Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, 4/19/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers

Date: Saturday, April 19, 2025

Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (+5.0)

The Milwaukee Bucks (48-34) are hitting the road to Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Saturday where they will play the Indiana Pacers (50-32) in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference First Round. Indiana is 5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 225.

The Bucks faced the Pistons and earned the victory with a final of 140-133 in their last contest. Milwaukee ended the contest having earned a 58.1% field goal percentage (50 of 86) and converted 23 out of their 44 3-pointers. At the charity stripe, the Bucks converted 17 of 22 shots for a percentage of 77.3%. In the matter of getting rebounds, they earned a total of 38 with 6 of them being offensive. They also dished out 30 dimes for this game while forcing the opposition into 13 turnovers and having 5 steals. With respect to defending, Milwaukee let their opponent shoot 47.7% from the field on 51 of 107 shooting. Detroit earned 35 dimes and had 9 steals for this contest. On top of that, Detroit snagged 42 rebounds (14 offensive, 28 defensive) and earned 7 rejections. Detroit ended up going 64.3% at the free throw line by burying 9 of their 14 attempts. They also buried 22 of their 59 attempts from 3-point range. With respect to fouls, the Bucks ended up finishing with 17 while the Pistons accounted for 19 fouls.

Pat Connaughton is one player who was a contributor in the game. He ended up scoring 43 points on 16 out of 29 shooting. He played 44 mins played and also collected 11 boards. Connaughton finished the contest at 55.2% from the field and dished out 5 assists.

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Milwaukee enters this contest with a mark of 48-34 on the campaign. They turn the ball over 13.4 times per contest and as a team they are committing 17.9 fouls per game. As a team, Milwaukee is snagging 43.4 rebounds per game and is sitting with 2,090 dimes on the campaign, which has them ranked 21st in the league in terms of passing. The Bucks are connecting on 38.7% on shots from 3-point land (1,161 of 3,003) and 75.0% from the free throw line. They have an average of 115.5 pts per contest (11th in the league) while connecting on 48.6% from the floor.

When they are on the defensive end, the Bucks are able to force 12.9 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 18.9 personal fouls. They currently rank 14th in basketball in allowing assists to their opponents with 2,166 surrendered this season. The Bucks are allowing a shooting percentage of 45.7% (3,414 of 7,473) and they relinquish 45.3 rebounds per game as a squad. They give up 35.3% on 3-point shots while they are 13th in the NBA in PPG allowed (113.0).

For their last game, the Pacers walked away with a victory by a final of 126-118 when they played the Cavaliers. The Pacers recorded 47 defensive rebounds and 14 offensive boards for a total of 61 in this contest. They gave up possession of the ball 13 times, while recording 15 steals in the matchup. The Cavaliers earned 23 personal fouls in this game which took the Pacers to the charity stripe for a total of 22 tries. They were able to convert 20 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 90.9%. With regard to shooting from downtown, Indiana buried 10 of their 42 attempts (23.8%). When the final whistle was blown, the Pacers walked away from this one shooting 48 for 119 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 40.3%. The Pacers permitted the Cavaliers to make 44 out of their 115 tries from the field which had them sitting at 38.3% for the matchup. They shot 30.0% from behind the 3-point line by shooting 18 of 60 and finished the game at 12 of 22 at the free throw line (54.5%). In relation to how they attacked the glass, Indiana allowed Cleveland to grab 65 in total (18 offensive).

Quenton Jackson pitched in for the Pacers in the matchup. Jackson accumulated 21 points in his 40 mins on the court and accounted for 2 assists in this contest. He converted 7 of 16 in this matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 43.8%, and had 6 rebounds.

Indiana has a mark of 50-32 on the year. As an offense, the Pacers are shooting 48.8% from the floor, which has them ranked 3rd in the league. Indiana has accounted for 9,624 points this year (117.4 per contest) and they average 41.8 rebounds per game. They are dishing out assists 29.2 times per contest (3rd in basketball) and they are turning it over 13.2 times per contest. The Pacers are responsible for committing 18.7 personal fouls every game while shooting 78.9% from the charity stripe.

The Pacers are ranked 17th in basketball in points allowed per game with 115.1. They are able to force 15.0 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 47.4% from the field (23rd in the NBA). The Indiana defense surrenders 35.5% on shots from 3-point land (1,058 of 2,978) and their opponents are converting on 77.3% of their shots from the free throw line. They relinquish 26.0 assists and 45.0 total boards per game, which is 12th and 22nd in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Milwaukee (+5.0)

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