Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, 2/23/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

Date: Sunday, February 23, 2025

Location: Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, WI

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

The Miami Heat (25-28) are traveling to Fiserv Forum on Sunday where they will try to defeat the Milwaukee Bucks (30-24).

The Heat faced off with the Mavericks and took a loss by a score of 118-113 in their last contest. In regard to personal fouls, the Heat finished with 14 and the Mavericks accumulated 17 personal fouls. They also converted 13 of their 36 shots from 3-point range. Dallas shot 81.3% from the charity stripe by making 13 of their 16 attempts. Moreover, Dallas pulled down 40 rebounds (11 offensive, 29 defensive) and added 4 blocked shots. Dallas recorded 28 dimes and had 7 steals in this contest. When it comes to the defense, Miami allowed their opponent to shoot 51.1% from the floor on 46 out of 90 shooting. They also doled out 23 assists in the matchup in addition to forcing the other team into 14 turnovers and earning 9 steals. Concerning grabbing rebounds, they collected a total of 42 with 16 of them being offensive. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Heat knocked down 17 of 26 shots for a rate of 65.4%. Miami finished the contest with a 47.3% FG percentage (43 of 91) and buried 10 out of their 36 three-point shots.

Tyler Herro is a guy who was a major contributor in this matchup. Herro finished the game shooting 50.0% from the floor and dished out 3 assists. He was on the court for 37 mins played and also snagged 8 boards. He walked away with 40 points on 15 out of 30 shooting.

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Miami comes into this matchup with a win-loss record of 25-28 for the year. They cough up possession 13.7 times per game and as a basketball team they are committing 15.8 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Miami is snagging 44.1 boards per game and has tallied 1,390 dimes for the campaign, which is 19th in the league in terms of passing the ball. The Heat are hitting 36.0% on 3-pointers (742 of 2,059) and 78.8% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 109.8 points per outing (24th in the league) while hitting 45.4% from the floor.

On the defensive end of the court, the Heat are able to force 13.6 turnovers per contest while drawing 17.5 fouls. They relinquish 35.7% on shots from beyond the arc and they rank 7th in the league in points per game from their opponents (110.7). The Heat defense is allowing an opponent FG percentage of 46.2% (2,194 of 4,750) and they relinquish 45.7 rebounds per contest as a unit. They are ranked 12th in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 1,424 relinquished on the campaign.

The last time they took the hardwood, the Bucks took home the win by a final score of 116-110 when they played the Clippers. The Bucks snagged 33 defensive boards and 8 offensive rebounds totaling 41 for the matchup. They gave up possession of the ball 18 times, while getting 5 steals for the contest. The Clippers committed 27 personal fouls in the game which took the Bucks to the free throw line for a total of 27 tries. They were able to make 23 of the free throw attempts for a clip of 85.2%. With regard to shots from downtown, Milwaukee knocked down 17 of their 43 tries (39.5%). When the final whistle was blown, the Bucks finished shooting 38 for 80 from the floor which gave them a rate of 47.5%. The Bucks permitted the Clippers to bury 41 of their 88 attempts from the floor which had them sitting at 46.6% for the contest. They finished 40.0% from distance by shooting 12 of 30 and walked away from this one shooting 16 of 19 from the free throw line (84.2%). Regarding how they attacked the glass, Milwaukee allowed Los Angeles to collect 43 overall (11 offensive).

Giannis Antetokounmpo was important for the Bucks in the game. He buried 10 out of 14 for this game for a field goal rate of 71.4%, and had 8 rebounds. Antetokounmpo earned 23 points in his 24 minutes on the court and accounted for 4 dimes for the matchup.

Milwaukee has a win-loss record of 30-24 this year. The Bucks are responsible for committing 18.5 fouls per game and they shoot 74.2% from the free throw line. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 25.2 times per game (22nd in basketball) and they are turning it over 13.7 times per game. Milwaukee has totaled 6,173 pts on the year (114.3 per contest) and they average 44.0 rebounds per contest. As an offense, the Bucks are shooting 48.0% from the floor, which is ranked 7th in the NBA.

The Milwaukee defense allows 35.3% on 3-point shots (751 of 2,127) and their opponents are connecting on 79.3% of their free throw attempts. They surrender 26.0 dimes and 46.0 rebounds per contest, which is ranked 10th and 27th in basketball. The Bucks defensively are ranked 14th in the league in points given up per game with 112.8. They have forced 12.9 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 45.3% from the field (4th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami

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