Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, 1/7/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors

Date: Tuesday, January 7, 2025

Location: Chase Center in San Francisco, CA

TV: NBC Sports Bay Area

The Miami Heat (17-16) are headed to Chase Center on Tuesday where they will play the Golden State Warriors (18-17).

The Heat stepped onto the hardwood against the Jazz and took a loss by a score of 136-100 in their last game. When discussing personal fouls, the Heat ended up finishing with 14 and the Jazz finished the game with 21 personal fouls. They also converted 19 of their 46 attempts from 3-point range. Utah ended up shooting 81.3% at the charity stripe by burying 13 of 16 tries. In addition, Utah snagged 57 rebounds (16 offensive, 41 defensive) and added 7 blocked shots. Utah dished out 31 dimes and had 11 steals in this matchup. In reference to defending, Miami let their opponent shoot 52.0% from the field on 52 out of 100 shooting. They also distributed 25 assists in the matchup as well as forcing 14 turnovers and getting 9 steals. Pertaining to grabbing boards, they compiled 32 with 5 of them being on the offensive end. From the charity stripe, the Heat buried 21 of 30 tries for a rate of 70.0%. Miami ended with a 43.8% field goal percentage (35 of 80) and knocked down 9 out of their 35 shots from downtown.

Nikola Jovic is one player who was a major factor for this contest. Jovic went 50.0% from the floor and also recorded 3 assists. He saw the court for 24 mins and also pulled down 1 board. He accumulated 17 points on 7 out of 14 shooting.

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Miami comes into this matchup with a mark of 17-16 for the year. They are giving up possession 13.6 times per contest and as a group they commit 16.5 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Miami is grabbing 42.9 boards per game and has totaled 854 assists so far this season, which ranks 22nd in basketball in terms of passing the ball. The Heat are shooting 37.2% on shots beyond the perimeter (465 of 1,249) and 78.4% from the free throw line. They have an average of 111.1 points per outing (21st in the NBA) while hitting 45.7% from the floor.

On defense, the Heat are forcing 14.9 turnovers per game while drawing 18.8 personal fouls. They are ranked 10th in the NBA in allowing assists with 882 surrendered this year. The Heat defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 46.5% (1,349 of 2,903) and they relinquish 45.2 rebounds per game as a group. They give up 36.2% on three-point shots and they rank 7th in the NBA in PPG from their opponents (110.1).

For their last game, the Warriors took a defeat with a final score of 129-99 when they faced the Kings. The Warriors collected 26 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive rebounds for a total of 35 for the matchup. They turned the ball over 22 times, while getting 10 steals for the game. The Kings were called for 19 personal fouls for the matchup which got the Warriors to the free throw line for a total of 18 attempts. They were able to convert 13 of the free throws for a percentage of 72.2%. In regard to 3-point shots, Golden State buried 12 of their 35 attempts (34.3%). When this game wrapped up, the Warriors shot 37 out of 81 from the field which had them shooting 45.7%. The Warriors allowed the Kings to knock down 45 out of their 87 tries from the floor which had them sitting at 51.7% in this matchup. They went 44.2% from beyond the perimeter by shooting 19 of 43 and walked away from this one shooting 20 out of 22 at the free throw line (90.9%). Regarding attacking the glass, Golden State allowed Sacramento to pull down 43 in all (10 on the offensive side).

Stephen Curry ended up being important for the Warriors in the matchup. Curry racked up 26 points in his 30 mins on the court, but wrapped up this contest with no dimes. He made 8 of 12 for the matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 66.7%, and added 7 rebounds.

Golden State has a record of 18-17 this season. As an offense, the Warriors are shooting 45.0% from the field, which ranks them 23rd in the NBA. Golden State has totaled 3,927 pts for the campaign (112.2 per contest) and they pull down 46.3 rebounds per contest. They are assisting teammates 28.7 times per game (8th in the league) and they are turning it over 14.5 times per game. The Warriors have committed 19.5 fouls per game and they shoot 71.1% from the free throw line.

The Warriors on defense are ranked 11th in the league in points per game surrendered with 111.0. They have forced 15.4 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 45.4% from the field (8th in the NBA). The Golden State defense concedes 34.8% on three-point shots (464 of 1,333) and opponents are converting on 78.3% of their foul shots. They have given up 26.2 assists and 45.3 total boards per game, which has them ranked 16th and 24th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami

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