Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards Prediction, 3/31/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards

Date: Monday, March 31, 2025

Location: Capital One Arena in Washington, DC

TV: Monumental Sports Network

Capital One Arena is where the Washington Wizards (16-57) will try to beat the Miami Heat (32-41) on Monday.

The Heat faced the Hawks and walked away with a win by a score of 122-112 in their last contest. Miami finished having earned a 53.7% field goal percentage (44 of 82) and knocked down 18 out of their 33 shots from distance. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Heat knocked down 16 of 20 shots for a rate of 80.0%. When discussing pulling down rebounds, they collected a total of 37 with 7 of them being of the offensive variety. They also dished out 26 assists in the matchup as well as forcing the opposition into 16 turnovers and earning 10 steals. When it comes to defense, Miami let their opponent shoot 51.8% from the floor on 43 out of 83 shooting. Atlanta earned 27 dimes and had 10 steals for the game. Furthermore, Atlanta totaled 36 rebounds (6 offensive, 30 defensive) and had 1 block. Atlanta finished the game at 72.7% from the charity stripe by converting 8 of their 11 attempts. They buried 18 of their 41 shots from beyond the arc. With respect to fouls, the Heat finished with 10 while the Hawks accumulated 11 fouls.

Tyler Herro is one guy who was a major contributor for the matchup. He walked away with 36 points on 13 out of 17 shooting. He played 38 mins played and pulled down 3 rebounds. Herro ended up shooting 76.5% from the floor and earned 4 assists.

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Miami heads into this matchup with a record of 32-41 this season. They are losing possession via turnover 13.9 times per game and as a squad are committing 15.6 fouls per game. As a team, Miami is snagging 42.8 rebounds per game and has tallied 1,910 assists on the year, which ranks 16th in the league in terms of passing the rock. The Heat are shooting 36.4% from downtown (994 of 2,730) and 79.2% from the free throw line. They have an average of 109.4 pts per game (26th in the league) while hitting 46.2% from the field.

On the defensive end of the court, the Heat are forcing their opponents into 13.7 turnovers per game while drawing 17.1 fouls. They are 15th in the league in giving up assists with 1,936 surrendered on the season. The Heat defensively are allowing an opponent FG percentage of 46.6% (3,019 of 6,479) and they surrender 44.8 rebounds per contest as a group. They are conceding 36.0% from beyond the arc while they are 7th in the NBA in PPG allowed (110.3).

In their last game, the Wizards took a loss by a final score of 162-109 when they faced the Pacers. The Wizards earned 19 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive boards for a total of 31 for this contest. They turned the ball over 15 times, while getting 9 steals for this contest. The Pacers were called for 19 personal fouls in this contest which got the Wizards to the free throw line for a total of 26 tries. They were able to bury 22 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 84.6%. When it comes to 3-point shots, Washington buried 11 of 30 attempts (36.7%). When the final whistle blew, the Wizards ended up going 38 out of 85 from the field which gave them a rate of 44.7%. The Wizards permitted the Pacers to convert 59 of 92 tries from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 64.1% in the matchup. They finished 57.4% from distance via 27 of 47 and finished the contest at 17 out of 19 from the charity stripe (89.5%). In the matter of attacking the glass, Washington permitted Indiana to snag 50 in all (13 on the offensive glass).

Alex Sarr ended up being important for the Wizards for this game. Sarr recorded 22 points in his 28 mins of playing time and added 1 assist for this contest. He made 8 of 15 in the game giving him a rate of 53.3%, and had 7 rebounds.

Washington has a win-loss mark of 16-57 for the year. The Wizards commit 19.9 personal fouls every game and they shoot 77.8% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 25.4 times per game (21st in the NBA) and they turn the ball over 15.8 times per contest. Washington has accounted for 7,938 pts this season (108.7 per game) and they pull in 44.0 rebounds per contest. As an offensive team, the Wizards are shooting 43.9% from the field, which is 28th in the NBA.

The Washington defense allows 36.8% on 3-point shots (1,050 of 2,856) and their opposition knocks down 79.2% of their free throw attempts. They have given up 28.7 assists and 48.4 boards per game, which is 26th and 30th in basketball. The Wizards are ranked 30th in the league in points allowed per game with 121.0. They are forcing their opponents into 13.4 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 47.3% from the floor (21st in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Washington

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