Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, 2/12/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Date: Wednesday, February 12, 2025

Location: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, OK

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

The Oklahoma City Thunder (43-9) will go up against the Miami Heat (25-26) at Paycom Center on Wednesday.

The Heat played the Celtics and took a loss by a score of 103-85 in their last contest. In the matter of fouls, the Heat walked away with 10 and the Celtics accounted for 11 fouls. They also knocked down 17 out of their 53 attempts from beyond the arc. Boston ended up going 100.0% at the charity stripe by burying 8 of 8 attempts. In addition, Boston grabbed 52 rebounds (3 offensive, 49 defensive) and had 2 blocks. Boston totaled 24 dimes and had 4 steals in this matchup. Concerning defending, Miami allowed 45.9% from the field on 39 out of 85 shooting. They also recorded 21 assists for this game while forcing the other team into 8 turnovers and earning 2 steals. Regarding grabbing rebounds, they earned 51 with 12 of them being offensive. From the charity stripe, the Heat knocked down 12 of 13 attempts for a percentage of 92.3%. Miami walked away from the contest having earned a 33.7% FG percentage (31 out of 92) and converted 11 of 45 3-point attempts.

Bam Adebayo is a guy who was a major contributor in the matchup. Adebayo finished the contest at 35.3% from the floor and also dished out 4 assists. He was on the hardwood for 34 minutes and also totaled 12 rebounds. He ended up finishing with 22 points on 6 out of 17 shooting.

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Miami will enter this contest with a mark of 25-26 so far this year. They turn it over 13.6 times per contest and as a unit are committing 15.8 fouls every game. As a team, Miami is snagging 44.1 boards per contest and has 1,343 assists so far this year, which is 19th in the league in terms of passing the rock. The Heat are shooting 36.2% on shots from beyond the arc (721 of 1,989) and 79.3% from the free throw line. They have an average of 110.0 points per outing (24th in basketball) while connecting on 45.3% from the floor.

When they are on defense, the Heat have forced 13.6 turnovers per contest and they draw 17.5 personal fouls. They are giving up 35.7% on shots from beyond the perimeter while they are 7th in the NBA in points per game allowed (110.5). The Heat defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 46.0% (2,105 of 4,572) and they concede 45.9 rebounds per game as a basketball team. They currently rank 15th in the league in allowing assists with 1,374 relinquished for the season.

When they last stepped on the court, the Thunder got the victory with a final of 137-101 against the Pelicans. The Thunder were able to corral 35 defensive boards and 10 offensive boards totaling 45 for the matchup. They also turned the ball over 11 times, while earning 15 steals in the game. The Pelicans had 14 personal fouls in this matchup which got the Thunder to the free throw line for a total of 16 shots. They were able to knock down 12 of those for a rate of 75.0%. In the matter of shooting from downtown, Oklahoma City buried 27 of their 55 tries (49.1%). When the final whistle blew, the Thunder shot 49 out of 95 from the floor which had them at 51.6%. The Thunder permitted the Pelicans to convert 36 out of their 82 attempts from the field which had them shooting 43.9% for this game. They wrapped up this game 37.0% from downtown by connecting on 10 out of 27 and ended up shooting 19 of 28 at the free throw line (67.9%). When discussing cleaning the glass, Oklahoma City permitted New Orleans to pull down 42 overall (12 offensive).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ended up having an impact for the Thunder for the contest. He made 10 out of 20 in this game for a field goal rate of 50.0%, and had 1 rebound. Gilgeous-Alexander racked up 31 points in his 31 minutes on the court and had 2 assists in this matchup.

Oklahoma City has a mark of 43-9 so far this season. The Thunder commit 20.5 fouls per game and they shoot 82.4% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 26.3 times per contest (15th in the NBA) and they turn the ball over 12.0 times per contest. Oklahoma City has accounted for 6,147 pts on the season (118.2 per game) and they pull down 44.5 rebounds per game. In terms of offensive execution, the Thunder are connecting on 47.6% from the floor, which has them ranked 9th in the league.

The Thunder are ranked 1st in the league in PPG given up with 104.8. They have forced 18.3 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 43.1% from the field (1st in the NBA). The Oklahoma City defense concedes 33.1% on shots from distance (657 of 1,982) and their opposition makes 76.0% of their free throw shots. They allow 24.1 dimes and 45.4 total boards per game, ranking them 4th and 24th in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Oklahoma City

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