Miami Heat vs New York Knicks Prediction, 3/17/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs New York Knicks

Date: Monday, March 17, 2025

Location: Madison Square Garden in New York, NY

TV: MSG

The New York Knicks (42-23) will play the Miami Heat (29-36) at Madison Square Garden on Monday.

The Heat played the Clippers and took a loss by a final of 119-104 in their last contest. Miami finished with a 47.6% FG percentage (40 of 84) and made 14 of their 37 three-point attempts. At the free throw line, the Heat converted 10 of their 14 attempts for a percentage of 71.4%. In terms of grabbing boards, they earned 29 with 9 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 27 dimes in this matchup while forcing 18 turnovers and having 14 steals. With regard to defending, Miami allowed 59.2% from the floor on 45 of 76 shooting. Los Angeles recorded 24 dimes and had 7 steals for the contest. In addition, Los Angeles collected 45 boards (11 offensive, 34 defensive) and got 3 rejections. Los Angeles went 66.7% from the free throw line by making 16 of their 24 shots. They knocked down 13 of their 27 tries from downtown. In reference to personal fouls, the Heat walked away with 17 and the Clippers recorded 10 personal fouls.

Tyler Herro is one guy who was a factor for the contest. Herro went 56.5% from the floor and also distributed 7 dimes. He played for 42 mins and totaled 6 rebounds. He recorded 31 points on 13 out of 23 shooting.

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Miami steps onto the court with a win-loss mark of 29-36 on the season. They currently have an average of 109.9 pts per contest (25th in basketball) while connecting on 45.8% from the floor. The Heat are shooting 36.1% on 3-pointers (899 of 2,493) and 79.2% from the free throw line. As a team, Miami is grabbing 43.5 boards per game and has accounted for 1,717 assists on the season, which ranks 16th in the NBA in terms of passing the rock. They turn it over 13.6 times per game and as a unit they are committing 15.9 personal fouls per game.

When they are on defense, the Heat are forcing 13.5 turnovers per game while drawing 17.3 personal fouls. They currently rank 17th in basketball in giving up assists to the opposition with 1,747 relinquished this year. The Heat are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 46.4% (2,683 of 5,781) and they concede 45.1 boards per contest as a team. They concede 35.7% on 3-point shots while they are 7th in the league in PPG allowed (110.6).

In their last game, the Knicks walked away with a victory by a final of 114-113 when they played the Trail Blazers. When discussing cleaning the glass, New York allowed Portland to snag 52 in total (21 on the offensive side). They shot 40.5% from distance by shooting 17 out of 42 and finished the game at 16 out of 25 from the free throw line (64.0%). The Knicks allowed the Trail Blazers to make 40 of their 90 tries from the field which had them sitting at 44.4% for this game. When the final whistle blew, the Knicks finished the game shooting 44 out of 94 from the field which gave them a percentage of 46.8%. In regard to 3-point shots, New York converted 12 out of 31 attempts (38.7%). They were able to knock down 14 of them for a clip of 70.0%. The Trail Blazers earned 18 fouls in this contest which got the Knicks to the free throw line for a total of 20 attempts. They also turned it over 15 times, while getting 12 steals for the game. The Knicks pulled down 27 defensive boards and 11 offensive rebounds totaling 38 for the matchup.

Mikal Bridges ended up being important for the Knicks for the contest. Bridges scored 33 points in his 41 mins of playing time and earned 4 assists in the game. He converted 13 of 21 in this matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 61.9%, and added 4 rebounds.

New York has a record of 42-23 on the season. The Knicks commit 17.1 personal fouls every game and they connect on 80.3% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 27.3 times per game (11th in basketball) and they are giving up possession 13.3 times per game. New York has accounted for 7,611 pts for the campaign (117.1 per game) and they grab 42.9 rebounds per contest. As an offensive unit, the Knicks are shooting 48.9% from the floor, which ranks 4th in the NBA.

The New York defense surrenders 37.4% on three-point shots (881 of 2,355) and opponents are connecting on 79.5% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have relinquished 25.8 dimes and 42.0 boards per contest, which ranks them 9th and 1st in the NBA. The Knicks on defense are ranked 13th in the NBA in points given up per game with 112.7. They are forcing 14.4 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 47.2% from the field (24th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami

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