Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, 4/29/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers

Date: Tuesday, April 29, 2025

Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN

TV: NBA TV

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (+7.5)

Down 1 -3 in the series, the Milwaukee Bucks (48-34) are traveling to Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Tuesday where they will take on the Indiana Pacers (50-32) in Game 5 of the Eastern Conference First Round. Milwaukee opens this game as 7.5-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under has been set at 224.

The Bucks faced the Pacers and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 129-103 in Game 4. Milwaukee walked away from the game having earned a 41.6% FG percentage (37 out of 89) and buried 15 of 37 shots from downtown. From the free throw line, the Bucks made 14 of their 17 shots for a rate of 82.4%. When talking about hauling in rebounds, they earned 33 with 9 of them being on the offensive end. They also distributed 25 assists in this game while creating 12 turnovers and getting 6 steals. In regard to the defense, Milwaukee allowed 60.2% from the field on 50 out of 83 shooting. Indiana distributed 36 dimes and had 3 steals for this game. Moreover, Indiana collected 41 boards (5 offensive, 36 defensive) and added 1 block. Indiana ended up going 84.6% when shooting free throws by making 11 of their 13 shots. They also knocked down 18 out of their 39 attempts from distance. When it comes to fouls, the Bucks walked away with 18 while the Pacers finished the game with 16 fouls.

Giannis Antetokounmpo is a guy who was a factor for the matchup. He ended up with 28 points on 9 of 20 shooting. He saw the court for 34 minutes and pulled down 15 rebounds. Antetokounmpo went 45.0% from the floor and totaled 6 assists.

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Milwaukee heads into this one with a win-loss record of 48-34 so far this season. They are turning it over 13.4 times per game and as a basketball team they commit 17.9 personal fouls every game. As a unit, Milwaukee is pulling down 43.4 rebounds per contest and has earned 2,090 assists so far this season, which is 21st in the league in terms of passing. The Bucks are shooting 38.7% on shots from distance (1,161 of 3,003) and 75.0% from the free throw line. They are averaging 115.5 points per contest (11th in basketball) on 48.6% from the floor.

On defense, the Bucks have forced 12.9 turnovers per game while drawing 18.9 personal fouls. They are ranked 14th in the league in giving up assists with 2,166 relinquished so far this year. The Bucks defensively are giving up an opponent FG percentage of 45.7% (3,414 of 7,473) and they concede 45.3 boards per contest as a basketball team. They give up 35.3% on 3-pointers and they are ranked 13th in the league in opponents PPG (113.0).

In Game 4, Concerning attacking the glass, Indiana permitted Milwaukee to grab 33 in all (9 offensive). They wrapped up this game 40.5% from distance by shooting 15 of 37 and ended up shooting 14 out of 17 at the free throw line (82.4%). The Pacers allowed the Bucks to make 37 of their 89 tries from the field which had them sitting at 41.6% for this game. When this game wrapped up, the Pacers finished shooting 50 for 83 from the field which had them sitting at 60.2%. In relation to shooting from 3-point land, Indiana converted 18 of 39 attempts (46.2%). They were able to make 11 of them for a rate of 84.6%. The Bucks committed 18 personal fouls in the matchup which got the Pacers to the free throw line for 13 attempts. They also gave up possession of the ball 12 times, while recording 3 steals in the game. The Pacers snagged 36 defensive boards and 5 offensive boards for a total of 41 in the matchup.

Myles Turner ended up being a factor for the Pacers in this matchup. Turner had 23 points in his 30 minutes on the court and earned 3 assists in the game. He made 9 out of 13 for this game for a field goal rate of 69.2%, and totaled 5 rebounds.

Indiana has a win-loss record of 50-32 so far this year. The Pacers are committing 18.7 fouls per contest and they connect on 78.9% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 29.2 times per game (3rd in the NBA) and they are giving up possession 13.2 times per contest. Indiana has tallied 9,624 pts this season (117.4 per game) and they pull in 41.8 boards per game. As an offensive unit, the Pacers are shooting 48.8% from the floor, which ranks them 3rd in the league.

The Pacers are ranked 17th in the NBA in points per game surrendered with 115.1. They are forcing 15.0 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 47.4% from the floor (23rd in the NBA). The Indiana defense surrenders 35.5% on shots from beyond the arc (1,058 of 2,978) and opponents are making 77.3% of their shots from the free throw line. They have given up 26.0 dimes and 45.0 rebounds per game, which ranks them 12th and 22nd in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Milwaukee (+7.5)

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