.8 per contest) and they grab 43.0 rebounds per contest. They are earning an assist 26.3 times per contest (14th in basketball) and they lose possession via turnover 13.8 times per contest. The Heat are responsible for committing 15.5 fouls per contest and they shoot 79.2% from the free throw line.

The Miami defense gives up 35.8% on shots from 3-point land (1,038 of 2,898) and their opponents are converting on 77.7% of their foul shots. They have surrendered 26.4 dimes and 44.6 boards on a nightly basis, which ranks them 15th and 19th in basketball. The Heat defensively are ranked 7th in basketball in PPG allowed with 109.8. They are able to force 13.8 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 46.5% from the floor (13th in basketball).

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Miami and under the total points

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