Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, 1/6/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings

Date: Monday, January 6, 2025

Location: Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, CA

TV: NBC Sports California

The Miami Heat (17-15) are headed to Golden 1 Center on Monday where they will try to beat the Sacramento Kings (15-19).

The Heat stepped onto the hardwood against the Pacers and took a loss by a final of 128-115 in their last contest. When it comes to fouls, the Heat finished with 21 while the Pacers recorded 21 fouls. They made 17 out of their 40 shots from beyond the perimeter. Indiana finished the contest at 56.3% at the charity stripe by converting 9 of 16 attempts. Moreover, Indiana grabbed 33 boards (6 offensive, 27 defensive) and got 3 blocks. Indiana dished out 21 assists and had 6 steals in the game. In the matter of defending, Miami allowed the other team to go 53.1% from the floor on 51 of 96 shooting. They also distributed 26 dimes in the matchup while forcing the other team into 14 turnovers and having 8 steals. In regard to getting rebounds, they earned 43 with 5 of them being offensive. From the charity stripe, the Heat converted 18 of 21 tries for a rate of 85.7%. Miami wrapped up the game having earned a 57.3% field goal percentage (43 out of 75) and buried 11 of their 26 three-point shots.

Kel'el Ware is a player who was a major factor in this contest. Ware finished the contest at 81.8% from the field and also totaled 1 assist. He was on the hardwood for 21 minutes played but ended the game without a board. He ended up finishing with 25 points on 9 out of 11 shooting.

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Miami will enter this game with a mark of 17-15 on the year. They are giving up possession 13.6 times per game and as a group they commit 16.6 personal fouls every game. As a unit, Miami is pulling in 43.2 boards per game and has totaled 829 dimes so far this season, which is 20th in the NBA in terms of passing the ball. The Heat are connecting on 37.6% on shots beyond the perimeter (456 of 1,214) and 78.7% from the charity stripe. They average 111.4 pts per game (20th in the league) while hitting 45.8% from the floor.

Defensively, the Heat are forcing their opponents into 15.0 turnovers every game while drawing 18.8 fouls. They are giving up 36.0% on three-point shots and they are 7th in the league in PPG allowed (109.3). The Heat defensively are giving up an opponent FG percentage of 46.3% (1,297 of 2,803) and they relinquish 44.8 boards per contest as a team. They are currently ranked 12th in basketball in giving up assists to the opposition with 851 surrendered for the campaign.

The last time they took the court, the Kings took home the win by a final score of 113-107 against the 76ers. When discussing rebounding, Sacramento permitted Philadelphia to pull down 45 in total (14 offensive). They wrapped up this game 37.5% from 3-point land via 15 out of 40 and finished the contest at 12 out of 14 at the charity stripe (85.7%). The Kings permitted the 76ers to knock down 40 out of their 84 tries from the floor which gave them a rate of 47.6% for the game. When this game wrapped up, the Kings went 41 out of 84 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 48.8%. Concerning 3-point attempts, Sacramento made 9 of 31 attempts (29.0%). They were able to make 22 of those for a percentage of 91.7%. The 76ers earned 19 fouls in the matchup which took the Kings to the charity stripe for 24 attempts. They also gave up possession of the ball 13 times, while recording 10 steals for this contest. The Kings collected 26 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive rebounds totaling 34 in this contest.

De'Aaron Fox was important for the Kings in the matchup. He buried 13 out of 16 for the matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 81.3%, and added 3 rebounds. Fox had 35 points in his 38 mins on the court and accumulated 4 assists in the game.

Sacramento has a mark of 15-19 on the campaign. As an offensive team, the Kings are connecting on 47.5% from the floor, which ranks 8th in the NBA. Sacramento has earned 3,902 points on the campaign (114.8 per game) and they average 43.9 rebounds per contest. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 25.8 times per game (16th in the league) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 13.5 times per game. The Kings are committing 20.1 personal fouls every game while shooting 80.5% from the free throw line.

The Kings on the defensive end are ranked 17th in the league in PPG allowed with 113.5. They have forced 15.1 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 46.5% from the field (15th in basketball). The Sacramento defense allows 37.9% on shots from 3-point land (495 of 1,307) and opponents are knocking down 79.9% of their shots from the charity stripe. They give up 25.9 dimes and 42.4 rebounds on a nightly basis, which has them ranked 13th and 6th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami

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